Nolan Patrick Expectations

[whitstifier]

Full body hernia.

 

[chupanibre]

Is there an overall consensus that he is going straight to the NHL next season? Is he ready?

 

[Hollywood Cannon]

Is there an overall consensus that he is going straight to the NHL next season? Is he ready?

Yes.

There is nothing left that he can learn from in juniors. The best thing for him is to be up in the NHL and learn the game speed.

Is he going to have the impact that someone like McDavid or Matthews had their rookie years? Definitely not but it's what is best for him and he should be able to hold his own.

 

[MacDonald4MVP]

Yes.

There is nothing left that he can learn from in juniors. The best thing for him is to be up in the NHL and learn the game speed.

Is he going to have the impact that someone like McDavid or Matthews had their rookie years? Definitely not but it's what is best for him and he should be able to hold his own.

Plus it'd favorable for his second deal. Imagine if Draisatl had one more year on his elc left. It would likely mean bigger pay raise than what he's getting this summer.

 

[Magua]

I'm expecting him to be a center who can score somewhere between 10-80 points per year and can provide either good or bad (or maybe mediocre) defensive play.

The Bellemare-Eberle Spectrum

 

[Fugazy]

He definitely seems like the most NHL ready prospect in this draft. I think he'll eclipse the 40 point mark in his first season. You guys are really lucky to have him.

 

[LegionOfDoom91]

If he scores 76 can we just say 80 instead?

 

[kudymen]

I expect him to have a 40 game stretch with only 10 points. Followed by people telling him to go to the gym.

 

[OrangeAndBlackMetal]

I'm going to say 52 points in 77 games

 

[Striiker]

The Bellemare-Eberle Spectrum

I think that's pretty fair. If he doesn't end up somewhere in between I'd be a tad bit surprised.

If he scores 76 can we just say 80 instead?

You just typed the same number twice... I don't understand.

Of course we'd say 80 is 80...

 

[Ruck Over]

Stay healthy for the year is the first hurdle, 72+ games (includes a few nicks and bumps, and inevitable scratch to learn the game from the press box).

1 fight, just to show he's willing to do so. No more, no less. (Even Claude Giroux will drop the gloves, Vora too.)

30 points on the low end, 45 on the high end. (would like over 20 goals on the season)

Would enjoy if he were in Calder conversation, not expecting him to win.

 

[Rebels57]

Stay healthy for the year is the first hurdle, 72+ games (includes a few nicks and bumps, and inevitable scratch to learn the game from the press box).

1 fight, just to show he's willing to do so. No more, no less. (Even Claude Giroux will drop the gloves, Vora too.)

30 points on the low end, 45 on the high end. (would like over 20 goals on the season)

Would enjoy if he were in Calder conversation, not expecting him to win.

That's because Oskar Lindblom is going to win

 

[FlyTimmo]

That's because Oskar Lindblom is going to win

If we are correct in that Lindblom will be on the first line next to Giroux and potentially Voracek, he should win easy.

 

[Rebels57]

If we are correct in that Lindblom will be on the first line next to Giroux and potentially Voracek, he should win easy.

As much as I would love that, it is still jumping the gun.

Nico Hischier might have Taylor Hall on his LW for all we know for example.

 

[deadhead]

I think Patrick will start as the 4th line center, and gradually have his ice time increased as he gets comfortable with the NHL game. By January he'll be the de facto third line center - depending how they move guys around, he could be on a "kids" line with Lindblom/Laughton at LW and Konecny at RW.

As he gets comfortable, his duties will expend, he might be on the 2nd PP and on the PK by January.

 

[Ruck Over]

The Bellemare-Eberle Spectrum

Not really sure it's realistic for Patrick to show as much heart and leadership as Bellemare (who even knows if he's likeable in the locker room), and definitely not realistic for him to be as skillfull as Eberle (assuming the Islanders don't drag down his play.)

 

[healthyscratch]

50+ points from some of you?! Holy crap, I would be thrilled with 40. I don't see anyone factoring in the Hakscratch issues. Should create a poll, how many games will Nolan be healthy scratched? I say at least 8.

 

[FatTugboatFlahr]

50+ points from some of you?! Holy crap, I would be thrilled with 40. I don't see anyone factoring in the Hakscratch issues. Should create a poll, how many games will Nolan be healthy scratched? I say at least 8.

But Nolan falls into the "2 way reputation" grouping. Where no matter how bad you play, Hakstok is forever indebted to you and your efforts.

 

[Striiker]

Yeah, Hischier would have fallen into the anti-dynamic offense Hakstok scratch group with Konecny and Ghost.

Patrick is in the Provorov group.

 

[Roo Mad Bro]

I'd love for 40 this year. Maybe flirt with 20 goals.

Eventually I'm hoping he can become a 65-75 pt two way 1C.

 

[bennysflyers16]

20 goals, 24 assists.

Potential to flirt with 55pts, can't wait to watch this kids shot.

 

[NYCFlyer]

Rookie campaigns by some recent non generational top picks.

Mackinnon 63
RNH 52 points
Barkov 24 points
Monahan 34 points
Zacha 24 points
Draisaitl 9 points
Johansen 21 points
Seguin 22 points

I find it hard to believe Natrick will get the same usage out of the gates as RNH and MacKinnon did.

If you ranked those players based on who you would want most on your team the points they scored in their rookie year give almost no indication of how really good they are.

 

[nuclear reactor]

50+ points from some of you?! Holy crap, I would be thrilled with 40. I don't see anyone factoring in the Hakscratch issues. Should create a poll, how many games will Nolan be healthy scratched? I say at least 8.

Doubt an 18/19 yo is going to make it through 82 NHL games without rough patches that warrant a healthy scratch. There will be tears around here no doubt though.

 

[Delete99991]

Yes.

There is nothing left that he can learn from in juniors. The best thing for him is to be up in the NHL and learn the game speed.

It's a shame that he can't go to the AHL. Would be good if he could spend a season there.

 

[Delete99991]

Funny to see Draisaitl with 9 points in his rookie year. Now he's PPG.

A few more interesting comps in their rookie year:

E Staal 11/20/31 (then was PPG in AHL the following year)
Lecavalier 13/15/28
Getzlaf 14/25/39 (57 games)