what would have to happen here is that the leafs will place marchenko on waivers today, unconditional waivers tomorrow, and terminate his contract on wednesday. At this point, marchenko becomes an unrestricted free agent. In case you’re worried about him heading to another nhl team, though, situations like this almost never end in a player bouncing around the league.
more likely than not, marchenko’s end destination will be cska moscow of the continental hockey league. Marchenko has had his russian rights held by the team since he was in his mid-teens, and was listed on their official roster in early june. As one of the richest teams in the league, cska can afford to give him a real-dollar salary that’s competitive with what the leafs owed him for the rest of the year ($1.5 million usd), especially given that their defence is a little low on globally-known names right now (nikita nesterov has had the best north american career of the bunch).
a move like this is likely best for all involved parties. Marchenko is low enough in toronto’s depth chart at the moment that he likely would have had to play for the toronto marlies this year, something that he likely doesn’t want to do as a 25-year-old who hasn’t played regular ahl minutes in over two years. As well, this gives him olympic flexibility; marchenko has played for the russian national team as recently as the 2016 world cup of hockey.
on toronto’s end of the bargain, a mutual termination would bring them back down to 48 contracts and clear his full $1.45 million cap hit off of the books, giving them about $400,000 more in wiggle room than an ahl assignment would have given them.