I think Guentzel (retained) to the Oilers at the TDL makes a lot of sense.
Not sure on the price needed to ultimately reach a deal but it will start with a 1st ++
Our GM is notoriously stingy with rentals. He hasn't traded a first for a rental ever, and the man is older than Jesus. I don't expect he will start trading 1sts for rentals now, especially on a player who we can't fit in our cap structure moving forward, so an extension is not likely.
I think the Oilers are absolutely in the market for a winger for Draisaitl's line. I don't think it will be a guy who has the price tag of Guentzel though, and I also don't think Holland will blow his proverbial wad on one player this deadline when he has 4 obvious spots that could use an upgrade - 2nd line RW, 3rd line C, backup goalie, and top 4 RD (Ceci upgrade). We don't have the assets or the cap space to really go that aggressively after Guentzel. Do I believe that Holland inquired about his availability? Absolutely. Do I think he will pay the price to get him? History suggests that he won't.
Ideal team after deadline:
Nuge - McDavid - Hyman
Kane - Draisaitl - Cheap 2nd line scorer
Foegele - Veteran 3 C - McLeod
Janmark/Ryan - Holloway - Perry
Gagner
Nurse - New RD (upgrade on Ceci)
Ekholm - Bouchard
Kulak - Desharnais
Broberg
Skinner
Better backup than Pickard