Pre-Game Talk: The day before 9-9

[RegDunlop]

Sounds like he’s abstaining from North American sports (and anything that doesn’t have a paper ticket) for the foreseeable future.

Agree.
He seems to be abstaining from.... Drai as well lately!

 

[brentashton]

Agree.
He seems to be abstaining from.... Drai as well lately!

I have so much time for Leon. Frustrating for sure that he’s been slow to get going but he’s a f***ing stud. @Drivesaitl will come around I’m sure of that. He’s protecting him.

 

[Leonardlizard]

I have so much patience for Drai. Can you imagine what it's like to run his line with new hopeful wing(ers) every other game.... He's been stuck with weak links the most frequently. No time to build chemistry at all...no time to get in a rhythm and build. Only for him to be out with Connor (the most compatible linemate available) in times of desperation or on the pp.

It would suck to be one of the best and not have some structure and regular linemates. This mix and match stuff is bs....injuries happen but the fact that we're playing musical chairs for an elite player on a team that's supposed to be a contender is f***ed up. The components of his game that are so special go wasted on people that can't keep their stick on the ice or keep a cycle alive .

 

[Captain Controversy]

Oilers will win. Will it be over 6.5 goals or under ?

 

[Ritchie Valens]

View attachment 609463

That's what we need. A Brooklyn 9-9 themed GDT.

Possibly one of the greatest sitcom scenes in decades:

 

[DingDongCharlie]

The Oil are a dud. Least there’s a feel good story here. Everyone said Vegas was sunk due to goaltending and they have by far, by far the best performing tandem in the Pacific. Let’s hang out hats on that when we get caved 10 mins in at 5v5, yet again. 2-0 Vegas before the 10 min mark with a 4-1 final. Edmonton losses a key player to injury to real let the stink soak in.

 

[snipes]

Janmark starting on McDavids LW.

Bold.

 

[DingDongCharlie]

The 2 best players in the league, in the worst division and people will still be making excuses for Holland even with us sitting at .500

Imagine if Smith and Keith didn’t pack it in. Why any of you make excuses for Holland is beyond me.

 

[5 Mins 4 Ftg]

Janmark starting on McDavids LW.

Bold.

 

[Cloned]

Finally Pulju off the first line!

So happy right now.

Gives me hope Woody finally came to his senses.

The good news is the Pacific and the West is an absolute mess this season. There’s maybe two good teams, the rest are all meh.

 

[nexttothemoon]

I know f*** all at all about soccer/futbol... but I still made a fantasy team over at the FIFA site... and picked all the teams that I think will win right up to the finals in the bracket challenge... and picked all the scores for the games coming up.

Keep in mind I know zip-zero-nada-squat about soccer and don't even care about the sport... but this is the level I'm now reaching I guess with the Oilers... I'm settlin' in for a long winter's apathy if this Oilers team keeps playing like a yo-yo and goes into a slide here... and onwards towards a mediocre skid where it's even iffy that they can squeak into a wild card spot.

Sigh... I have really no interest in sports outside the Oilers... so hopefully this team can ramshackle something together and at least give me the hope they can be a playoff team this year.

If McDavid would have been injured medium/long term on that Edler scummy hit... I'm pretty sure I would have just gone into a 6 month hibernation away from hockey at that point.

 

[BertMcDrai]

We now have less odds of making the playoffs than St. Louis and Ottawa.

View attachment 609625

Seems like we are winning the draft lottery with 4,6%
imagine we would win it again...hf would be burning

 

[Senor Catface]

We now have less odds of making the playoffs than St. Louis and Ottawa.

View attachment 609625

The good news is that those odds lists don't mean much until there are about 20-30 games left in the season.

 

[tardigrade81]

Hard to see how they win this.

I’ll be drinking and watching it at the brewhouse. If they lose…. I still have booze.

 

[nexttothemoon]

Just out of curiosity... some numbers from last season:

At the US Thanksgiving mark last year (November 25th)... these were the top teams in terms of pts %:

Rank​	Team​	P%​
1​	Florida Panthers​	0.816​
2​	Carolina Hurricanes​	0.806​
3​	Edmonton Oilers​	0.737​
4​	Calgary Flames​	0.725​
5​	Washington Capitals​	0.725​
6​	New York Rangers​	0.711​
7​	Tampa Bay Lightning​	0.694​
8​	Toronto Maple Leafs​	0.69​
9​	Minnesota Wild​	0.658​
10​	Colorado Avalanche​	0.656​
11​	Columbus Blue Jackets​	0.647​
12​	Boston Bruins​	0.625​
13​	Vegas Golden Knights​	0.6​
14​	New Jersey Devils​	0.588​
15​	Pittsburgh Penguins​	0.579​
16​	St. Louis Blues​	0.579​
17​	Winnipeg Jets​	0.579​

​	​
​	​

...and the teams that ended up making the playoffs with the highest pts % at the end of the season were:

Rank​	Team​	P%​
1​	Florida Panthers​	0.744​
2​	Colorado Avalanche​	0.726​
3​	Carolina Hurricanes​	0.707​
4​	Toronto Maple Leafs​	0.701​
5​	Minnesota Wild​	0.689​
6​	Calgary Flames​	0.677​
7​	New York Rangers​	0.671​
8​	Tampa Bay Lightning​	0.671​
9​	St. Louis Blues​	0.665​
10​	Boston Bruins​	0.652​
11​	Edmonton Oilers​	0.634​
12​	Pittsburgh Penguins​	0.628​
13​	Washington Capitals​	0.61​
14​	Los Angeles Kings​	0.604​
15​	Dallas Stars​	0.598​
16​	Nashville Predators​	0.591​

So basically Columbus/Vegas/New Jersey dropped out of the top 16 spots (Winnipeg was tied for a last place spot at Thanksgiving) and Nashville/Dallas/Los Angeles moved up into a playoff spot.

So basically 3 teams that were outside of a playoff spot at Thanksgiving made it into the playoffs (and were all out in the 1st round).


So you could say 13/16 teams... or 81% that were in a playoff spot at Thanksgiving made it to the playoffs... and only 3/16 or 19% changed.

So going by last year... you have ~20% chance at playoffs if you aren't in a playoff spot by US Thanksgiving.



20/21 was a screwed up 56 game Covid season so can't really use data from that season


19/20 was shortened by Covid as well... but just out of curiosity I checked... and in that season 13 out of the 16 teams with the highest pts % at Thanksgiving were also still in the top 16 teams with the highest pts% at the end of the season (when the season was stopped due to Covid)... so that basically confirms that ~80%/~20% chance of playoffs as well.


So based on recent history... you certainly have a MUCH better chance at playoffs if you are in a playoff position at US Thanksgiving. It's not an infallible indicator but pretty decent.



Oilers are 16th in the NHL right now in pts% with 3 (tough) games to go before US Thanksgiving.

 

[FlameChampion]

Janmark starting on McDavids LW.

Bold.

With the way JP and Yamamoto have been playing, not sure Woodcroft has much of a choice. Think Janmark is a better player than hes being credited for (in general, not saying you’re saying it). Should of never started in the AHL.

On other hand, shows our depth has room to improve.

 

[29Beast97Mode]

One the one hand I am surprised about the regression this year...on the other hand oilers.

 

[Vagabond]

Looks like Skinner is getting his 3rd straight start.

Janmark will be on the top line.

Fogi gets another chance on the 2nd line.

Kostin is playing again which I'm in strong favor. I liked what he brings.

Malone gets called up.

PRE-GAME REPORT: Oilers vs. Golden Knights | Edmonton Oilers

The Oilers hope to counter Vegas's quick starts, while Mattias Janmark finds himself on the wing of Connor McDavid in tonight's game at Rogers Place

www.nhl.com

 

[brentashton]

That's what we need. A Brooklyn 9-9 themed GDT.

Possibly one of the greatest sitcom scenes in decades:

I never watched this show. I take it it’s must watch?

 

[Gordy Elbows]

Can’t help thinking that the first 5 minutes will determine the outcome of the game. Either the Oilers grab the game by the throat or play on their heels for 60 minutes.
Go Oilers….play LaBamba!

 

[Louis Cypher]

Interesting lines from practice

Janmark-McDavid-Hyman
RNH-Draisaitl-Foegele
Kostin-McLeod-Puljujarvi
Holloway-Shore-Ryan

Nurse-Ceci
Kulak-Bouchard
Murray-Barrie

Niemelainen
Skinner
Campbell

 

[ZJuice]

Interesting lines from practice

Janmark-McDavid-Hyman
RNH-Draisaitl-Foegele
Kostin-McLeod-Puljujarvi
Holloway-Shore-Ryan

Nurse-Ceci
Kulak-Bouchard
Murray-Barrie

Niemelainen
Skinner
Campbell

Didn’t know Nieme could goaltend as well but I’m not surprised because he is Finnish

 

[Arpeggio]

I know f*** all at all about soccer/futbol... but I still made a fantasy team over at the FIFA site... and picked all the teams that I think will win right up to the finals in the bracket challenge... and picked all the scores for the games coming up.

Keep in mind I know zip-zero-nada-squat about soccer and don't even care about the sport... but this is the level I'm now reaching I guess with the Oilers... I'm settlin' in for a long winter's apathy if this Oilers team keeps playing like a yo-yo and goes into a slide here... and onwards towards a mediocre skid where it's even iffy that they can squeak into a wild card spot.

Sigh... I have really no interest in sports outside the Oilers... so hopefully this team can ramshackle something together and at least give me the hope they can be a playoff team this year.

If McDavid would have been injured medium/long term on that Edler scummy hit... I'm pretty sure I would have just gone into a 6 month hibernation away from hockey at that point.

Just fan to fan, remember that last year we all felt the exact same way come January. It's basically the same team, so I'm still finding a way to get excited for games because we know they have it in them to get hot.

 

[BIeucheeseWithWings]

Interesting lines from practice

Janmark-McDavid-Hyman
RNH-Draisaitl-Foegele
Kostin-McLeod-Puljujarvi
Holloway-Shore-Ryan

Nurse-Ceci
Kulak-Bouchard
Murray-Barrie

Niemelainen
Skinner
Campbell

Holloway withering on the fourth line. Stupid. So stupid to keep him up here.

 

[GOilers88]

Everytime they have a game everyone expects them to lose they play well.

Oil win, 4-3