My playoffs would be knocking the Habs into 5th
we can do that!!!
If the Sens can go 3-3-0 over their next 6 games against WPG, EDM and TOR
+6 points
Their next 7 games would be against Calgary and Vancouver* (if they play) and 1 against MTL
Then their next 3 games are against MTL (x2) and WPG (x1)
If they went 9-1-0 in that stretch making sure the loss isn’t against MTL and preferably against WPG.
+18 points
They would catch 8 points on Vancouver
They would catch 6 points on MTL
Using MTL current PTS percentage of 0.6 they are on track to pickup 26 more points this season. Now minus off the Sens beating them 3 more times in this scenario and that leaves them only picking up another 20 points and finishing the season with: 61 Points
Meanwhile the Sens will have grabbed another 24 points on the season with two games left to play.
Their points would be: 54 points
Their opponents for the remaining 2 games would be:
Winnipeg and Toronto (hard games) with a max of 58 points on the year.
So now let’s take a look at MTL schedule for the remainder of the year (I will slot in some favourable predictions)
EDM - L
TOR - L
WPG - L
WPG - W
TOR - L
CGY - W
CGY - W
OTT - L
EDM - L
EDM - L
CGY - W
CGY - W
CGY - W
TOR - L
WPG - L
OTT - L
TOR - W
OTT - L
TOR - L
TOR - L
EDM - W
EDM - L
So as you can see when you paint out MTL schedule and plug in the auto losses against the Sens for this to work.
This would have them grabbing only 16 points and maxing them out at 57 points for the year. I could honestly see them grabbing even less points then that. Now of course if they just lose in overtime all the time as they have been doing then they would be super hard to catch.
So here is the near impossible picture of how the Sens could still today make the playoffs.
I’ll keep watching and updating the thread so long as both the Sens and MTL behave within the math according to the patterns above.
Cheers and happy holidays!
and just so everyone knows this thread is just meant for fun, I just felt under attack by a few and I just thought it would be fun and interesting to track down the stretch here just in case we went on a winning streak.. the win against MTL was encouraging. I fully understand we prob won’t make the playoffs and I agree the use of the word “legit” in the thread title was a poor choice.