Speculation: Taylor Hall Contract

[RABBIT]

I know it's early, but realistically he could sign anywhere between now and and July if he chooses to do so. I figured this would be a good place to discuss the prospect of re-signing him, what it might take, and any news relating to it.

I know many of us aren't very confident he'll stay, but I find comfort in the fact that Alex Meruelo and John Chayka take a lot of pride in bringing him here in the first place, so Meruelo might do what it takes to make him an offer he can't refuse. Also, Renaud Lavoie was just recently on the Tim and Sid show in Canada and he believes that Taylor Hall could be persuaded by the Coyotes if shown a competitive team, because he believes that chances are he's going to love the location.

That being said, it's going to take a lot of work. Taylor Hall is a former League MVP that will probably command above 9 million a year at least, and he's never had say in where he plays. He's going to get a lot of offers.

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[RABBIT]

Renaud Lavoie's thoughts:

 

[Jamieh]

I like Hall but I freely admit I have some concerns about having 4 wingers making almost $30 million for the next few years and might not be any of them truly elite. IMO if Hall signs Kessel needs a new home.

 

[Basement Cat]

I think that you guys have a VERY underrated shot at getting him. He is *likely* going to get his first taste at real success here. Our gentleman's sweep vs TB wasn't a real playoff hockey experience. Plus, Arizona is a sweet place to spend half your year.

It's similar to the Kovalchuk to NJ situation. The Devs would never have had a shot at signing him if they didn't trade for him and he started taking a liking to how things were being run.

It'll probably be $80ish (+/- $5mill) over 8 years if I had to take a guess.

Good luck guys!

 

[_Del_]

He's going to get more than I'm comfortable spending unless he simply explodes down the stretch. In that scenario we just have to rearrange the seats at the table to make room.

 

[moosemeister]

The cap won’t be an issue

Stepan replacement - Hayton
Soderberg replacement (would rather keep) - Hayton
Richardson replacement - literally anyone making 800 k

Demers replacement - Soderstrom
Goligoski replacement - Soderstrom

Raanta replacement - A decent backup

Kessel will have two years left. Probably signs elsewhere when done


We need to see how Hall does. If he’s our best winger down the stretch it’s worth looking into. But the cap is manageable. I don’t think we have any unmovable contracts besides Phil.

 

[Jamieh]

The cap won’t be an issue

Stepan replacement - Hayton
Soderberg replacement (would rather keep) - Hayton
Richardson replacement - literally anyone making 800 k

Demers replacement - Soderstrom
Goligoski replacement - Soderstrom

Raanta replacement - A decent backup

Kessel will have two years left. Probably signs elsewhere when done


We need to see how Hall does. If he’s our best winger down the stretch it’s worth looking into. But the cap is manageable. I don’t think we have any unmovable contracts besides Phil.

I think you understate just how hard it us to make a Cap and a team work. It's not simply plug and play with the easy ability to move those that don't fit. Or are the rest of the teams just dumb when they face these situations?

 

[The Feckless Puck]

Demers replacement - Soderstrom

I think we're keeping Demers. He's been brought up by multiple young players as a guy who keeps the room loose, and he's our only natural RD right now (excepting callups like Gross and Russo).

 

[LuckyNumber11]

I think we're keeping Demers. He's been brought up by multiple young players as a guy who keeps the room loose, and he's our only natural RD right now (excepting callups like Gross and Russo).

Pretty sure he refers to all of the young guys as his sons

 

[WrinkledPossum]

I think you understate just how hard it us to make a Cap and a team work. It's not simply plug and play with the easy ability to move those that don't fit. Or are the rest of the teams just dumb when they face these situations?

When was the last time a team had an elite player and was forced to let them walk because they couldn't fit them into their cap?

I can't remember it ever happening.

 

[SR]

I think he signs. I think the city, a winning culture and the dressing room will do it for him. The Coyotes have an excellent group of guys individually, not just as hockey players.

I think he signs.

 

[rt]

8yrs, 74mil?

 

[LuckyNumber11]

I'd kind of do it like the Dbacks just did with MadBum. Say we're not going to give him the highest offer (100M for Madbum) but give him a respectable deal that he can take if he likes the situation here. I think 8.5-9M would be that. Moving Stepan's contract probably needs to be done though if we expect to do this.

 

[_Del_]

I think we have a better than zero chance. And without the trade, I think we had a zero chance. But this way we can try before buy and see if he fits in and produces here.

 

[cobra427]

Too early to tell anything. Is he still an elite player, does he stay healthy, does the team make the playoffs, win a round or two maybe or none at all, does he like Scottsdale? This is a test drive for Hall and the Coyotes, do they want each other? The brochure looks good, but we shall see how it all plays out.

 

[ck26]

This summer, mercifully, Mike ****ing Ribeiro's ****ing buyout comes off the cap / books.

Just under $2m extra to play with.

 

[SniperHF]

Didn't Chayka say he's not going to make any offers in season? Or am I misremembering?

 

[Jamieh]

When was the last time a team had an elite player and was forced to let them walk because they couldn't fit them into their cap?

I can't remember it ever happening.

I don't recall suggesting anyone did? But they did have to take pennies on the dollar for good players as every one knew their Cap situation, the Hawks have done it several times. If the Coyote's sign Hall to $9 million next summer I have serious doubts that the team will be better next season. A few vets will be departing for rookies and that rarely makes a better team. The backup will be a big if compared to now. Of course just dumping Kessel could fix all of that??

 

[Jakey53]

I don't recall suggesting anyone did? But they did have to take pennies on the dollar for good players as every one knew their Cap situation, the Hawks have done it several times. If the Coyote's sign Hall to $9 million next summer I have serious doubts that the team will be better next season. A few vets will be departing for rookies and that rarely makes a better team. The backup will be a big if compared to now. Of course just dumping Kessel could fix all of that??

Stepan and Kessel can rest assured they won't be traded. Any RT fav's are here for a long time. Garland will be the next to be traded.

 

[TJinAZ]

The guy is literally 1 game in here. Might want to table this for a bit. He may not fit, get injured (again) or not be the player we think he is. Everyone needs to chill. If he is wildly successful he will want to stay as much as we want to keep him. If not we part ways and move on.

 

[YotesFan47]

Out: Grabner, Richardson, Stepan, Oesterle, Hinostroza, Raanta

Hall (9.5) - Dvorak (4.45) - Kessel (6.8) [20.75]
Garland (0.775) - Schmaltz (5.85) - Keller (7.15) [13.775]
Crouse (1.53) - Soderstrom (3.5) - 3RW (1.5) [9.53]
4LW (1.0) - Hayton (0.894) - Fisher (0.822) [2.716]
13F (1.0)

F Total: 47.771

OEL (8.25) - Demers (3.94) [12.19]
Chychrun (4.6) - Goligoski (5.48) [10.08]
Hjalmersson (5.0) - Soderstrom (0.925) [5.925]
Gross (0.925) , Capobianco (0.745) [1.67]
D Total: 29.865

Kuemper (4.5)
Backup Goalie (2.5)
G Total: 7.0

Team Total: 84.386

23 players
F% to Salary: 56.6%
F% to Team: 56.5%

D% to Salary: 35.3%
D% to Team: 34.8%

G% to Salary: 8.2%
G% to Team: 8.7%

Leaves us at about 3m in space and mathematically we aren't heavy anywhere. We could even stand to keep 1 or both of Hinostroza and Oesterle in this scenario. If needed we could even increase what's needed to keep Hall.

Edit: Bad math... Scratch the extra money...

 

[StevenF1919]

Give him all the money

 

[WrinkledPossum]

I don't recall suggesting anyone did? But they did have to take pennies on the dollar for good players as every one knew their Cap situation, the Hawks have done it several times. If the Coyote's sign Hall to $9 million next summer I have serious doubts that the team will be better next season. A few vets will be departing for rookies and that rarely makes a better team. The backup will be a big if compared to now. Of course just dumping Kessel could fix all of that??

I'm not sure what you mean by pennies on the dollar. Hawks have very fair deals or overpaid Toews, Keith, and Seabrook. Teams move out other players to sign their stars. Look at all the juggling Toronto did to fit in Marner this year.

For us it will be much easier, we have several players making more than their worth. And a backup goalie being paid like a starter. Our debate isn't how, it's who. Good position to be in.

Chayka's next challenge is making sure every contract on the team is fair or team friendly. Anyone who is overpaid will be replaced with a good deal. Polar opposite of when he took over and would seek bad deals to bring in extra value.

Stepan and Kessel can rest assured they won't be traded. Any RT fav's are here for a long time. Garland will be the next to be traded.

Garland will be sticking around, makes under 800k next year. Dunno why his agent let him sign 2 years at that low of salary. Good for us though.

 

[Jamieh]

I'm not sure what you mean by pennies on the dollar. Hawks have very fair deals or overpaid Toews, Keith, and Seabrook. Teams move out other players to sign their stars. Look at all the juggling Toronto did to fit in Marner this year.

For us it will be much easier, we have several players making more than their worth. And a backup goalie being paid like a starter. Our debate isn't how, it's who. Good position to be in.

Chayka's next challenge is making sure every contract on the team is fair or team friendly. Anyone who is overpaid will be replaced with a good deal. Polar opposite of when he took over and would seek bad deals to bring in extra value.



Garland will be sticking around, makes under 800k next year. Dunno why his agent let him sign 2 years at that low of salary. Good for us though.

Pennies on the dollar for players they had to trade away to meet the Cap because of number of higher priced players.

 

[glenwo2]

I think he signs. I think the city, a winning culture and the dressing room will do it for him. The Coyotes have an excellent group of guys individually, not just as hockey players.

I think he signs.

IMO, I think it will depend on two things for that to happen :

1.) The Coyotes make the playoffs.

2.) They win at least one playoff round when they get there


Hall wants to be in the Playoffs at this point of his career.

Winning a playoff round will show him that this team is Playoff-Ready year-in and year-out.

That will go a long way toward getting a more than great chance of re-signing him.