there are still teams with great, comparable players who got even better deals.
This should be obvious, but players improving after they sign (including at ages that Marner hasn't even hit yet) doesn't mean they were better deals at the time.
What I take exception to is going out of the way to diminish a player like Rantanen to essentially make 2019 Dubas look better.
Evaluating a player properly and with necessary context is not "diminishing" Rantanen, and the only reason Rantanen keeps getting brought up is because a select few individuals can't get over Marner's contract, 2 years later. This has nothing to do with Dubas.
Rantanen's PP production is a function of being the trigger man on one of the strongest 5 man PP units out there.
Rantanen is a good player on the PP. Just like Marner. The
discrepancy in their raw PP production over the past 3 years is entirely a function of their discrepancy in PP time, not a discrepancy in offensive ability.
So he's on pace for 50 goals and 102 points. You can be "mislead" but those numbers are so elite I'm not sure why you'd even need to diminish it.
Nobody said his numbers aren't elite, and nobody is diminishing anything. Just because raw numbers are elite, that doesn't change the need to look at them in the proper context. Both of the players we are comparing are elite. Marner has just proven to be better over a significant sample.
Oh really, opportunity matters? Whenever I see people arguing for Matthews case vs McDavid or Draisaitl I've never seen injury or lost time counted against Matthews
You seem to have missed the point. Of course we don't ignore the games played discrepancies when evaluating the offensive ability of a player. Similarly, of course we don't ignore TOI and game state discrepancies when evaluating the offensive ability of a player.
I am being consistent in considering opportunity. You are selectively choosing to apply opportunity context, only in the specific way it helps your narrative.
In any case, I doubt either Dubas or Sakic were factoring in future missed time due to injuries in the summer of 2019 when these contracts were signed.
No, but their true production levels in each game state at time of signing certainly would be important to their contract valuations, which is why they align extremely well, both with each other and with recent and historical comparables, when that is accounted for.
You would have to know a little something about Colorado's development path to understand the differences. Which is namely Cale Makar becoming a PPG defenseman in the past two years and vaulting the Avalanche into contender status between 2018-19 and now.
What does this have to do with anything? You were talking up Colorado's PP, when Toronto has had a better PP over the 3-year period we discussed. You were talking up Rantanen on the PP, when over that time, Toronto has generated more goals and more chances on the PP when Marner has been on the ice, than Colorado has when Rantanen has been on the ice.
No, Rantanen has better PP production than Marner. Production is measured in actual points.
No, he does not. They are essentially equal since 2018-2019. Production is measured in many different ways, and raw totals is a highly misleading way for the PP.
What you're probably trying to describe here PPP/60 which is 6.35 for Marner and 6.43 for Rantanen at the moment as of May 1, 2021. It's such a negligible difference that will change after each powerplay but to try to use these numbers without presenting them...
Yes, it's a negligible difference. That's the point. Marner and Rantanen are similar PP producers. At the same time, Marner is a better ES producer, and a PKer. I have presented those statistics to you countless times, only for you to ignore and dismiss them.
No, I don't think you watch him play at all actually the more we discuss this.
Again, don't assume things about other people that you have no clue about. I watch him plenty.
In terms of roles and responsibilities, sniper vs playmaker, trigger man on the power play vs primary puck carrier, shot, size of player, sheer athletic style like long smooth skating, reach vs elusive creativity and soft touches with the puck, Mikko Rantanen and Mitch Marner don't have a lot of overlap.
You're literally the one that identified and brought him up as comparable.
So for someone to look at those players and say, "Marner is head and shoulders better" wouldn't make sense.
Somebody doesn't have to be a carbon copy of a player in style or size to be better than them. That's illogical. Are you also saying that we can't say McDavid is better?
You're trying so hard to say there's a $1.5 million difference between these guys. It's just not there.
Actually, I'm trying to just enjoy one of the best players we will ever see in a Leaf uniform. You're the one that can't let the contract go. You're the one trying to downplay and discredit our player. You're the one trying to claim that a pretty clear and evident gap between him and another player doesn't exist, when it does.