1. The only years when a UFA may possibly be worth it is early into his contract, but those years will be wasted since our top kids will still be kids going through growing pains.
2. By the time our kids (Kakko, Chytil, Kravtsov, K'Andre, Lias, Jets pick) are close to their prime, Panarin's contract will be an anchor on the team even if he's still ok. Meaning, if he's a $5 player making $11, it is still a disaster even though he's still pretty good.
3. If we sign nobody and trade Kreider, we stand a reasonable shot at getting one of the two centers in the 2020 draft who are presently viewed as superior to Kakko. Even if we don't get them, we still get a top prospect better than Kravtsov (earlier pick in a better draft). Even if we lose the lottery, we still get a prospect who looks better on his draft day than anyone we had in 2 decades except Kakko. If we win the lottery, we get someone better than Kakko. Or we sign a contract which is highly likely to be an anchor or at best, a good contract, but that is wasted playing with kids who are still green.