GDT: Part 2 - Bruins @ Senators - 20 minutes to Destiny

[kolider]

I told you guys to chill out in the early going! **** happens but this team finds a way to get it done!

2 pts out with a game in hand AND the tie-breaker versus the Bruins. Keep it up boys!

 

[Do Make Say Think]

We have a +17 goal differential. Usually teams with +15 or more are locks for playoffs

Goal differential is such a weird thing to bring up

Montreal was negative for a while early on because they got blown out in a few loses and people kept saying "they are so bad, look at their goal differential"

+/- is generally regarded a poor stat in isolation to judge a player, I'm pretty sure the same is true of +/- at the team level

 

[Six Assets]

Keep on winning Montreal, we are coming for you.

 

[Senscore]

Ryan is Mr Clutch

Took him a while but he showed a lot of intentcity.

 

[PeterSidorkiewicz]

I told you guys to chill out in the early going! **** happens but this team finds a way to get it done!

2 pts out with a game in hand AND the tie-breaker versus the Bruins. Keep it up boys!

Isn't the tiebreaker ROW?

 

[Do Make Say Think]

Isn't the tiebreaker ROW?

Yes

Then it's the season series I think

 

[God Flower]

I keep hearing Boston has the tiebreaker over us. Can anyone explain why this is the case? We virtually have the same record, same amount of regulation wins, and the season series was 2-2. What am I missing?

 

[SelleckStache]

Goal differential is such a weird thing to bring up

Montreal was negative for a while early on because they got blown out in a few loses and people kept saying "they are so bad, look at their goal differential"

+/- is generally regarded a poor stat in isolation to judge a player, I'm pretty sure the same is true of +/- at the team level

whereas the sens haven't been blown out. It's been close all year, +/- tells that story

 

[HispanicAtTheDisco]

Holy crap, what an intense game. Big shout out to Pageau for going something like 77% in the faceoff dot.

 

[PeterSidorkiewicz]

Hammond didn't let things get out of hand.


That's what he's been doing this whole time. Obviously his worst game of the year, but he never let it get too far away from him.

Nope he didn't. He was great on that PK early on when the Bs had five shots.

 

[Stylizer1]

show me the money!!!!!

 

[Ismellofhockey]

Goal differential is such a weird thing to bring up

Montreal was negative for a while early on because they got blown out in a few loses and people kept saying "they are so bad, look at their goal differential"

+/- is generally regarded a poor stat in isolation to judge a player, I'm pretty sure the same is true of +/- at the team level

Except it isn't. Statistically, you may get a few outliers here and there, but the correlation between goal differential and playoffs is pretty strong.

 

[danishh]

GD is a good predictor of results over a long term, but we're talking about just 12 games left, so anything can happen.

also why at this time of the year http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL/Eastern/Atlantic/Ottawa2.html (sportsclubstats 50/50 model) is a better indicator of real playoff chances, not the GD model.

 

[Sens Mile]

Minnesota just scored, 3-2 Washington in the 3rd

 

[ChocolateLeclaire]

I rarely post on other team's page, but I'm really rooting for you guys! What an epic game, what an epic run!

Thanks man, everyone can get on the Ham-wagon!

 

[BigBush*]

Goal differential is such a weird thing to bring up

Montreal was negative for a while early on because they got blown out in a few loses and people kept saying "they are so bad, look at their goal differential"

+/- is generally regarded a poor stat in isolation to judge a player, I'm pretty sure the same is true of +/- at the team level

not really actually. Lot of coaches look at the season as a whole and really stress the importance of having a big goal differential.

Babcock and Sutter have talked a lot about it

 

[krapsik]

That was something. I am confident in our F group for next season. Little tweak on D and we can do some real damage.

 

[OttawaSenators11]

Nice to see the guys pick up Hammond..

Toronto next!

 

[saskriders]

I keep hearing Boston has the tiebreaker over us. Can anyone explain why this is the case? We virtually have the same record, same amount of regulation wins, and the season series was 2-2. What am I missing?

Regulation + OT wins (ROW in the standings) is the tiebreaker. We are 3 behind Boston.

However we have the tiebreaker-tiebreaker against Boston, and they can not take it away.

 

[RedWhiteBlackGold]

GD is a good predictor of results over a long term, but we're talking about just 12 games left, so anything can happen.

also why at this time of the year http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL/Eastern/Atlantic/Ottawa2.html (sportsclubstats 50/50 model) is a better indicator of real playoff chances, not the GD model.

Good to see you around these boards bud. I see you on the main boards usually but it's always a pleasure to see you around these parts.

 

[OgieO]

Goal differential is such a weird thing to bring up

Montreal was negative for a while early on because they got blown out in a few loses and people kept saying "they are so bad, look at their goal differential"

+/- is generally regarded a poor stat in isolation to judge a player, I'm pretty sure the same is true of +/- at the team level

Actually, over a season its one of the best indicators of team success. Which makes sense as its a team stats based on team outcomes where plus minus is a player stat based on multiple player outcomes.

 

[Knave]

I really love our bottom 2 lines. Pageau, Chiasson, Condra and Lazar have been playing so big.

 

[Deku]

Thanks for the new avatar Lazar

 

[HispanicAtTheDisco]

I keep hearing Boston has the tiebreaker over us. Can anyone explain why this is the case? We virtually have the same record, same amount of regulation wins, and the season series was 2-2. What am I missing?

More of our wins are probably shootout wins, ROW is regulation and overtime wins. We have 30 and they have 33.

 

[Gil Gunderson]

I keep hearing Boston has the tiebreaker over us. Can anyone explain why this is the case? We virtually have the same record, same amount of regulation wins, and the season series was 2-2. What am I missing?

ROWs. Regulation/overtime (non shootout) wins.