HamiltonOHL
BulldogsFan00
OHLInsiders(.com) @OHLinsiders 13s13 seconds ago
London #Knights Trade Jack Hidi to Hamilton #Bulldogs #OHL #OHLTradeDeadline
London #Knights Trade Jack Hidi to Hamilton #Bulldogs #OHL #OHLTradeDeadline
Tweeted by more reliable source, Larry Mellott (@stormradioguy), prior to this tweet.
...but why though?
Picks are simply a form of currency
Look at how Sarnia got rooked by Brown. They lost last night to the Attack. There are no guarantees if you give all your future picks away you will win anything. The fact is this is the way teams conduct business in this day and age. Not many fans in the league agree with it but it is what it is. Depends on the team you cheer for. We all wish our teams can benefit by having another franchise give away a boat load of picks and players. I doubt the league will do anything unless something nefarious is found.
I don't really get the rants about GMs trading picks well out in the future. Its one thing for random guys like me to harp about it but last night TSN1200 suggested that Branch should crack down on it and that GMs are exploiting loopholes.
The most common justification is something like 'they are trading 9 year olds!' or some such variation. This meme seems to have built a life of its own but it is literally wrong and ridiculously disingenuous.
Picks are simply a form of currency, they are a scarce right that is exercised or traded. They are a right to pick a draft eligible player in a given year. That represents a value and a market naturally emerges for scarce valuables that can be exchanged.
- Picks for a current draft have a market value based on the round and the final standings of the teams.
- Picks in future years have less present value and a further discount based on the uncertainty of the final standings.
- Conditional picks have additional risks that the conditions are not satisfied.
GM pick management/strategy is a complex and interesting part of there job. It is normally quite opaque because the OHL simply doesn't publish an open record of each team's current pick inventory. Peter Kneulman is doing a great but painstaking job filling this void http://theohlwriter.blogspot.ca/2015/12/ohl-draftpick-database-2015-christmas.html?m=1.
The more fans can understand and keep track of GM performance the more they can come to appreciate this important dimension to long term team success. I for one find this much more interesting than the facile complaints about 'trading 9 year olds.'
If anyone disagrees, I'm more than happy to hear if I am missing something about this topic.
I have no issue with trading picks down the road. I think the only GM's who don't like it are the ones who refuse to do it. That cause is then picked up by the fans and media outlets of those teams. If my GM is refusing to deal distant picks, and thus gets outbid when attempting to deal for impact players, they have nobody to blame but themselves. And IMO, they aren't willing to do everything possible to make their team better. All in the name of stubborn principle.
GM's who will deal distant picks have lots of time to recoup those picks in down years. In Kitchener, Steve Spott whined and blamed everyone else but himself when he got outbid by other teams for players. He wasn't prepared to deal distant picks as quickly as other GM's. Why? Because he wasn't willing to sell in down years. He would rather keep graduating assets in years we weren't contending in an effort to get into the second round and make the bottom line and his record look good.
Prime example; In 2011 when the non-contending Knights were receiving multiple second round picks for their graduating OA's, Spott stood pat and held onto two of the top OA forwards in the league (Akeson and Tipoff) when he should have sold them off when it was evident the Rangers weren't going anywhere that post season.
And again in Kitchener, if the rules of today concerning the dealing for 1st rounders who won't report to the team that drafts them stand, and if there were restrictions on dealing distant picks, then how do we complete the Tortora deal? Especially since these types of deals can only be completed using draft picks and no players. Barrie has to deal him by a certain time to get the compensatory 1st rounder for next year. Nobody is going to acquire Tortora's rights unless there are guarantees he reports unless conditional picks are involved. Those picks have to be distant as we have to wait to see if Tortora reports between now and the end of his junior eligibility.
I don't really get the rants about GMs trading picks well out in the future. Its one thing for random guys like me to harp about it but last night TSN1200 suggested that Branch should crack down on it and that GMs are exploiting loopholes.
The most common justification is something like 'they are trading 9 year olds!' or some such variation. This meme seems to have built a life of its own but it is literally wrong and ridiculously disingenuous.
Picks are simply a form of currency, they are a scarce right that is exercised or traded. They are a right to pick a draft eligible player in a given year. That represents a value and a market naturally emerges for scarce valuables that can be exchanged.
- Picks for a current draft have a market value based on the round and the final standings of the teams.
- Picks in future years have less present value and a further discount based on the uncertainty of the final standings.
- Conditional picks have additional risks that the conditions are not satisfied.
GM pick management/strategy is a complex and interesting part of there job. It is normally quite opaque because the OHL simply doesn't publish an open record of each team's current pick inventory. Peter Kneulman is doing a great but painstaking job filling this void http://theohlwriter.blogspot.ca/2015/12/ohl-draftpick-database-2015-christmas.html?m=1.
The more fans can understand and keep track of GM performance the more they can come to appreciate this important dimension to long term team success. I for one find this much more interesting than the facile complaints about 'trading 9 year olds.'
If anyone disagrees, I'm more than happy to hear if I am missing something about this topic.
I don't really get the rants about GMs trading picks well out in the future. Its one thing for random guys like me to harp about it but last night TSN1200 suggested that Branch should crack down on it and that GMs are exploiting loopholes.
The most common justification is something like 'they are trading 9 year olds!' or some such variation. This meme seems to have built a life of its own but it is literally wrong and ridiculously disingenuous.
Picks are simply a form of currency, they are a scarce right that is exercised or traded. They are a right to pick a draft eligible player in a given year. That represents a value and a market naturally emerges for scarce valuables that can be exchanged.
- Picks for a current draft have a market value based on the round and the final standings of the teams.
- Picks in future years have less present value and a further discount based on the uncertainty of the final standings.
- Conditional picks have additional risks that the conditions are not satisfied.
GM pick management/strategy is a complex and interesting part of their job. It is normally quite opaque because the OHL simply doesn't publish an open record of each team's current pick inventory. Peter Kneulman is doing a great but painstaking job filling this void http://theohlwriter.blogspot.ca/2015/12/ohl-draftpick-database-2015-christmas.html?m=1.
The more fans can understand and keep track of GM performance the more they can come to appreciate this important dimension to long term team success. I for one find this much more interesting than the facile complaints about 'trading 9 year olds.'
If anyone disagrees, I'm more than happy to hear if I am missing something about this topic.
Prime example; In 2011 when the non-contending Knights were receiving multiple second round picks for their graduating OA's, Spott stood pat and held onto two of the top OA forwards in the league (Akeson and Tipoff) when he should have sold them off when it was evident the Rangers weren't going anywhere that post season.
I couldn't disagree more about that team. If I recall it was a fairly weak league that year. Mississauga was hosting the Memorial Cup and all we basically had to do was win the west to get in. I think Mississauga was the top or near top ranked team in the country. In about a 2 week span in February we blew a late 2 goal lead at home to Mississauga (a game we dominated) then went to Mississauga and dominated them on Family Day winning 5 - 2. We were as good as anybody.
Bottom line we lost in 7 games to Plymouth first round of the playoffs because Spott hitched the Ranger fortunes to a goalie that couldn't stop a beach ball the first 4 games. They couldn't dig themselves out of the hole.