Again... Teams should be regularly finding NHL talent in the 1st round. Yes the occasional busts happen, but generally teams should at least produce NHL talent out of the first round.
When you look at the Avs 1st round history this past decade outside of the Top 10... It is not a pretty picture at all.
Joey Hishon(17th)
Duncan Siemens(11th)
Connor Bleackley(23rd)
Martin Kaut(16th)
Alex Newhook(16th)
3 of those are complete and utter busts. The other two it is still far too early to say either way. Kaut was not trending well before he got to the NHL, but that NHL stint he had has kind of put a sense of hope back in terms of his future. I still have major concerns about whether he lives up to the expectations of a 16th overall pick, but at least getting an NHL player seems more likely now.
Newhook looks extremely promising and I have faith here that we get an impact player, but the track record isn't a record that lends itself to having faith.
The even bigger problem, is that thing only get uglier beyond the first round this last decade.
And I have high hopes for Kovalenko, for Annunen, and for Timmins especially. But I also had seriously high Hope's for Bigras, as well as Meloche, Mironov, Shvryov, and Beaudin all before.
Hell I remeber being extremely high on Joachim Nermark way back in 2011, and was sure he was a future stud 3C for the Avs.