Will cost more than that for them to retain 50% on Hayes for 2 more seasons. That's a ton of retention.
That package IMO would cost 1st + Newhook + something
Agreed 100%, but doesn't the acquisition of Hayes render Newhook somewhat obsolete? He'll get offers from teams who want to pay him $4M+ (maybe even $5M) to be a 2W. He'd be ineffective as a 3C here with the Blender of wings he would see. He might opt to leave regardless.
I suppose this requires a rebuild / retool / blow the entire thing up dialogue. And that might be a good thread in itself: When should the Avs blow it up? And I mean really blow it up. Is there sense to trying for 3 more years of window, then move EVERYONE not named Makar for picks and prospects? (Personally, I have my reasons to be against this strategy, but it is a valid question and strategy.) Malgin /LBN / LOC seems like it could be as good as Cogs/ Helm / LOC as a 4th line for the next 3 years. Lines 1 & 2 would be stocked if Hayes at 50% could arrive. The third line would suck, but the Avs just won a cup with a crappy third line.
Personally, I'd like to see the Avs keep Foudy and Behrens. But if SakMac decide to go hard for 3 more years, then break up the band, I'd be fine with giving away every remaining 2023 and 2024 pick, Meyers, OO and any other asset not named Foudy or Behrens. We all disagree on almost anything in here, but I think all agree that too many GMs screw themselves by trying to stretch out a window with little to no chance of a cup. So does it make sense to go all in for 3 years, then send Landy, Mac, Mikko, Nuke, Lehky, the newly acquired Hayes out for picks and prospects? For that matter, what would Calgary give the Avs in 4 years for a Makar homecoming? Keep Byram and pull a massive return from Makar?