Headed to the west coast for a week, so I'll miss most of the Cubs series which is undoubtedly make or break. In terms of the mathematics, we're lucky to still be just 5 games out, and probably doubly lucky that we have so many games left against our direct competitors. I assume Washington also has some games left against Atlanta, but at least in this sense we are in a better position than them and San Francisco: they need us to beat the teams ahead of all of us in the race, but if we do that, it helps us at least as much as it helps them, and probably more.
Those teams both probably need to get involved in their divisional races to have a chance. San Francisco is in a much better spot, whereas Washington is pretty much in our boat. For both us and the Nats, we have to be scorching hot in the remainder of the season, enough to at least be somewhat involved in divisional races that we are extremely far behind in, simply because the bottom line becomes the number of wins from the 4th and 5th best teams.
Bracketing the mathematics, it was likely always going to take something like another winning streak or seriously dramatic winning stretch (like a 4 game sweep, almost all series wins, maybe a 3 game sweep or two). We're dangerously close to really collapsing back down into the dregs of how we've played this year, and experience should tell us that it's foolish to expect a rapid turnaround. The one hope is that even during this mediocrity, the starting pitching has remained very good, which is what makes several of these losses so annoying. I think it pretty much comes down to a captain obvious observation: either these pitchers keep it up, and the offense wakes the f*** back up, and, combined with a little luck, we still climb back into this for September, or else the pitchers will mostly regress, and the wheels will pretty much come off. I don't think there's any real likelihood of something that could lead to Hurdle's firing, and while a big slump probably leaves us with another pick at #8 or #9, I am hopeful that we can at least extend the stress and frustration of following the 2018 Pirates into mid-September.