10 Ways for Gillis to Break Even in the Schneider Trade
I've been thinking about the trade, and I think there are quite a few different ways in which Mike Gillis can, at the very least, break even with the trade. In my opinion, if any single one of these things happen, the trade is a draw.
1) If Schneider doesn't maintain his incredible level of play in New Jersey.
- This is unlikely to happen, I believe. Schneider is phenomenal and will probably continue his ridiculous 0.93% or at least 0.92%+ save percentages.
2) If Horvat turns into a 1st line forward.
- If this happens, I think we basically break even with the trade. First line centers are pretty hard to find.
3) If Luongo matches Schneider's play and numbers for the next 5-10 years.
- If Luongo plays amazing for most of the rest of his career, matching Schneider, than I think we come out even in the trade based on that alone.
4) If the Canucks win a cup in the next 5-10 years and New Jersey doesn't.
- If Luongo wins a cup with Vancouver, It's hard to say we could lose that trade.
5) If Lack turns into the next young star goalie.
- If Eddie Lack becomes the next Schneider for us, then we're in the same place we were before, but with an extra asset (Horvat).
6) If Cannata does the same.
- If any of our goalie prospects become a young franchise goalie, then we've simply traded a redundant asset.
7) If Eriksson does the same.
- Smart of Gillis to add another cartridge to the chamber last offseason.
8) If Schneider doesn't re-sign with New Jersey.
- There's obviously no reason for this to happen.
9) If Schneider opts to re-sign for 7.5 million.
- At some point the cap hit becomes too high. I'm not sure exactly at what point that is.
10) If Luongo plays very well, puts up numbers in the ballpark of Schneider, and wins a Vezina in the next 10 years while Schneider does not.
- If Luongo wins a Vezina, in my opinion he is basically a lock for the HOF.
I'm not saying any of these are likely, but when you combine all of them together, there are quite a few outs for us to at least break even in the trade.
With all that said, I don't want to be too competitive here, because Schneider is my favourite player not on the Canucks and I wish him the best. Also, I like New Jersey and hope they are successful with their young franchise goalie.