thewave
Registered User
- Jun 17, 2011
- 40,439
- 10,358
lol Arizona. They should just relocate elsewhere
No! Canadian workers wages for the most part must be redirected to the Zona at all costs! MAGA ... Make Arizona Great Again!
lol Arizona. They should just relocate elsewhere
Not to mention that chart doesn’t show who is scoring.Unless I'm missing something, there is a huge flaw in making this assumption - we've only played 6 games and the opposition has been weak. Drawing any conclusions based on this seems misguided (I would indeed expect many goals against weak teams).
Yeah for sure. I was also thinking of Babcock's comments after the last game Sparks played, sure seemed like he was throwing him under the bus and I was thinking the next back-to-back isn't for a long time, I'd sure hate to have those words ringing in my ears for all that time while waiting for my second start in about two years.
I really hope he has a big game tonight!
I am thinking they maybe testing him early to see if he is NHL ready, and if not, Dubas will be looking to make a trade and Sparks gets waived... just guessing
What those graphs show is that the results (ie games won) are sustainable, not that the leafs offense is sustainable
This seems like a definite possibility. If it was me running the team, I'd want Andersen to start a maximum of 60 games this season and if Sparks can't handle the rest, let's find that out as soon as possible and find someone who can.
I know I'm being greedy but it sucks that we're not 6-0. The main boards would be losing their minds.
What those graphs show is that the results (ie games won) are sustainable, not that the leafs offense is sustainable
Saw a couple of charts today, courtesy of Sean Tierney on Twitter using data from Corsi.Hockey
The first chart is obviously the most telling. It compares their Teams Goals For, against the Teams Expected Goals For, to see who is underpreforming, who is overpreforming, as well who is generally good and bad.
The Leafs are essentilly preforming exactly as they should be in terms of Goals For. They aren't too high over the average line, but that's due to the fact that the team defense do give up a lot of shots, and thus reduces our xGF%.
The next chart is a standard PDO chart. Where it takes a teams SV% and SH% and ranks teams who are getting lucky or unlucky based on those two things. Despite being 5-1, the Leafs are actually deemed as an unlucky team due to their poor sv%. The Leafs SH% sits around 11.5%, which while above average, isn't anything to expect regression from (shown above).
So when you take these two things, and combine them, you actually have something that shows you that this Leafs team offense is indeed sustainable (especially with Nylander potentially rejoining the team) and they will actually improve their overall control of games as their sv% moves back towards normal standards.[/QUOT
I think you forgot the .
Yep, Leafs nearly score 400 goals and AM gets more than 100.
Matthews has a shooting % of 50% = unsustainable .
Leafs have a PP% of 50% when annually a top PP operates at 25% efficiency.
5 of Leafs 6 games were against last years non-playoff teams. QofC will balance itself out once all 82 games results are played.
A data set sample of only 6 games to project what will happen over 82 games is very accurate for this purpose. IMO
Leafs have scored 29 goals after 6 games so that suggests this same 6 game set will repeat itself over and over again. 29 goals / 6 games X 82 games = 396 GF on the season.
I can suggest with 99.99% probability the Leafs are not scoring 396 goals this year.. In fact if they scored even 100 less than that they would still be the highest scoring team in the NHL.
Conclusion = unsustainable offense.
Leafs are on pace for 136 points on the season. Something tells me that ain't happening either.
funner factFun facts:
Leafs have the highest goals against.
They have given up 22 goals against,
The devils have given up 4 goals.
Without context this stat sure looks bad.Fun facts:
Leafs have the highest goals against.
They have given up 22 goals against,
The devils have given up 4 goals.
Fun facts:
Leafs have the highest goals against.
They have given up 22 goals against,
The devils have given up 4 goals.
lol Arizona. They should just relocate elsewhere
Fun facts:
Leafs have the highest goals against.
They have given up 22 goals against,
The devils have given up 4 goals.