Havre
Registered User
- Jul 24, 2011
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All of this is to ensure each country or healthcare system doesn't encounter more Coronavirus patients than it has hospital beds, or more importantly respirators. Italy has so many deaths because it's facing too many infections at once, so many of the deaths are attributable to a lack of available equipment.
If you have 100 respirators but 200 patients all need them at once, that's bad news. But if you can spread those 200 infections out over 4 months through social distancing and closings, you then have a surplus of respirators and fewer deaths attributable to a lack of equipment. This is the goal.
Yes. That part is clear. What is not clear is how many are already infected without much symptoms etc.
If there are currently 1000 cases in a country known and 50 of those are in hospital - you can extrapolate how much capacity is needed. But no-one knows if it is really 50 out of 1000 or if the real number of infected people are for example 30 000 (suggested by some that the real number of infected people is about 30x the number known - obviously also a guess).
We can only hope there is a lot more people already infected that we don't know about. Sounds unlikely, but I like to stay positive.