Official 2015 Tank Thread VI
- Thread starter joshjull
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The Magic McEichel Number is actually 42, as we lead Edmonton based on tiebreakers. This is how many points are needed to secure 30th at the end of the season.
For an explanation of how this works, see my article
http://www.diebytheblade.com/2015/2/6/7992709/de-mystifying-the-magic-mceichel-number
dotcommunism
Moderator
- Aug 16, 2007
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You can't take tiebreakers as a given, especially since the ROW difference between Buffalo and Edmonton is only two. If Buffalo were to actually catch Edmonton in points it would not be unlikely for them to pass Edmonton in ROW
Gabrielor
"Win with us or watch us win." - Rasmus Dahlin
My faith was not misplaced I see. (Didn't see the game at all, fell asleep before.)
misterchainsaw
Preparing PHASE TWO!
It actually doesn't. All it guarantees is we finish ahead of Edmonton.
If say Edmonton gains 19 of those points via wins/OTL's (let's just say 9-13-1) but Buffalo gets hot too and goes 13-12-0, that's the 43 points combined won by EDM and lost by BUF, but there would still be 8 other teams that would need to win some games to stay ahead of Buffalo.
I still say the magic number is 52 pts for Edmonton. As in, even my most optimistic projections of the way this roster closes the season will not yield more than 51 pts. Even if you assume they can scrape six or seven points from the remainder of their road schedule--which would be a tall task given their road proficiency, or lack thereof--I can't see them getting 10 pts with the remainder of their home schedule.
February: Rangers, Preds, Canucks
March: Rangers, Caps, Devils, Coyotes
April: Leafs, Blackhawks, Canes, Penguins
Best case, I think they go 1-4 in the next five, split with the Devils/Yotes, and split their April games for a 4-7 record. More likely, I think we finish in the 45-47 point range.
February: Rangers, Preds, Canucks
March: Rangers, Caps, Devils, Coyotes
April: Leafs, Blackhawks, Canes, Penguins
Best case, I think they go 1-4 in the next five, split with the Devils/Yotes, and split their April games for a 4-7 record. More likely, I think we finish in the 45-47 point range.
What sort of Harry Potter ******** is that?The Magic McEichel Number is actually 42, as we lead Edmonton based on tiebreakers. This is how many points are needed to secure 30th at the end of the season.
For an explanation of how this works, see my article
http://www.diebytheblade.com/2015/2/6/7992709/de-mystifying-the-magic-mceichel-number
Lay down your wands, the tank is virtually over.
MayDay
Registered User
Exactly.
Edmonton is leading in the tie-breaking category right now, but under most scenarios in which the Sabres would catch-up and match the Oilers in points, they would also move ahead in ROW.
We just have to hope any wins the Sabres manage the rest of the way come in the SO.
Bobby Bottle Service
Win for Rick
If someone had told me that Derek Roy would be helping the tank... I'd have been pissed off that GMTM brought Roy back to Buffalo.
Team Cozens
Registered User
Again....
AFTER we clinch 30th. Oilers won last night thank goodness.... let's not give it right back tonight. Focus on the prize.
With 25 games left, the max amount of points we can get is 86
Last year, 86 points would have been 10th overall.
We've clinched a top 10 pick!
Last year, 86 points would have been 10th overall.
We've clinched a top 10 pick!
SoFFacet
Registered User
Well, you're correct that people are slightly misusing the term magic number when they focus narrowly on Edmonton. But the concept of a magic number itself is automatically referenced to the 2nd-place team.
Gabrielor
"Win with us or watch us win." - Rasmus Dahlin
Still good to watch the flanks. Edmonton is still around, and I still think Arizona and Toronto are worth keeping an eye on. Carolina's too talented when they're healthy.
Happy for the win, but until it's 100%, I'll be watching closely. Tonight would be a good loss to grab.
Happy for the win, but until it's 100%, I'll be watching closely. Tonight would be a good loss to grab.
Husko
Registered User
Remember the Sabres might make the playoffs thread?
@BNHarrington
On Dec. 29, #Sabres were 10 points ahead of #Oilers, who were 7-22-7. Since then, EDM is 10-10-3 (23 pts), BUF just 2-17-1 (5 pts)
@BNHarrington
On Dec. 29, #Sabres were 10 points ahead of #Oilers, who were 7-22-7. Since then, EDM is 10-10-3 (23 pts), BUF just 2-17-1 (5 pts)
Husko
Registered User
It's probably safer for you to dress neutral and root for Philly.
I have an old black goathead, I could wear that and hope they're too dumb to notice
tsujimoto74
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- May 28, 2012
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LOL we be tanking crew... might not trade Kessel... tank hard comrades!
They arent prepared, they dont even know
Boston's gonna miss the playoffs and win the lotto
And then trade McDavid for peanuts in 3 years because they still don't know how to salary cap and he isn't a "Boston type of player".
@JeremyWGR
At 11 @THNKenCampbell joins Hockey Hotline. He's on board with the Sabres direction and was before this year ---> http://www.thehockeynews.com/blog/why-the-buffalo-sabres-will-be-stanley-cup-champions-in-2020/
At 11 @THNKenCampbell joins Hockey Hotline. He's on board with the Sabres direction and was before this year ---> http://www.thehockeynews.com/blog/why-the-buffalo-sabres-will-be-stanley-cup-champions-in-2020/
tsujimoto74
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- May 28, 2012
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