NFC Playoff Picture

[misterchainsaw]

It's November, yada yada yada here we go

AFTER WEEK 8:
1. Philadelphia - 7-1
2. Detroit - 6-2
3. Seattle - 5-2 (NFC West Leader)
4. Atlanta - 4-4 (NFC South Leader) (Holds Division record tiebreaker over NO)
5. Dallas - 5-2
6. San Francisco - 5-3
7. Minnesota - 4-4 (Holds Conference record tiebreaker over NO)
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8. New Orleans - 4-4
9. Tampa Bay - 3-4
10. LA Rams - 3-5 (Holds conference record tiebreaker over WSH)
11. Washington - 3-5
12. Green Bay - 2-5
13. NY Giants - 2-6 (Holds conference record tiebreaker over CHI)
14. Chicago - 2-6
15. Carolina - 1-6
16. Arizona - 1-7

CONTROL OF DESTINY: Note: Only the highest level (among 1st round bye, division title, and making the playoffs) a team controls their own destiny for will be listed here - if a team controls their own destiny for the first round bye, they also control their own destiny to make the playoffs and win their division). A team controls their own destiny if they obtain a certain spot 100% of the time if they win every game for the rest of the year.

- Philadelphia controls their own destiny for the first round bye.
- Seattle controls their own destiny for the first round bye.
- Dallas controls their own destiny for the first round bye.
- Detroit controls their own destiny for the NFC North.
- Atlanta controls their own destiny for the NFC South.
- San Francisco controls their own destiny for the NFC West
- Minnesota controls their own destiny for the NFC North.
- New Orleans controls their own destiny for the NFC South
- Tampa Bay controls their own destiny for the NFC South.
- The LA Rams control their own destiny for the wild card
- Green Bay controls their own destiny for the wild card.

POTENTIAL CHANGES OF CONTROL OF DESTINY IN WEEK 9:

- Philadelphia will lose control of their own destiny for the first round bye with a loss.
- Seattle will lose control of their own destiny for the first round by with a loss.
- Dallas will lose control of their own destiny for the first round bye and the NFC East with a loss.
- Minnesota will lose control of their own destiny for the NFC North with a loss.
- The LA Rams will lose control of their own destiny for the wild card with a loss.
- Green Bay will lose control of their own destiny for the wild card with a loss.
- Washington will gain control of their own destiny with a win and either (1)a DAL loss OR (2)a GB loss and a SEA or MIN loss,

Click to read more...

 

[SirClintonPortis]

I think by season's end, Detroit won't have as mighty of a record but they will win the division regardless given the other three teams' condition in the NFC North.

 

[StreetHawk]

I think by season's end, Detroit won't have as mighty of a record but they will win the division regardless given the other three teams' condition in the NFC North.

At start of season, I bet on Phi, Dal, SF, Sea, Det, NO and I probably went Minny as the final WC. Didn't trust ATL at QB. TB and Car rebuilding. Rams, AZ rebuilding. Was unknown at QB. NYG, could Danny Dimes repeat? So far, no.... GB, Love was unknown. Chi, didn't think Fields was going to figure it out like some pundits thought he would.

Nothing has changed my opinion through 8 weeks.

Minny, despite losing Cousins, opted to keep all of their guys save for Cleveland. Going for that WC spot.

 

[misterchainsaw]

Well, everyone in a playoff spot is currently over .500. Let's hope that holds to the end of the year.

AFTER WEEK 9:
1. Philadelphia - 8-1
2. Detroit - 6-2
3. San Francisco - 5-3 (Holds division record tiebreaker over SEA)
4. New Orleans - 5-4 (NFC South leader)
5. Seattle - 5-3 (Holds conference record tiebreaker over DAL)
6. Dallas - 5-3
7. Minnesota - 5-4
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8. Washington - 4-5 (Holds H2H tiebreaker over ATL)
9. Atlanta - 4-5
10. Tampa Bay - 3-5 (Holds strength of victory tiebreaker over GB)
11. Green Bay - 3-5
12. LA Rams - 3-6
13. NY Giants - 2-7
14. Chicago - 2-7
15. Carolina - 1-7
16. Arizona - 1-8

CONTROL OF DESTINY:
- Philadelphia controls their own destiny for the first round bye.
- Detroit controls their own destiny for the NFC North
- San Francisco controls their own destiny for the NFC West
- New Orleans controls their own destiny for the NFC South
- Seattle controls their own destiny for the NFC West
- Minnesota controls their own destiny for the NFC North.
- Atlanta controls their own destiny for the NFC North.
- Tampa Bay controls their own destiny for the NFC South.
- Dallas controls their own destiny for a wild card.
- Washington controls their own destiny for a wild card
- Green Bay controls their own destiny for a wild card.

POTENTIAL CHANGES IN CONTROL OF DESTINY IN WEEK 10:
- Minnesota will lose control of their own destiny for the NFC North with a loss and a DET win
- Tampa Bay will lose control of their own destiny for the NFC South with a loss and a NO win
- Tampa Bay will ALSO lose control of their own destiny for the wild card with a loss and a SEA win.
- Washington will lose control of their own destiny for the wild card with a loss and either a DAL win OR a MIN+GB win.
- Green Bay will lose control of their own destiny for the wild card with a loss and a DET win.
- The LA Rams will gain control of their own destiny for the wild card with a SF loss or a SEA loss.

CLINCHING AND ELIMINATION SCENARIOS:
- Arizona is eliminated from first round bye contention with a loss- combined with (1)Two of MIN, DET, GB winning; (2)A SF win.
*If ties are taken into account, Arizona can only be eliminated from first round contention with a loss, SEA win, and SF win.

 

[StreetHawk]

Main take away from the week 9 games is that Minny holds the tie breaker over ATL now with their H2H win. So, if it's just them that end up tied, Minny gets in over ATL for a WC spot.

So, if NO wins the South, now, it's very hard for ATL to get in. Sit at 4-5.

Seattle, not surprised they lost, but only that they were beaten that badly.

Geno, making too many mistakes this season vs last. It was a cross country trip on daylight savings. So, Seattle gets it and it's 3 hours ahead on Sat, then they drop back an hour on Sunday. Their internal body clocks must have been wrecked.

 

[SirClintonPortis]

It would be funny if GB has a second half surge and lands as a wild card.

The final stretch for Detroit is mostly division games. Doesn't look like the Vikes are onboard tanking just yet either, so every game will be a battle.

 

[Blackhawkswincup]

I think by season's end, Detroit won't have as mighty of a record but they will win the division regardless given the other three teams' condition in the NFC North.

They have two easy W's vs Bears so they should at least reach double digits

 

[misterchainsaw]

Starting to seem like very little drama in the NFC outside of the perpetually awful NFC South.

AFTER WEEK 10:
1. Philadelphia - 8-1
2. Detroit - 7-2
3. San Francisco - 6-3 (Holds division record tiebreaker over SEA)
4. New Orleans - 5-5 (NFC South leader)
5. Seattle - 6-3 (Holds conference record tiebreaker over DAL)
6. Dallas - 6-3
7. Minnesota - 6-4
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8. Tampa Bay - 4-5
9. Washington - 4-6 (Holds H2H tiebreaker over ATL)
10. Atlanta - 4-6
11. Green Bay - 3-6 (Holds H2H tiebreaker over LAR)
12. LA Rams - 3-6
13. Chicago - 3-7
14. NY Giants - 2-8 (Holds H2H tiebreaker over ARI)
15. Arizona - 2-8
16. Carolina - 1-8

CONTROL OF DESTINY:
- Philadelphia controls their own destiny for the first round bye.
- Detroit controls their own destiny for the NFC North
- San Francisco controls their own destiny for the NFC West
- New Orleans controls their own destiny for the NFC South
- Seattle controls their own destiny for the NFC West
- Minnesota controls their own destiny for the NFC North.
- Atlanta controls their own destiny for the NFC North.
- Tampa Bay controls their own destiny for the NFC South.
- Dallas controls their own destiny for a wild card.

POTENTIAL CHANGES IN CONTROL OF DESTINY IN WEEK 11:
- San Francisco will control their own destiny for home field advantage with a win, PHI loss, and DET loss.
- Minnesota will lose control of their own destiny for the NFC North with a loss and a DET win.
- Washington will gain control of their own destiny for a wild card with a win, DAL loss, and GB loss
- Green Bay will gain control of their own destiny for a wild card with a win and either a DET loss or a SEA+DAL loss.

CLINCHING OR ELIMINATION SCENARIOS FOR WEEK 11:
- Carolina will be eliminated for home field advantage with a loss.
- Arizona will be eliminated from home field advantage with a either a loss OR a SF+SEA+PHI win.
- The NY Giants will be eliminated from home field advantage with a loss,
- Chicago will be eliminated from home field advantage with a loss, MIN win, DAL win, SF win, SEA win, and PHI win.
- The NY Giants will be eliminated from NFC East contention with a loss and a PHI win.

CLINCHING AND ELIMINATION SCENARIOS:

 

[misterchainsaw]

There continues to be a game and a half of seperation between the (Non NFC South) playoff teams and teams on the outside looking in. And that's with a Minnesota loss!

AFTER WEEK 11: (a - eliminated from top seed contention, d - eliminated from divisional contention)
1. Philadelphia - 9-1
2. Detroit - 8-2
3. San Francisco - 7-3 (NFC West leader)
4. New Orleans - 5-5 (NFC South leader)
5. Dallas - 7-3
6. Seattle - 6-4
7. Minnesota - 6-5
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8. Green Bay - 4-6 (Holds conference record tiebreaker over LAR and ATL)
9. LA Rams - 4-6 (Holds strength of victory tiebreaker over ATL)
10. Atlanta - 4-6 (Holds divisional H2H tiebreaker over TB)
11. Tampa Bay - 4-6
12. Washington - 4-7
ad-13. NY Giants - 3-8 (Holds conference record tiebreaker over CHI)
14. Chicago - 3-8
a-15. Arizona - 2-9
a-16. Carolina - 1-9

CONTROL OF DESTINY:
- Philadelphia controls their own destiny for the first round bye.
- Detroit controls their own destiny for the NFC North
- San Francisco controls their own destiny for the NFC West
- New Orleans controls their own destiny for the NFC South
- Seattle controls their own destiny for the NFC West
- Atlanta controls their own destiny for the NFC North.
- Tampa Bay controls their own destiny for the NFC South.
- Dallas controls their own destiny for a wild card.
- Minnesota controls their own destiny for a wild card.

POTENTIAL CHANGES OF CONTROL OF DESTINY IN WEEK 12:
- San Francisco will gain control of their own destiny for the first round bye with a win, PHI loss, and DET loss.
- Seattle will lose control of their own destiny for the NFC West with a loss.
- Atlanta will lose control of their own destiny for the NFC South AND the wild card with a loss.
- Tampa Bay will lose control of their own destiny for the NFC South AND the wild card with a loss and a NO win.
- Green Bay will gain control of their own destiny for the wild card with a win, and either a MIN loss or SEA+DAL loss.

CLINCHING AND ELIMINATION SCENARIOS:
- Arizona will be eliminated from NFC West contention with a loss.
- Chicago will be eliminated from NFC North contention with a loss or a DET win.
- NY Giants will be eliminated from NFC East contention with a loss, DAL win, or PHI win.
- Washington will be eliminated from NFC East contention with a loss or a PHI win.
- Chicago will be eliminated from first round bye contention with a PHI win.
- NY Giants will be eliminated from first round bye contention with a MIN and DET win.

 

[misterchainsaw]

Things getting interesting at the bottom of the wild card, even if the teams suck: GB, LAR, and NO are all within a game of SEA and a half game of MIN.

Green Bay is the team that barely fails to control their own destiny this week - they could lose on a wacky 3 way tiebreaker but only if the Rams win the NFC West at 11-6 (and the Seahawks and Niners also both finish 11-6 with specific losses)

AFTER WEEK 12: (a - eliminated from top seed contention, d - eliminated from divisional contention)
1. Philadelphia - 10-1
2. San Francisco - 8-3 (Holds conference record tiebreaker over DET) (NFC West leader)
3. Detroit - 8-3 (NFC North leader)
4. Atlanta - 5-6 (NFC South leader)
5. Dallas - 8-3
6. Seattle - 6-5
7. Minnesota - 6-6
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8. Green Bay - 5-6 (Holds H2H tiebreaker over LAR and NO)
9. LA Rams - 5-6 (Holds conference record tiebreaker over NO)
10. New Orleans - 5-6
11. Tampa Bay - 4-7
12. d-NY Giants - 4-8 (Holds H2H divisional tiebreaker over WSH, Holds conference record tiebreaker over CHI)
13. a-Chicago - 4-8 (Holds H2H tiebreaker over WSH)
14. d-Washington - 4-8
15. d-Arizona - 2-10
16. a-Carolina - 1-10

CONTROL OF DESTINY:
- Philadelphia controls their own destiny for the first round bye.
- Detroit controls their own destiny for the NFC North
- San Francisco controls their own destiny for the NFC West
- New Orleans controls their own destiny for the NFC South
- Atlanta controls their own destiny for the NFC South.
- Tampa Bay controls their own destiny for the NFC South.
- Dallas controls their own destiny for a wild card.
- Seattle controls their own destiny for a wild card.
- Minnesota controls their own destiny for a wild card.

POTENTIAL CHANGES IN CONTROL OF DESTINY IN WEEK 13:
- New Orleans will lose control of their own destiny for the NFC South AND the wild card with a loss and a ATL win.
- Tampa Bay will lose control of their own destiny for the NFC South AND the wild card with a loss
- Seattle will lose control of their own destiny for the wild card with a loss, LAR win, and either a DET or GB win.
- Green Bay can gain control of their own destiny with a win and any of a SEA, SF, or LAR loss.
- The LA Rams can gain control of their own destiny with a win and any of a SEA loss, SF loss or GB+DET loss,

CLINCHING AND ELIMINATION SCENARIOS:
- Philadelphia can clinch a wild card spot with a win and either of (1)a LAR loss or (2)a DET+GB loss.

- Carolina will be eliminated from playoff contention (and NFC South contention) with a loss.
- Arizona will be eliminated from playoff contention with a loss combined with (1)2 out of 3 of GB, LAR, and SEA win or (2)a TB+ATL win combined with either a SEA or LAR+NO win,
- Tampa Bay will be eliminated from home field contention with a loss or a PHI win.
- New Orleans will be eliminated from home field contention with a loss and either a PHI win or a WSH, DAL, CLE, LAC + TEN win.
- The LA Rams will be eliminated from home field contention with a loss and a PHI win.
- Green Bay will be eliminated from home field contention with a loss and a PHI win.
- Atlanta will be eliminated from home field advantage with a loss and a PHI win.

 

[misterchainsaw]

Well things have certainly gotten tighter in the last two weeks...Seattle drops out, Green Bay climbs in atm.

AFTER WEEK 13:
1. Philadelphia - 10-2
2. San Francisco - 9-3 (Holds conference record tiebreaker over DET) (NFC West leader)
3. Detroit - 9-3 (NFC North leader)
4. Atlanta - 6-6 (NFC South leader)
5. Dallas - 9-3
6. Minnesota - 6-6 (Holds division record tiebreaker over GB) (Holds conference record tiebreaker over LAR)
7. Green Bay - 6-6 (Holds H2H tiebreaker over LAR)
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8. LA Rams - 6-6 (Holds H2H tiebreaker over SEA)
9. Seattle - 6-6
10. Tampa Bay - 5-7 (Holds H2H tiebreaker over NO)
11. New Orleans - 5-7
12. d-NY Giants - 4-8 (Holds conference record tiebreaker over CHI)
13. a-Chicago - 4-8
14. d-Washington - 4-9
15. d-Arizona - 3-10
ELIMINATED: Carolina

CONTROL OF DESTINY:
- Philadelphia controls their own destiny for home field advantage
- San Francisco controls their own destiny for the NFC West
- Detroit controls their own destiny for the NFC North
- Atlanta controls their own destiny for the NFC South
- Tampa Bay controls their own destiny for the NFC South
- Minnesota controls their own destiny for a wild card.
- Green Bay controls their own destiny for a wild card
- The LA Rams control their own destiny for a wild card.

POTENTIAL CHANGES OF DESTINY IN WEEK 14:
- Philadelphia will lose control of their own destiny for home field advantage with a loss and either a DET or SF win.
- San Francisco will gain control of their own destiny for home field advantage with a win and a PHI loss
- The loser of TB/ATL will lose control of their own destiny for the NFC South. TB would also lose control of their own destiny for the wild card.
- New Orleans will gain control of their own destiny for the NFC South with a win and a ATL loss.
- Atlanta will also lose control of their own destiny for a wild card with a loss and either (1)a SEA win, or (2)a GB or MIN win.
- Minnesota will lose control of their own destiny for the wild card with a loss, SEA win, and LAR win.
- Green Bay will lose control of their own destiny for the wild card with a loss, SEA win, and LAR win.
- The LA Rams will lose control of their own destiny for the wild card with a loss and any of a SEA, GB, or MIN win.
- Seattle will lose control of their own destiny for the wild card with a loss.

CLINCHING AND ELMINATION SCENARIOS IN WEEK 14:
- Philadelphia will clinch a playoff spot with a win and any of the following: (1)LAR loss (2)SEA loss, (3)DET + GB loss, or (4)GB + MIN loss.
- San Francisco will clinch a playoff spot with a win and either a GB or MIN loss.

- Arizona will be eliminated from playoff contention with a GB+LAR win.
- Chicago will be eliminated from NFC North contention with a loss, DET win, or MIN win.
- Seattle will be eliminated from NFC West contention with a loss
- New Orleans will be eliminated from home field advantage with a loss, DET win, OR PHI win (there are also a ton of SoV scenarios)
- Tampa Bay will be eliminated from home field advantage with a loss, DET win, PHI win, OR NYG+NO+SF+CLE+KC+IND+MIA+NYJ+LV+BAL+PIT win (SOV scenario)
- Los Angeles will be eliminated from home field advantage with a loss and either a DET or PHI win.
- Green Bay will be eliminated from home field advantage with a loss and either a DET or PHI win.
- Minnesota will be eliminated from home field advantage with a loss and either a DET or PHI win.
- Atlanta will be eliminated from home field advantage with a loss, and either (1)a DET win, (2)a PHI win, or (3)2 of the following 4 teams win: CIN, LAC, KC, LV (SoV scenario)

 

[SwordsgoneWild]

The battle for the last 2 spots in the NFC should be entertaining at least. 4 teams at 6-6. Let's see who they all have to finish with

#6 Vikings -

@ Raiders
@ Bengals
Lions
Packers
@ Lions

#7 Packers -

@ Giants
Bucs
@ Panthers
@ Vikings
Bears

#8 Rams -

@ Ravens
Commies
Saints
@ Giants
@ 49ers

#9 Seahawks -

@ 49ers
Eagles
@ Titans
Steelers
@ Cards

I think the Pack get in as the 6th seed. That remaining schedule is charmin soft. The Vikings finish with 3 hard Divisional games. I can't believe 2 out of their last 3 are against the Lions. What bizarre scheduling. They also can't take the Bengals or Raiders lightly. I think they will duke it out with the Rams for the last spot . But I think they barely take it in the end.

I have no faith in the Hawks unless they take 1 out if the next two against 49ers and Eagles.

 

[StreetHawk]

Now that week 14 is over.
We have the Vikings at 7-5 and everyone else at 6-7, including 3 South teams.

Being realistic, Vikings likely split with Detroit in their 2 games. Meaning, to get to 10 wins and not deal with tie breakers, they need to beat GB and Cincy. Both teams with backups, so on the road outdoors, think I lean Cincy. So, very possible for Minny to end up 9-8.

GB, big loss to NYG. Have Minny, Bucs, Panthers, Bears. On paper the easiest matchups. But, said that about the Giants and they lost. Bucs are playing for the PO, as is Minny. Not given. Fields is playing for his job in Chicago.

Rams, SF has their number for that final game. Host Wash and Saints. Wash coming off a bye at this late stage of the season, could be a big advantage. NO playing for the PO. Giants, we saw what they did. Likely they end up at 9-8 given the SF game.

Seattle, has Phil, Indy, Pitt, and AZ. Philly has been struggling. But, realistically, SEA likely ends up at best going 3-1 to get to 9-8. Have to run the table to get to 10-7. Can't remain tied with Rams as they own the tie breaker.

South, I don't think any do better than 9-8.

Seattle, outside of the Rams, have not played any of the other teams in the WC hunt so no H2H to go by.
Rams lost to Packers and Falcons but beat TB, and still have NO on deck. Key game for tie breakers.
Packers need to beat the Vikings otherwise they are swept. Have tie breaker over Rams and Saints, but lost to ATL. Still have to play TB.
Vikings, lost to Bucs but Beat the Saints and Falcons.
Saints, lost to GB and have Rams on Deck.
Falcons, beat the Packers but lost to Minny.
Bucs, beat Minny, on deck with GB.

Very messy if multiple teams at 9-8.

 

[Blitzkrug]

The loser of the NFC East salivating at the thought of getting Atlanta to open wild card weekend.

That Falcons team has no business being near the playoffs with that heap of shit they call an offense.

 

[StreetHawk]

The loser of the NFC East salivating at the thought of getting Atlanta to open wild card weekend.

That Falcons team has no business being near the playoffs with that heap of shit they call an offense.

Well, any of the potential South Winners will be the underdogs.
The winner of the East gets either a bye or has to face the worst of the WC teams. Likely an 9-8 team at home.

 

[misterchainsaw]

Someone's gotta finish 3-1 to get the final wild card to 9-8, right? Right???? This week turned the NFC into the same kind of mess the AFC is. Dallas momentarily passes Philly in the NFC East, but Philly will win the division if they win out.

AFTER WEEK 14: (a-eliminated from home field contention, d-eliminated from division contention, x-clinched playoff spot)
1. x-San Francisco - 10-3 (Holds H2H tiebreaker over DAL)
2. Dallas - 10-3 (Holds division record tiebreaker over PHI)
3. Detroit - 9-4 (NFC North leader)
4. Tampa Bay - 6-7 (NFC South leader) (NO is eliminted from divisional tiebreak by H2H, holds common opponents tiebreaker over ATL)
5. Philadelphia - 10-3
6. Minnesota - 7-6
7. Green Bay - 6-7 (Atlanta drops out of tiebreaker due to conference record, holds H2H tiebreaker over LAR)
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8. LA Rams - 6-7 (Holds H2H tiebreaker over SEA) (Holds conference record tiebreaker over ATL)
9. d-Seattle - 6-7 (Holds conference record tiebreaker over ATL)
10. a-Atlanta - 6-7 (Holds H2H tiebreaker over NO)
11. a-New Orleans - 6-7
12. d-NY Giants - 5-8 (Holds conference record tiebreaker over CHI)
13. d-Chicago - 5-8
14. d-Washington - 4-9
15. d-Arizona - 3-10
ELIMINATED: Carolina

CONTROL OF DESTINY:
- San Francisco controls their own destiny for home field advantage
- Detroit controls their own destiny for the NFC North
- Tampa Bay controls their own destiny for the NFC South
- Philadelphia controls their own destiny for the NFC East
- Minnesota controls their own destiny for the NFC North
- New Orleans controls their own destiny for the NFC South
- Dallas controls their own destiny for a wild card.
- Minnesota controls their own destiny for a wild card.
- Green Bay controls their own destiny for a wild card


POTENTIAL CHANGES OF DESTINY IN WEEK 15:
- Dallas will gain control of their own destiny for home field advantage with a win, PHI loss, and SF loss.
- Philadelphia will gain control of their own destiny for home field advantage with a win and a SF loss.
- San Francisco will lose control of their own destiny for home field advantage with a loss and either a DAL or PHI win.
- Philadelphia will lose control of their own destiny for the NFC East with a loss
- Tampa Bay will lose control of their own destiny for the NFC South and wild card with a loss and a NO win.
- Minnesota will lose control of their own destiny for the NFC North with a loss and a DET win.
- New Orleans will lose control of their own destiny for the NFC South with a loss and either a TB or ATL win.
- Dallas will gain control of their own destiny for the NFC East with a win and a PHI loss
- Atlanta will gain control of their own destiny for the NFC South with a win and a TB loss.
- Green Bay will lose control of their own destiny for a wild card with a loss
- The LA Rams will gain control of their own destiny for a wild card with a win and either a GB or MIN loss.
- Seattle will gain control of their own destiny for a wild card with a win and 2 of GB, MIN, and LAR losses.
- Atlanta will gain control of their own destiny for a wild card with a win, SEA loss, and LAR loss.
- The NY Giants will gain control of their own destiny for a wild card with a win, GB loss, SEA loss, and either a ATL or TB loss.

CLINCHING AND ELMINATION SCENARIOS IN WEEK 15:
- San Francisco will clinch the NFC West with a win or an LAR loss
- Dallas will clinch a playoff spot with a win OR (1)A MIN+(TB or ATL)+(LAR, SEA or DEN) loss OR (2)a (TB or ATL)+DEN+(LAR or ARI) loss OR (3)a ATL+GB+(LAR, SEA or, DEN) loss OR (4)a LAR+SEA loss.
- Detroit will clinch a playoff spot with a win AND either (1)a SEA and (MIN, GB or LAR) loss, (2)an LAR loss combined with either (a)a MIN and TB loss, (b)a MIN and ATL loss, or (c)an ATL and GB loss.
- Philadelphia will clinch a playoff spot with a win OR either (1)a MIN, ARI, DEN and (TB, ATL, or GB) loss, (2)an LAR loss combined with either (a)a MIN and TB loss, (b)a MIN and ATL loss, or (c)an ATL and GB loss.

- Arizona is eliminated from playoff contention with a loss OR either (1)an LAR win and a GB or MIN win, (2)a CHI+ATL+NO win and a LAR OR GB+MIN win
- Washington is eliminated from playoff contention with a loss
- The LA Rams are eliminated from NFC West contention with a loss or SF win.
- The LA Rams are eliminated from home field contention with a MIN win, DET win, DAL win, or PHI win.
- Green Bay is eliminated from NFC North contention with a loss OR a MIN+DET win.
- Green Bay is eliminated from home field contention with a WSH win, MIN win, DET win, DAL win, PHI win, or SF win.
- Minnesota is eliminated from home field contention with a loss and either a DET, DAL, PHI, or SF win.

 

[StreetHawk]

Minny going with Mullens in Cincy vs Browning. Interesting. I do expect them to split with Detroit. So, realistically, see them going 2-2 to get to 9-8
GB, if they lose to Minny, and beat the south, they get to 9-8 but lose the tie breaker to Minny after getting swept. They can't afford to lose to Minny.
Rams likely to lose to SF to at best end at 9-8
Seattle, can get to 9-8 but can't end up tied with Rams. Have not played any of the other WC teams.
Just an absolute mess if we end up with 4 teams or so at 9-8 for those 2 final WC spots.

 

[SJSharksfan39]

I think you have the NFC West and East reversed in your scenerios.

 

[misterchainsaw]

I think you have the NFC West and East reversed in your scenerios.

Death, taxes, and me typing the wrong division direction in playoff scenarios....

 

[misterchainsaw]

Well, Dallas and Philly both lose on the day they clinch a playoff birth, and that leaves the NFC East up for grabs. Since Dallas's loss was non-conference, the conference record tiebreaker is now tied up if both teams win out from here. Philadelphia holds the lead in the strength of victory tiebreaker, but if Detroit sweeps Minnesota that could get dicey.

AFTER WEEK 15: (a-eliminated from home field contention, d-eliminated from division contention, x-clinched playoff spot, y-clinched division)
1. y-San Francisco - 11-3
2. x-Dallas - 10-4 (Holds division record tiebreaker over PHI) (Holds conference tiebreaker over DET)
3. Detroit - 10-4 (NFC North leader)
4. a-Tampa Bay - 7-7 (NFC South leader) (Holds H2H tiebreaker over NO)
5. x-Philadelphia - 10-4
6. a-Minnesota - 7-7 (Holds conference record tiebreaker over LA and NO)
7. d-LA Rams - 7-7 (Holds H2H divisional tiebreaker over SEA, holds conference record tiebreaker over NO)
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8. d-Seattle - 7-7 (Holds conference record tiebreaker over NO)
9. a-New Orleans - 7-7
10. a-Atlanta - 6-8 (Holds H2H tiebreaker over ATL)
11. d-Green Bay - 6-8 (Holds H2H tiebreaker over NO)
12. d-NY Giants - 5-9 (Holds conference record tiebreaker over CHI)
13. d-Chicago - 5-9
ELIMINATED: Carolina (2-12), Arizona (3-11), Washington (4-10)

CONTROL OF DESTINY:
- San Francisco controls their own destiny for home field advantage
- Detroit controls their own destiny for the NFC North
- Tampa Bay controls their own destiny for the NFC South
- New Orleans controls their own destiny for the NFC South
- Dallas controls their own destiny for a wild card.
- Philadelphia controls their own destiny for a wild card.
- Minnesota controls their own destiny for a wild card.
- The LA Rams control their own destiny for a wild card.

POTENTIAL CHANGES OF DESTINY IN WEEK 16:
- New Orleans will lose control of their own destiny for the NFC South and the playoffs with a loss and a TB win.

- Minnesota will lose control of their own destiny for the wild card with a loss, and 2 out of 3 of the following: (1)LAR win, (2)SEA win, (3)TB + NO win
- The LA Rams will lose control of their own destiny for the wild card with a loss
- Seattle will gain control of their own destiny with a win and either a MIN or LAR loss
- Green Bay will gain control of their own destiny for a wild card with a win and a MIN+LAR+ATL loss



CLINCHING AND ELMINATION SCENARIOS IN WEEK 16:
- San Francisco will clinch home field advantage with a win, DET loss, PHI loss, and a DAL loss.
- Dallas will be eliminated from home field advantage with a loss and a SF win
- Detroit will be eliminated from home field advantage with a loss and a SF win.
- Philadelphia will be eliminated from home field advantage with a loss and a SF win.

- Detroit will clinch the NFC North with a win
- Minnesota will be eliminated from NFC North contention with a loss.
- Atlanta will be eliminated from NFC South contention with a loss and a NO win.

- Detroit will clinch a wild card with a SEA or LAR loss.
- Chicago will be eliminated from playoff contention with a loss combined with any of: (1)an LAR win, (2)a TB win with any of a NYG/GB/SEA/MIN win. (3)a SEA win with either of a GB/MIN win.
- The NY Giants will be eliminated from playoff contention with a loss combined with (1)an LAR win, (2)a SEA win with any of a GB/TB/MIN win. (3)a TB win with either of a GB/MIN win. (4)A CHI win with SoV considerations or (5)an ATL win with SoV considerations.

 

[Marc the Habs Fan]

Week 17 clinching scenarios:

 

[misterchainsaw]

So currently, Philly is 2 and Detroit is 3, strength of victory. However, if both teams win out, Detroit will be the 2nd seed - as they will take over the common games tiebreaker with wins over Dallas and Minnesota. That means it will be Detroit stands to take over their destiny for home field if San Francisco slips again.

AFTER WEEK 16: (a-eliminated from home field contention, d-eliminated from division contention, x-clinched playoff spot, y-clinched division)
1. y-San Francisco - 11-4 (Holds conference record tiebreaker over PHI and DET)
2. x-Philadelphia - 11-4 (Holds SoV tiebreaker over DET)
3. y-Detroit - 11-4 (NFC North leader)
4. a-Tampa Bay - 8-7 (NFC South leader)
5. x-Dallas - 10-5
6. d-LA Rams - 8-7 (Holds H2H divisional tiebreaker over SEA)
7. d-Seattle - 8-7
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
8. d-Minnesota - 7-8 (Holds divisional H2H tiebreaker over GB) (Holds H2H tiebreaker over ATL)
9. a-Atlanta - 7-8 (Holds divisional H2H tiebreaker over NO) (Holds H2H tiebreaker over GB)
10. d-Green Bay - 7-8 (Holds H2H tiebreaker over NO)
11. a-New Orleans - 7-8
12. d-Chicago - 6-9
ELIMINATED: Carolina (2-13), Arizona (3-12), Washington (4-11), NY Giants (5-10)

CONTROL OF DESTINY:
- San Francisco controls their own destiny for home field advantage
- Philadelphia controls their own destiny for the NFC East
- Tampa Bay controls their own destiny for the NFC South
- The LA Rams control their own destiny for a wild card.
- Seattle controls their own destiny for a wild card
(Dallas has clinched a wild card, Detroit has clinched the NFC North)

POTENTIAL CHANGES OF DESTINY IN WEEK 17:
- San Francisco will lose control of their own destiny for home field advantage with a loss and either a DET or PHI win
- Philadelphia will gain control of their own destiny for home field advantage with a win, SF loss, and DET loss
- Detroit will gain control of their own destiny for home field advantage with a win and a SF loss.

- Philadelphia will lose control of their own destiny for the NFC East with a loss and a DAL win
- Dallas will gain control of their own destiny for the NFC East with a win and a PHI loss

- The LA Rams will lose control of their own destiny for a wild card with a loss and a SEA win.
- Seattle will lose control of their own destiny for a wild card with a loss
- Minnesota will gain control of their own destiny for a wild card with a win and a LAR or SEA loss
- Green Bay will gain control of their own destiny for a wild card with a win and two of LAR, SEA, and ATL loss.

CLINCHING AND ELMINATION SCENARIOS IN WEEK 17:
- San Francisco will clinch home field throughout the playoffs with a win, DET loss, and PHI loss.
- Philadelphia will be eliminated from home field advantage with a loss and a SF win
- Detroit will be eliminated from home field advantage with a loss and a SF or PHI win
- Dallas will be eliminated from home field advantage with a loss or a SF win.

- Philadelphia will clinch the NFC East with a win and a DAL loss
- Tampa Bay will clinch the NFC South with a win
- Dallas will be eliminated from NFC East contention with a loss and a PHI win
- Atlanta will be eliminated from NFC South with a TB win.
- New Orleans will be eliminated from NFC South AND playoff contention with a loss

- The LA Rams will clinch a playoff spot with a win and a SEA loss
- Chicago will be eliminated from playoff contention with a loss, LAR win, or SEA win*
- Green Bay will be eliminated from playoff contention with a loss and either a SEA win, LAR win, or a ATL and NO win with LAR clinching SoV over GB (requires 8 extra results)
- Atlanta will be eliminated from playoff contention with a loss and a TB win OR a TB win, LAR win and SEA win.
- Minnesota will be eliminated from playoff contention with a loss, SEA win, and LAR win.

*As long as the GB-MIN game does not end in a tie. If it does, both SEA and LAR will need to win to eliminate Chicago if the Bears win this week.

 

[TheGreenTBer]

Seems like the NFC East WC comes out easier in Round 1 because I'd rather play the NFC South winner than the Rams.

 

[JTBF81]

I don't think the Saints control their own destiny for the South. Even if they beat Tampa and Atlanta to end 9-8, Tampa still wins the division with a win over Carolina in week 18. Tampa would still have the common games tie breaker (9-5 vs. 7-7) in that case.

 

[misterchainsaw]

I don't think the Saints control their own destiny for the South. Even if they beat Tampa and Atlanta to end 9-8, Tampa still wins the division with a win over Carolina in week 18. Tampa would still have the common games tie breaker (9-5 vs. 7-7) in that case.

You're right, too much copy pasting from last week and it never got deleted. Fixed now.