I kind of think he wins based on the last few years combined. Sort of like the way the Selke works. Hedman's been around the award for a few years now, and I doubt even the writers have seen enough of both him and Doughty to make a seriously informed decision, so I think Hedman walks away with it based on reputation, which also is made up of his playoff performances in 15 and 16, when people actually did watch him night in, night out.