10-2 so far, most wins being dominating performances
And yet 60 minutes away from doom and gloom and 120 minutes away from the playoffs are over, this team sucks, they are a bunch of losers. Loll.
It think that half the oilers board has realized they are outmatched and half is complaining about us diving. Totally gloss over the fact that they were throughly dominated and our defense light-years ahead of theirs in every aspect. Frankie played solid and makar shutdown McDavid. We are blessed to have Makar locked down long term.
I mean, they were outmatched tonight. In game 1, I'd say the Oilers were even worse than Colorado, but (no, not because the score was high, I don't care if it was 90-80 or 1-0 in 10th OT) playing bad is playing bad. I know all teams do this, but: The Avs had good stretches this year, they had incredible stretches, and they had concerning stretches (IMO they were playing concerning hockey during a lot of their biggest winning streak of the year, only showing up for 1 period per game, constantly having to climb out of holes, getting lucky bounces, etc.).
Overall I have been really happy with the Avs this year, and these playoffs. I also know this is a team that has holes and weaknesses, even after improving or completely attenuating some of them with the trade deadline. They are also a team that can look really different in different games, or even periods. Tonight we saw them play with purpose, and while they continued to tighten up and look better, the Oilers seemed to get frustrated and demotivated (an away crowd can also factor into this).
I would think (I very well might may be wrong, but that sounds surprising to me) that half the oilers board, at least, would
already think the Oilers were outmatched by Colorado going into the series. That doesn't mean the Oilers can't win though.
This series might be a sweep, or maybe it ends in 5. I don't know. Maybe Avs win it in 7. But it's not over. Outside of considerations of things like, say, the hypothetical of Francouz getting injured early in the next game (that is not exactly unheard of, for him to get hurt), and if Kuemper isn't ready to go, suddenly we have to roll our dice with Annunen. And what if Colorado plays like they did in Game 1? And Edmonton plays like game 1, but not as sloppy, which they are capable of? Anyway, I will bench considerations that involve injuries, suspensions, etc.
Other considerations:
I'm not a fan of Nurse. I think he has moments and stretches where he looks good. I still think his contract is horrendous, but I think he has moments. I have found him particularly bad in the Flames series, and now this series. And fair, even if he shows up at his very best for the rest of the series, that alone isn't enough. Regardless, when a player on the other team is serving as a big liability on the ice, and I know is capable of performing better, I never like to rule out the possibility of them, well, straightening out and playing a lot better.
Sure, it goes both ways. Watching Edmonton need 7 games to play The Kings, who deserve credit, but were not exactly a world beating team, and then play a very fun but very sloppy match against Calgary where I was very happy I was not a fan of either team... That did not scream sustainable winning hockey. Facing a goalie deep in his net with a swiss-cheese glove for 5 games didn't seem a sustainable expectation. McDavid who is incredible, notably exceeding the best he has ever been and performing at Gretzky or Lemieux, or even better type levels, well, that did not seem like something that is fair or risk-free to count on and rely on continuing for the rest of the playoffs. Kane, notorious for exile from every franchise he has played for, putting up insane goal numbers (while also sometimes being a liability, and lazy), and not even having a game with one goal, just a whole bunch with 0, and a chunk with multi-goals, did not seem like something I would fully rely on maintaining long-term. Kulak/Barrie, even with a bit easier of assignments being the best pairing defensively seemed concerning to me. Basically, yeah, I think the Oilers were getting the results, but they were masking (to some, anyway) how flawed this organization is in the process. I think Woodcroft might be the best thing to happen to the team since McDavid (an unscrew-up-able draft pick, perhaps the only kind of draft pick this franchise has been able to fully effectively develop)
But I do know that it is possible for those guys who have contributed so far, to have games or another series where they keep it up. I also know guys like Nurse are capable of being better than they have shown us.
I also know the Avs can look like a different team, in a bad way, for long stretches of games, and that they have flaws.
Anyway I slice it, the odds favor the Avs for me, and maybe this series is over 3 nights from now, but for now, this series is not over. There is still 6 periods at the very minimum, maybe much more, left to go. A lot can happen. And, if a few things go right for the Oilers, and the Avs make a few mistakes, which we all know VERY well they are capable of, and have routinely done this year, the Oilers have some weapons that can make the Avs pay: fast and in bunches. Who knows how the respective coaches are going to adjust, too. At the end of the day, this is 3rd rd playoff hockey, any team can win. I know, you would
typically expect a series between two certain teams to be a higher degree of certainty for a given winner (but it absolutely does not always go the way you think, and the difference between 1 game and another can be really stark/night and day, good or bad), whereas there are some series like Tampa vs Toronto where many people felt torn, or picked either side, or wouldn't have been surprised in the slightest regardless of who won, etc.
But yeah, sorry for too much rambling. What has changed so far is, the Oilers are where the Avs were last week. 4 wins away from the finals. And the Avs have the... luxury, if you call it that, of being able to lose 3 games, whereas the Oilers can only lose 1. Team for team, it doesn't matter how this series were to have gone, sweep for edmonton, sweep for avs, or anything inbetween, I believe Colorado is the better team. But Edmonton can outmatch the Avs on a game-by-game basis, and even a series basis. A not very convincing home win followed up by a convincing home win doesn't decide a series.