Wasn't Tampa the best team going into the playoffs the year the Blues won it? Sharks were even heavily favored over the Pens going into the final. That's when we all knew they would lose.
Someone gets upset and it's anybodies cup at that point. You never know who gets hot and who fades. Anyway, with the changes I suggested (loosely borrowed from Jux) they challenge for the 2 or 3 seed this season and have a decent shot at the 2nd round or better depending on injury luck.
Not sure if you have a subscription to Shengs website but he has great info on how the team is actually playing. Over the last 8 or 9 games they are dead even in 5 on 5 scoring (might have been prior to last game). That's after being completely destroyed 5 on 5 in the games prior. Thats including their murderers row go games against Vegas, the Avs and the blues. They've clearly turned a corner as far as how the skaters are playing. The PP is also starting to work with EK65 playing more as we all expect. Give this team average or better goaltending and they can play with most teams out there.