Habsfan 32 said:
Rookie Season
Sidney Crosby - 75 points
Corey Perry - 35 points
Gilbert Brule - 50 points
Benoit Pouliot - 45 points
Marc-Antoine Pouliot - 40 points
Evgeni Malkin - 60 points
Zach Parise - 55 points
Jeff Carter - 50 points
Brandon Bochenski - 30 points
Robbie Schremp - 45 points
Dany Roussin - 25 points
Alexander Ovechkin - 70 points
Mike Richards - 35 points
Ryan O'Marra - 30 points
Patrick O'Sullivan - 40 points
Maximum Potential
Sidney Crosby - 150 points
Corey Perry - 75 points
Gilbert Brule - 90 to 100 points
Benoit Pouliot - 80to 90 points
Marc-Antoine Pouliot - 65 to 75 points
Evgeni Malkin - 100 to 125 points
Zach Parise - 80 points
Jeff Carter - 80 to 90 points
Brandon Bochenski - 55 to 65 points
Robbie Schremp - 75 to 100 points (He's got all the offensive skills to be a 100 point guy)
Dany Roussin - 45 points
Alexander Ovechkin - 100 to 130 points
Mike Richards - 75 points
Ryan O'Marra - 75 points
Patrick O'Sullivan - 75 points
Just want to weigh in on the overly optimistic projections and specifically in regards to Shremp at 100pts?
Lets look at the top OHL point getters of this millenium in no particular order and see how they've faired since. All ten of the players were chosen on the basis of having one of the top 3-4 pt totals in the OHL for a particular year. For each I will give their top OHL year and top AHL or NHL year. This is designed to demonstrate the factual SHARP dropoff that typically occurs after marked OHL success. Note that EVERY one of these players had much better OHL #'s than Shremp. I specifically used OHL exclusively as that would rule out as many extraneous factors as possible and allow the closest comparison.
Corey Locke OHL 61 55 117 AHL 20 22 42
Matt Foy OHL 61 71 132 AHL 12 13 25
Martin ST Pierre OHL 45 65 110 ECHL-AHL 18 42 60
Chad Larose OHL 61 55 117 AHL 20 22 42
Nathan Robinson OHL 47 63 110 AHL 24 26 50
Mike Renzi OHL 44 64 108 ECHL 11 15 26 (ouch!)
Jason Spezza OHL 42 63 105 AHL 32 85 117 NHL 22 33 55
Kyle Wellwood OHL 35 83 118 AHL 38 49 87
Branko Radivojevic OHL 34 70 104 AHL 18 21 39 NHL 12 15 27
Eric Himelfarb OHL 37 70 107 AHL 19 24 43
Of the above Branko has given up apparently and is toiling in obscurity in Europe
Renzi has had a disaster of a career and is burried in the ECHL and I believe is now considering retirement.
All the others have had a lukewarn transition and being that I took players from 2000-on some have had ample time...
Spezza is the one exception to the apparent rule of non-translated success. The one player out of the top OHL point getters of the millenium that has been able to be successful at any level. Clearly though he is the exception, rather than the rule. Note that only 2/10 players above have any appreciable NHL gmaes played. (1 or 2 had something like 5 games in the NHL, just a cup of coffee so far so I didn't even bother listing that.)
Does Shremp even stick in the NHL? Past results seem to reveal that nothing is gimme.
comments?