Return of the Jets campaign (the sequel)

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King_Stannis

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Jun 14, 2007
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Doctor No said:
But you're from Pennsylvania (according to your nameplate, at least). Why should I trust your opinions on the viability of Atlanta as a future hockey town?

Well, you certainly don't have to, they are opinions after all. :) But Atlanta is perceived as a notoriously poor sports town. The NHL failed there once, so at least I have a historical foundation to fall back on. I can also point to the abysmal TV ratings in the Atlanta area for their playoff series against NY. In a time when bad ratings stories are not that uncommon, that one was very sobering. If I'm correct it was just a few thousand households in the Atlanta area that bothered watching the series on TV. That isn't even headscratching bad. That's jaw agape, eyes wide-open and unblinking bad. This was the Number Three seed in the playoffs, the winner of their division. And almost nobody watched their series in their own hometown.



To answer your question, if hockey succeeds in Atlanta or Miami, then it can do quite well. On the other hand, we have a Winnipeg supporter admitting that NO MATTER WHAT, Winnipeg will be below the median. Do you see the difference?

I'm not sure how to answer that first line. It's almost akin to saying that if pigs could fly, they could fly very far. But they can't, so they won't. Well, hockey is not succeeding in those two places. Not by a long shot. Now it's just a matter of how long the owners want to keep throwing money at it.

As to the Winnipeg person, I think they were being very realistic. I'm not sure how you can say that teams at or near the bottom in attendance and revenue deserve chance after chance, but when someone comes and says that Winnipeg could jump up to the middle of the pack they are derided. Ask the owners of some of those teams if they'd take middle of the road versus what they have now year after year. My guess is that they'd be on it in a heartbeat. So what if Winnipeg will never be number one. I have news for all of you, neither will Florida or Atlanta - despite the capacity of their arenas.

So in this case putting the game in a place where it will be appreciated is far better, even if it does mean that it will never be a Detroit or Toronto. I'd rather watch 15,000 screaming fans in Winnipeg than 13,000 (2,000 of whom came dressed as empty seats) docile customers in Miami.
 
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MAROONSRoad

f/k/a Ghost
Feb 24, 2007
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Well, seeing as how Doctor No actually does have a Ph.D., I think the point is entirely valid - hence the user name, Doctor No.

It's a valid title, and as such should be treated with due respect.

My bad.

I need to accord the proper respect for the good Doctor. A Ph.D. and a reported lawyer with better-than-average business acumen engaging in a debate with me! I am truly humbled.

BTW, thank you IB for creating a new thread on this topic on your own initiative. We do not often agree for some reason, but I respect you for doing that.

GHOST
 

GSC2k2*

Guest
My bad.

I need to accord the proper respect for the good Doctor. A Ph.D. and a reported lawyer with better-than-average business acumen engaging in a debate with me! I am truly humbled.

BTW, thank you IB for creating a new thread on this topic on your own initiative. We do not often agree for some reason, but I respect you for doing that.

GHOST

Why do you say "reported lawyer"?
 

BrianSTC

Registered User
May 23, 2007
556
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Winnipeg
Balsillie's lawyer makes it clear Winnipeg made an "expansion pitch" as recently as this year. Mccown says they were told to "go home."

GHOST,

You will never convince these Bettman cheerleaders that Bettman might just be a little anti-Canadian....

I watched that interview on Sportsnet and Balsillie's lawyer was pretty much saying that the ONLY REASON Balsillie's bid was falling through was because Balsillie wanted to move the team to Canada...

Bettman doesn't seem to have a problem with Kansas City though....
 
Dec 15, 2002
29,289
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There's more than one way to read that I guess. See the emphasis below to understand my meaning:

A reported lawyer with better-than-average business acumen.

GHOST

I'm a lot of reported things ... and a few of them are even complimentary. :D

Go to CJOB audio vault for July 4th at 7:00 P.M. and forward to 13:00 and listen to the conversation. Balsillie's lawyer makes it clear Winnipeg made an "expansion pitch" as recently as this year. Mccown says they were told to "go home." See/hear here:

Link: http://www.cjob.com/station/audiovault_preview.aspx

GHOST
I'm not going to dispute the accuracy of that statement (though I doubt the response from the NHL was as harsh as is made out to be) - however, the context is questionable. I wouldn't necessarily read, "the NHL doesn't want a team in Winnipeg" out of that - because a few cities have talked to the NHL about an expansion team. I think the NHL doesn't want to mess with expansion right now, and even letting on that they're entertaining the idea of expanding soon would open up a Pandora's Box of activity that they're not prepared to deal with right now. This would further back up Daly's comments about a team in Las Vegas, when he indicated that any talk of expansion was still 4-5 years down the road.

Now ... if/when the league decides to expand to 32 teams, I fully expect Winnipeg to put up a hell of a bid. Hopefully it will be more impressive than the feeble attempt Hamilton put up 10 years ago which was outshined by Oklahoma City.


GHOST,

You will never convince these Bettman cheerleaders that Bettman might just be a little anti-Canadian....

I watched that interview on Sportsnet and Balsillie's lawyer was pretty much saying that the ONLY REASON Balsillie's bid was falling through was because Balsillie wanted to move the team to Canada...

Bettman doesn't seem to have a problem with Kansas City though....
(Psst ... this is a Winnipeg thread ... take the Nashville/Hamilton/Kansas City/[insert other rumored destination for the Predators] talk back to the Nashville thread.)
 
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EbencoyE

Registered User
Nov 26, 2006
1,958
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I'm not sure how to answer that first line. It's almost akin to saying that if pigs could fly, they could fly very far. But they can't, so they won't. Well, hockey is not succeeding in those two places. Not by a long shot. Now it's just a matter of how long the owners want to keep throwing money at it.

Hockey is not succeeding in those places? Or the franchises aren't? It amazes me that people lump the two together so easily. Just because a HORRIBLE team such as the Panthers don't draw well (In a town that is known to be full of bandwagoners for any team besides the Dolphins) doesn't mean that the sport of hockey just "doesn't work" there.

Now if the Panthers had been making the playoffs regularly and made a run for the Cup within the past 10 years AND STILL drew poorly, you may have a point.

Your other example, the Thrashers, have been getting much better support recently thanks to... you guessed it... the team actually performing well! Gasp! Amazing how that works.

I'd rather watch 15,000 screaming fans in Winnipeg than 13,000 (2,000 of whom came dressed as empty seats) docile customers in Miami.

And what happens in 10 years when the Winnipeg franchise is one of the worst in the league and attendance starts to slip? We're back at square one. A large market team that performs poorly on the ice might only get 13,000 people in the gates, but atleast they know if the team performs well they'll be raking in the profits. Much more corporate money, potential fans, and a larger arena in Miami than there is in Winnipeg. It's no wonder owners are quite content with where their teams are now.
 

BrianSTC

Registered User
May 23, 2007
556
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Winnipeg
Hockey is not succeeding in those places? Or the franchises aren't? It amazes me that people lump the two together so easily. Just because a HORRIBLE team such as the Panthers don't draw well (In a town that is known to be full of bandwagoners for any team besides the Dolphins) doesn't mean that the sport of hockey just "doesn't work" there.

Good plan. I agree totally.
Lets move the Panthers to Hamilton and then put a winning AHL team in Miami...
If hockey works in Miami, the AHL team should do just fine.

Now if the Panthers had been making the playoffs regularly and made a run for the Cup within the past 10 years AND STILL drew poorly, you may have a point.

Please check:
Stanley Cup Finals 1996

And what happens in 10 years when the Winnipeg franchise is one of the worst in the league and attendance starts to slip?

Winnipeg?

Please check Winnipeg Jets:
A grand total of 4 winning seasons out of 17 in the league.
A grand total of 2 playoff series wins.
Overall record of 506 wins, 660 losses, and 172 ties.

Are we talking about the same Winnipeg?
 
Dec 15, 2002
29,289
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Please check:
Stanley Cup Finals 1996
Current year: 2007
Year of last Finals appearance: 1996
Number of years since last Finals appearance: 2007 - 1996 = 11

As an added bonus ...
Year of last playoff appearance: 2000
Number of years since last playoff appearance: 2007 - 2000 = 7
 

BrianSTC

Registered User
May 23, 2007
556
4
Winnipeg
Current year: 2007
Year of last Finals appearance: 1996
Number of years since last Finals appearance: 2007 - 1996 = 11

As an added bonus ...
Year of last playoff appearance: 2000
Number of years since last playoff appearance: 2007 - 2000 = 7

So?

Your point is?

There have been plenty of other teams that have missed the playoffs for several consecutive seasons and drew good crowds regardless.

The Florida Panthers actually made it to the Cup finals which is more playoff success than a lot of other teams have had recently. Florida won more playoff games in that season than the Winnipeg Jets won in their entire existance!

I don't think you can question what kind of support a Winnipeg franchise would get 10 years down the road when Winnipeg supported a losing team for 17 years.

And Florida fans better get used to missing the playoffs if the salary cap continues to go up...
 
Dec 15, 2002
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There have been plenty of other teams that have missed the playoffs for several consecutive seasons and drew good crowds regardless.
Really?

Name them - and don't start going through teams in other sports. We're talking about the NHL in general, a franchise that went to the Finals in its 3rd year of existence and in 13 years total, has made the playoffs three (3) times in particular at the moment.
 

BrianSTC

Registered User
May 23, 2007
556
4
Winnipeg
Before their Stanley Cup appearance in 2004, Calgary missed the playoffs 7 consecutive years.

Their attendance during those years"
1996-97 = 17,089
1997-98 = 16,847
1998-99 = 16,202
1999-00 = 15,322
2000-01 = 16,623
2001-02 = 15,719
2002-03 = 16,239

It's called having actual hockey fans.
Maybe attend a game or two in Calgary and you would see for yourself...

And btw, using your "logic", Winnipeg should have phenomenal attendance if they get a winning team since NHL attendance figures from Winnipeg were all figures with a losing team
 

Bear of Bad News

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Sep 27, 2005
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And btw, using your "logic", Winnipeg should have phenomenal attendance if they get a winning team since NHL attendance figures from Winnipeg were all figures with a losing team

In 1984-85, the Winnipeg Jets were 43-27-10, and averaged 12,766 in attendance per home game.

In 1989-90, the Winnipeg Jets were 37-32-11, and averaged 13,100 in attendance per home game.

Just thought you would like to know.
 
Dec 15, 2002
29,289
8,719
Before their Stanley Cup appearance in 2004, Calgary missed the playoffs 7 consecutive years.

Their attendance during those years"
1996-97 = 17,089
1997-98 = 16,847
1998-99 = 16,202
1999-00 = 15,322
2000-01 = 16,623
2001-02 = 15,719
2002-03 = 16,239

It's called having actual hockey fans.
Hmm .... interesting - so with all of those "actual hockey fans", the Flames still weren't selling out themselves in that period. Oh, I know - the economy was bad, the owners were crap, blah blah blah ... but it's really hard to take shots at another market when your own example doesn't really stand as a shining beacon of fan devotion itself. If Calgary has "actual hockey fans", then why wasn't the Saddledome selling out during that stretch anyway?

Probably because in some markets, there's an actual correlation between winning and attendance - yes, even in a couple of markets in Canada.

And btw, using your "logic", Winnipeg should have phenomenal attendance if they get a winning team since NHL attendance figures from Winnipeg were all figures with a losing team
See the Doctor's post above.
 

BrianSTC

Registered User
May 23, 2007
556
4
Winnipeg
In 1984-85, the Winnipeg Jets were 43-27-10, and averaged 12,766 in attendance per home game.

In 1989-90, the Winnipeg Jets were 37-32-11, and averaged 13,100 in attendance per home game.

Just thought you would like to know.

And?

Maybe if they would have followed up with a decent 85-86 season, maybe the Jets would have picked up the "bandwagon fans".

And you do realize that Jets went on a 17 game unbeaten streak to end the season?
I guess you wouldn't realize that by looking at the stats...
So until the end of February 1985 the Jets basically had a 500 record...
 

BrianSTC

Registered User
May 23, 2007
556
4
Winnipeg
Hmm .... interesting - so with all of those "actual hockey fans", the Flames still weren't selling out themselves in that period.

How many teams are selling out arenas currently?

Nashville? lol
Boston? They sure haven't missed the playoffs as long as Calgary did...
And how much are those attendance figures from these hotbed hockey markets padded?

How much can you trust official NHL attendance figures?

Consider this: the Detroit Red Wings reported 20,066 through the turnstiles for Wednesday’s game against Phoenix. Ted Kulfan of the Detroit News estimates actual attendance at about 13,000.

The Wings have an iron-clad excuse: They were up against the Tigers, who are closing in on a berth in the World Series. Once the ball team’s near-miraculous season is over, Detroit’s hockey team will resume its place as one of the top draws in the NHL.

But if Hockeytown can pad its numbers by about 30 percent, what kind of lies are they telling at other NHL arenas? How many real people showed up for Wednesday’s games in Florida (which reported 14,312 loyal customers), Atlanta (12,579) or Anaheim (12,394)?

Translated from NHL marketing-speak, "Attendance: 12,000" means "failed hockey market".

http://proicehockey.about.com/b/a/255966.htm

At least Calgary held its own while they were losing. That is more than what Nashville can do while they are winning...
 

Bear of Bad News

Your Third or Fourth Favorite HFBoards Admin
Sep 27, 2005
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And apparently your entire purpose here is to make unfounded claims and expect us to believe them. And apparently when they're disproven, you either disappear (see the other threads) or come back with non-responses.

And you do realize that Jets went on a 17 game unbeaten streak to end the season?
I guess you wouldn't realize that by looking at the stats...
So until the end of February 1985 the Jets basically had a 500 record...

Actually, I'm well aware of the Jets' record at the end of 1984-85. As it happens, I've been researching the 1984-85 season for my website over the past several weeks.

The point remains that you invariably make a claim without supporting evidence, it gets disproven, and then you get angry and defensive. And we seem to repeat that in every single thread.
 

King_Stannis

Registered User
Jun 14, 2007
2,125
31
Erie PA, USA
Hmm .... interesting - so with all of those "actual hockey fans", the Flames still weren't selling out themselves in that period. Oh, I know - the economy was bad, the owners were crap, blah blah blah ... but it's really hard to take shots at another market when your own example doesn't really stand as a shining beacon of fan devotion itself. If Calgary has "actual hockey fans", then why wasn't the Saddledome selling out during that stretch anyway?

Probably because in some markets, there's an actual correlation between winning and attendance - yes, even in a couple of markets in Canada.


See the Doctor's post above.


I'm pretty sure the Florida Panthers would kill for those attendance numbers. We're talking about some games getting 8-10,000 through the turnstiles in Miami. That's horrible.

And you guys who are saying "well, what if ______(insert canadian market here) went on a losing streak for X number of years? Their attendance would drop off too!". Well, the Calgary stats prove that at least when they fall off in Canada, it's to maybe 80% of capacity. That comes from the fact that the fans love the game and are more likely to go out and see even a losing team. Will they put up with it forever? Probably not, but I would imagine their fuse is quite a bit longer. But when they fall off in places like Florida, they're falling off to, let's be realistic here, 50-60% of capacity.

Let's also not discount the fact that Florida wasn't actually that bad this year - 35-31 is not exactly terrible. I know, I know. Give it time. Patience seems unlimited for the great southern experiment teams. If Winnipeg and Quebec City were given half the amount of time these places were they'd probably still have their teams.
 

Bear of Bad News

Your Third or Fourth Favorite HFBoards Admin
Sep 27, 2005
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If Winnipeg and Quebec City were given half the amount of time these places were they'd probably still have their teams.

Florida has been in the league for thirteen seasons.

Half of that time would be seven seasons (rounding up).

The Winnipeg Jets were in the NHL for seventeen seasons.
 

King_Stannis

Registered User
Jun 14, 2007
2,125
31
Erie PA, USA
Florida has been in the league for thirteen seasons.

Half of that time would be seven seasons (rounding up).

The Winnipeg Jets were in the NHL for seventeen seasons.

I meant the amount of time when they were probably working under crisis conditions. For Winnipeg and Quebec City, that probably didn't come until the nineties.
 

Sotnos

Registered User
Jul 8, 2002
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Not here
www.boltprospects.com
Honestly, you new guys are retreading old ground and using made up excuses that have already been disproven. We've all seen the Jets attendance numbers (though it doesn't seem like you have) and we know how long they were around (longer than the teams you want to get rid of). Go read the other Winnipeg thread and try to come up with something new, at least.

As for teams "padding" attendance, all teams count it the same way, in case you didn't know.
 

MAROONSRoad

f/k/a Ghost
Feb 24, 2007
4,067
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Maroons Rd.
Honestly, you new guys are retreading old ground and using made up excuses that have already been disproven. We've all seen the Jets attendance numbers (though it doesn't seem like you have) and we know how long they were around (longer than the teams you want to get rid of). Go read the other Winnipeg thread and try to come up with something new, at least.

As for teams "padding" attendance, all teams count it the same way, in case you didn't know.

As someone that attended Jets' games in the 80's and early 90's and that has attended games of many other teams in the 00's of this century, including games in so-called "un-traditional" markets, I will dispute that.

We are talking about two very different eras for one thing, different arena sizes, different expectations. The attendance figures reported in Winnipeg in the past were never padded by my estimates. I.E., what you saw when you attended a game corresponded to what you saw in the box score the next day in the local paper. The "padded attendance" phenomenon is of a more recent variety and is mostly practiced by said "non-traditional" markets that were trying to "grow the game" by distributing comp tickets from my observations.

Choose not to believe me Sotnos, but that is why I posted the net gate receipts per game data from the G&M which are the more important figures. As I have stated many times, arguing about the NHL's "announced attendance" figures is a waste of time.

GHOST
 

MAROONSRoad

f/k/a Ghost
Feb 24, 2007
4,067
0
Maroons Rd.
Before their Stanley Cup appearance in 2004, Calgary missed the playoffs 7 consecutive years.

Their attendance during those years"
1996-97 = 17,089
1997-98 = 16,847
1998-99 = 16,202
1999-00 = 15,322
2000-01 = 16,623
2001-02 = 15,719
2002-03 = 16,239

It's called having actual hockey fans.
Maybe attend a game or two in Calgary and you would see for yourself...

And btw, using your "logic", Winnipeg should have phenomenal attendance if they get a winning team since NHL attendance figures from Winnipeg were all figures with a losing team

I know I will probably be criticized for posting this data yet again, but it is very important for “new-comers” to see the below and also the TV ratings and revenue data (see the thread dedicated to that discussion). Cities like Edmonton or Ottawa are not necessarily much greater sports towns than Winnipeg although they have a slightly larger population. Keep in mind also the Canadian dollar has appreciated substantially since the below data was collected.

Here are the per game gate receipts net of taxes in USD as per the Globe and Mail report for the last season as of January 31, 2007.

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/v5/content/pdf/NHLweb.pdf

Above 1.5 million

1) Toronto

Between 1.5 million and 1 million

2) Montreal
3) New York (Rangers)
4) Detroit
5) Vancouver
6) Colorado
7) Minnesota
8) Edmonton

Between 1 million and 900,000

9) Calgary
10) Philadelphia
11) Dallas
12) Ottawa

Between 900,000 and 800,000

13) San Jose
14) Columbus

Between 800,000 and 700,000

15) Tampa Bay
16) Anaheim
17) Boston
18) Carolina

Between 700,000 and 600,000

19) Los Angeles
20) Buffalo

Between 600,000 and 500,000

21) Pittsburgh
22) New Jersey
23) Phoenix
24) Nashville
25) Florida

Between 500,000 and 400,000

26) Atlanta
27) Washington
28) New York (Islanders)
29) St. Louis

Between 400,000 and 300,000

30) Chicago

GHOST
 
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