krutovsdonut
eeyore
- Sep 25, 2016
- 17,011
- 9,731
I didn't ignore it. I said your expectations are appropriate for a #20-25 overall pick.
If we took a guy at #5 overall with limited physical tools who uses his IQ to be a 'pretty good' 40-45 point CHL defender at this point in his development ... that's an awful pick.
With a #5 overall pick you should be getting a blue-chip player who has both the physical tools and the mental game to be an All-Star. Like those guys in 2015.
well no, with a #5 pick you take a chance if you chase a potential all rounder #1d all star because the physical dominance and skills of those prospects masks their mental limitations at the junior level. it's a risky pick as has been shown over and over. you might just get a toolsy stay at home dman with character to spare.
i do think a player like that is often worth a 5th overall pick despite the bust potential.
but my view is that a top pairing dman prospect is also worth a 5th overall pick and need not follow the #1d all rounder prospect paradigm and profile. my view is that a career trajectory for juolevi as a top pairing dman can be reconciled with him not dominating in junior because of the type of player he is and was known to be when drafted. you shouldn't necessarily expect his junior career or his transition to the nhl to track like someone drafted as a physical all rounder.
so i want to see how he does in training camp and continue to evaluate, and i won't be panicking on this guy until i see he does not have the mental game he was drafted for, or unless a physical limitation shows up that goes beyond not being ready. i can be patient and happy for another year if i don't see those problems, because i believe the physical strength and the meat and potatoes defensive work will come.