This article is heavy on the advanced stats, but makes a good case for just how good Grzelcyk has been.
Great article, don't love the quality of competition stat, but it did make me look into who he actually is lining up against at 5v5.
Fair warning, every sample size here is small because you really don't match up against 1 player a ton in a single season. It'll be interesting to see how it looks end of season after we play TBL and FLA a few more times.
Top 10 Centers, did this to approximate lines he's matching up against. Only line he really struggled with was Kadri's. Looks like he's largely facing 1st & 2nd lines and faring very well. Pretty insane he's given up only 1 goal to anyone's line on this list.
VS | Line | VS Team | TOI With | CF% With | GF% With | SCF% With |
Frans Nielsen | 3rd | DET | 18.867 | 50 | - | 60 |
Derek Ryan | 4th | CAR | 18.25 | 44.44 | 100 | 47.62 |
Mathew Barzal | 2nd | NYI | 18.067 | 54.29 | 100 | 59.26 |
Jonathan Drouin | 1st | MTL | 17.583 | 70.37 | 100 | 66.67 |
Derick Brassard | 2nd | OTT | 17.233 | 75 | 100 | 71.43 |
Jordan Eberle | 2nd | NYI | 15.633 | 42.86 | 100 | 50 |
Nick Schmaltz | 1st | CHI | 14.883 | 62.07 | 50 | 66.67 |
Nazem Kadri | 2nd | TOR | 13.733 | 19.05 | 100 | 16.67 |
Victor Rask | 2nd | CAR | 13.583 | 40.91 | - | 50 |
Dylan Larkin | 2nd | DET | 13.367 | 53.85 | 100 | 72.73 |
Henrik Zetterberg | 1st | DET | 13.2 | 65.63 | 100 | 65 |
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Top 18 D (no reason) he's faced. Harder to guess pairings because a lot have moved around since beginning of season, especially Carolina. Super impressive against Karlsson. Doesn't lose to anybody often, only pair that really gave him trouble was Slavin- Faulk. Pretty wild that he's only been on ice for 4 goals against, against these 18 guys. Speaks to him and the quality of the Bruins.
VS | Pair | VS Team | TOI With | CF% With | GF% With | SCF% With |
Erik Karlsson | 1st | OTT | 22.6 | 62.16 | 100 | 62.5 |
Mike Green | 2nd | DET | 20.73333 | 72.97 | 100 | 83.33 |
Thomas Chabot | 1st | OTT | 19.88333 | 65.38 | - | 60 |
Danny DeKeyser | 2nd | DET | 19.21667 | 61.76 | 100 | 71.43 |
Niklas Kronwall | 2nd | DET | 18.3 | 70.59 | 100 | 71.43 |
David Schlemko | 3rd | MTL | 17.78333 | 50 | 50 | 46.15 |
Jaccob Slavin | 1st | CAR | 17.65 | 26.67 | 100 | 28.57 |
Rasmus Ristolainen | 1st | BUF | 17.15 | 69.44 | 33.33 | 78.57 |
Brett Pesce | 1st | CAR | 17.1 | 48.57 | 100 | 58.82 |
Alex Pietrangelo | 1st | STL | 17.08333 | 75 | 100 | 85.71 |
Trevor van Riemsdyk | 2nd | CAR | 17.05 | 42.31 | - | 41.67 |
Haydn Fleury | 2nd | CAR | 17.01667 | 38.71 | 100 | 37.5 |
Jakub Jerabek | 3rd | MTL | 16.65 | 47.06 | - | 68.75 |
Victor Mete | 2nd | MTL | 15.9 | 52 | 50 | 46.15 |
Ryan Pulock | 3rd | NYI | 15.88333 | 46.15 | - | 57.14 |
Jordie Benn | 1st | MTL | 15.41667 | 52.78 | - | 61.9 |
Trevor Daley | 1st | DET | 15.13333 | 45.71 | 100 | 58.82 |
Justin Faulk | 1st | CAR | 15.1 | 28 | 100 | 28.57 |
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None of this is gospel, but the takeaway should be is he plays top/good competition most of the time and still fares extremely well. I think the past couple of weeks have shown he can certainly handle being higher in the lineup.
Actually most impressive thing to me is that Erik Karlsson has 37% scoring chance for with Grzelcyk on the ice and 60% with him off the ice vs Bruins. That is wild.