Ooof, yours truly is eating some serious crow this morning. Was away for 5 days hiking in the backcountry with zero cell access, and came back to a very different hockey team. But I'll tell ya, this crow tastes pretty good.
First of all, good for Sakic. He had to make a damn tough decision there - both on-ice and in the face of his fans (popular player, etc) - and not only did he make the tough decision, he got good return doing so. In the face of a pretty bad situation, he got pretty much the best result he could have, IMO. He showed he deserved more confidence that I was ever willing to give him. Kudos.
As far as the return goes, I can't imagine too many Avs fans in here are too upset. They got another young defenseman with big upside, a good pick, and two quality prospects. Now, they did also part with McGinn while doing so, and that is not meaningless. Make no mistake - this trade was expensive for Colorado. The Avs pretty much handed Buffalo 40 goals and 100 points this upcoming season, while only taking back one actual regular NHL player, and that one doesn't even have 82 NHL games under his belt. This is the sort of trade that rebuilding teams typically make, and IMO it's quite possible that Colorado will be a worse team on the ice immediately following this trade (UFA acquisitions TBD) this upcoming season, but could be a much better team a few years down the road. Because O'Reilly is - right now - by far the best player in the deal, and Buffalo got the only two players in the deal who have played more than one full NHL season (82 games). It might take a bit of time for Colorado to match what they would/could have been in 2016 with O'R/McGinn on the roster. But there's no doubt that the future upside is nice here.
As far as the draft goes, I'm again impressed with Sakic. I'm no scout of junior players, but from what I've read, the kid they got at #10 is a perfectly reasonable pick. I have no idea when the Avs' management took the Asset Management 101 course, but in the 2nd round, the Avs worked it very nicely. They got back a couple of picks for that #31 pick, and then also traded a very late pick so they could negotiate a contract with Soderberg. They clearly need(ed) more organizational depth and an O'R replacement, and used draft pick asset management to deal with both issues. Well done.
As for the FA part of this, it's obviously not finished, but I like the Soderberg signing - a tad expensive perhaps, but a good player. Nice to have a 6'+ center, too (when the team is on the road, people are going to think that Joey Hishon is his teenage son). Obviously, I think the Avs would do well to finish out that left side of the defense. Everyone is talking about Sekera or Ehrhoff, but it wouldn't surprise me to see them take a lesser player like Irwin or something, now that they have Zadorov. I also think it would be a good thing for them to sign a veteran forward/wing UFA to a short mid-level contract. Because right now, the Avs are only 2 injuries on the top 2 lines away from a fairly uninspiring player being up there on said top lines. And that's only if Grigorenko gets his ass out of the AHL (which I believe he will from the get go).
In the end, the 2009 rebuild didn't produce a cup-contending team, so it required a 2015 mini-rebuild. Or it required a little influx of fuel to push it towards cup-contending status. I believe this could be that influx. I'm not entirely sure what this portends for the 2015-16 version of the Avalanche, but I'm excited to see it on the ice.