Just so we have a point of reference, which goalies currently playing elevate their game in the playoffs?
Almost all from the past 12 Stanley Cup winners.
To sum up your post, with our current personnel, the only way the Rangers can win.is if Hank is out of this world great.
Unfortunately that is not how the playoffs work. Just look at the goalie names on the Cup. None have been unbelievably great. The rest of the team is far more responsible for winning and losing. Aside from McDonagh, there are no players on this team that compare to the best on the best teams.
Yes - you summed it up pretty well. But I am also of the opinion that even if he had a team which performed better in front of him, he would need to be better in the playoffs in order to win it all.
I would also probably contest that this “isn’t how playoffs work.” Your assertion, that most goalies who win the cup have not been good goalies, is not at all accurate. The overwhelming majority of Stanley Cup winners since 2000 have had a goalie who played exceptionally well in the playoffs
that year. The two exceptions are the 08-09 Pens and the 09-10 Blackhawks. Every other team had a goalie who not only played outstanding, but also elevated their games in the playoffs.
The SC winners since 2000 (and their PO stats from the year they won):
Team
|
Goalie
|
Season
|
Career SV %
|
Career GAA
|
PO SV %
|
PO GAA
Chicago Blackhawks | Corey Crawford | 12-13 | 0.914 | 2.36 | 0.932 | 1.84
LA Kings | Jonathan Quick | 11-12 | 0.915 | 2.32 | 0.946 | 1.41
Boston Bruins | Tim Thomas | 10-11 | 0.921 | 2.48 | 0.940 | 1.98
Chicago Blackhawks | Antti Niemi | 09-10 | 0.917 | 2.34 | 0.910 | 2.63
Pittsburgh Penguins | Marc-Andre Fleury | 08-09 | 0.910 | 2.66 | 0.908 | 2.61
Detroit Red Wings | Chris Osgood | 07-08 | 0.905 | 2.49 | 0.930 | 1.55
Anaheim Ducks | J.S. Giguere | 06-07 | 0.913 | 2.53 | 0.922 | 1.97
Carolina Hurricanes | Cam Ward | 05-06 | 0.910 | 2.74 | 0.920 | 2.14
Tampa Bay Lightning | Nikolai Khabibulin | 03-04 | 0.908 | 2.72 | 0.933 | 1.71
New Jersey Devils | Martin Brodeur | 02-03 | 0.913 | 2.23 | 0.934 | 1.65
Detroit Red Wings | Dominik Hasek | 01-02 | 0.922 | 2.20 | 0.920 | 1.86
Colorado Avalanche | Patrick Roy | 00-01 | 0.910 | 2.54 | 0.934 | 1.70
Hank can certainly be considered one of the best regular season goalies of the past 9 seasons – and that’s fine and dandy. But he hasn’t done what most of these goalies have and elevated his game
consistently throughout an entire playoffs. Few gave up 3 or more goals in 4 or more games in a single series. Few had back-to-back series in which they gave up 3 or more goals 3 times in those series. Hank has done both of these in the past two playoffs. Yes – his team hasn’t helped him – and they are a big part of the problem. But he also hasn’t done what other goalies have who have won. If/when he ultimately ends up winning, especially if it is with these Rangers, he will have to put up numbers like these guys in the playoffs; and that means elevating his play
on a more consistent, series-to-series, and game-to-game basis. He can’t have more than a few off nights, and certainly can’t do it more than a few times in a series.
Team
|
Goalie
|
Season
|
3+ Goal Games in That Playoffs
|
Games Played
|
3+ Goal Game Rate
|
# of Series in Which Goalie Gave up 3+ Goals 4 Times or More
|
# of Series in Which Goalie Gave up 3+ Goals 3 Times or More
|
# of Back-to-Back Series in Which Goalie Gave up 3+ Goals 3 Times or More
Chicago Blackhawks | Corey Crawford | 12-13 | 7 | 23 | 1 every 3.3 games | 0 | 1 | 0
LA Kings | Jonathan Quick | 11-12 | 2 | 20 | 1 every 10 games | 0 | 0 | 0
Boston Bruins | Tim Thomas | 10-11 | 9 | 25 | 1 every 2.8 games | 1 | 2 | 0
Chicago Blackhawks | Antti Niemi | 09-10 | 11 | 22 | 1 every 2 games | 1 | 3 | 1
Pittsburgh Penguins | Marc-Andre Fleury | 08-09 | 12 | 24 | 1 every 2 games | 1 | 3 | 1
Detroit Red Wings | Chris Osgood | 07-08 | 5 | 18 | 1 every 3.6 games | 0 | 0 | 0
Anaheim Ducks | J.S. Giguere | 06-07 | 5 | 17 | 1 every 3.4 games | 1 | 1 | 0
Carolina Hurricanes | Cam Ward | 05-06 | 8 | 23 | 1 every 2.9 games | 0 | 2 | 1
Tampa Bay Lightning | Nikolai Khabibulin | 03-04 | 7 | 23 | 1 every 3.3 games | 0 | 2 | 1
New Jersey Devils | Martin Brodeur | 02-03 | 7 | 24 | 1 every 3.4 games | 0 | 1 | 0
Detroit Red Wings | Dominik Hasek | 01-02 | 9 | 23 | 1 every 2.6 games | 0 | 2 | 0
Colorado Avalanche | Patrick Roy | 00-01 | 8 | 23 | 1 every 2.9 games | 0 | 0 | 0
| | | | | | | |
New York Rangers | Henrik Lundqvist | 12-13 | 6 | 12 | 1 every 2 games | 0 | 2 | 1
| | 11-12 | 8 | 20 | 1 every 2.5 games | 1 | 1 | 0
If your argument is that his game is already at such a high level that it can’t, or shouldn’t be expected, to be elevated further; I’m pretty unconvinced by that line of thought. Some of the greatest goalies in history were able to find another gear – from their already high-level play – in the playoffs when their teams won the Cup.
[I included 98-99 Hasek, even though the Sabres didn’t win, because I’m copy-pasting part of a table I posted elsewhere, and it is perhaps one of the best examples of a goalie dragging a subpar team to the SCF.]
Goalie
|
Team
|
Season
|
Career SV %
|
Career GAA
|
PO SV %
|
PO GAA
Patrick Roy | Canadiens | 85-86 | 0.910 | 2.54 | N/A | 1.93
| Canadiens | 92-93 | 0.910 | 2.54 | 0.929 | 2.13
| Avalanche | 95-96 | 0.910 | 2.54 | 0.921 | 2.10
| Avalanche | 00-01 | 0.910 | 2.54 | 0.934 | 1.70
Dominik Hasek | Sabres | 98-99 | 0.922 | 2.20 | 0.939 | 1.77
| Red Wings | 01-02 | 0.922 | 2.20 | 0.920 | 1.86
Martin Brodeur | Devils | 94-95 | 0.913 | 2.23 | 0.927 | 1.67
| Devils | 99-00 | 0.913 | 2.23 | 0.927 | 1.61
| Devils | 02-03 | 0.913 | 2.23 | 0.934 | 1.65
Quick did it in 11-12. Crawford, who had an amazing season last year improved on it even further in the 12-13 playoffs. Same for Thomas in 10-11. Same for many of the hall of famers who have won recently – Roy, Hasek, Brodeur.
And in fact, if you look at Hank’s overall playoff stats from the past two seasons, he is actually capable of playing at an even higher level in the playoffs than he does in the regular season. That may – in your mind – debunk everything I’ve said up to this point. And I understand if that’s what you want to argue.
But in my mind, the problem is that he doesn’t sustain that level of play throughout. And ends up having more average to poor games and series than he needs to if he wants to help his team advance. The playoffs aren’t very forgiving to players’ mistakes. My argument is that inconsistency is his problem.
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All of that said, to address the rest of what you wrote: I do believe I acknowledged at the outset that Hank isn't the biggest problem on this team in general or in the playoffs. He is just who I chose to focus on - because it is a debate I find interesting, and for which I know there are opposing opinions. It is nothing new, in my mind, that the rest of the team is not up to snuff. I'm tired of lambasting them and Sather for it, and it doesn't make for an interesting discussion to sit here agreeing with most others on these forums who think Nash needs to ****in' step it up. Or that Stepan needs to get over whatever his problem is when it comes to playoff performance. Or that Richie was a useless POS last year. Or that the team as a whole is lacking.