I've never taken any issue with the notion that this could spread quickly to many people if handled poorly. I've taken issue with your garbage death rate projections based on garbage sources.
You've made an assumption that I think death rates are going to be north of 5%. I've never once claimed death rates would be that high, here, or anywhere else. I've said what is happening in Italy could happen here. You wrongly assumed that I didn't know the numbers will skew high due to who is being tested at the moment, the elderly, immuno-compromised and most symptomatic cases.
The scary part of the equation here isn't the death rate. The worry is the exponential nature of the growth curve, how long each patient is in intensive care to recover and how projections show the N. American healthcare system does not have the medical equipment, ICU space or staff to handle what is coming our way.
And that's why I've been pushing back on your notion that as long as we wash our hands and keep the elderly safe, we don't need to alter what we are doing much beyond that. None of the experts I'm following are on the same page as you. They believe that approach will lead to the needless death of countless people. They believe mass social distancing, of all ages, is the only way to move forward. And it needs to start very very soon. Each day of delay will cost many lives, due to the exponential growth rates of this virus.
