In the end, you have to go with what actually happened. I could go with the fantasy what if scenario if he didn’t get his career back on track after all the mishaps was forced to retire due to concussions, misdiagnosed or not.
Few listen, but I’ll keep saying it until I don’t post here anymore. Pace and projections are cute, but they almost never come to fruition. Even during the finest seasons of Gretzky and Lemieux, they had even more ridiculous paces than what they ended up with.
For instance, Gretzky opened 1983-1984 with his 51 game point streak where he piled up 153 points, exactly 3 points per game. He finished with 205 in 74, getting 52 in his final 23 games played. Still incredible but a far cry from 240 points.
There’s much more of a guarantee that Crosby would have done what nearly every player who sets a torrid pace in the first half of the season does, than actually following through and getting 64 goals and 132 points.
Crosby himself proved this in his sophomore season. He had 68 points in his first 41 games. Then he had 95 points through 56 games played. So surely he finished with 136-140points?
No, in actuality he finished with 120 and only missed 3 games. Not once did Crosby keep up of his higher level paces for an entire season. Sure, he scored 159 points in 99 games during his 3 years that he missed time but he has exactly zero seasons in his career that reflect this 1.61 ppg average (also known as a 130 or greater season).
It’s a disappointment to have to play any sort of what if game. When you only have as many trophies in reality as your supposed hypothetical ones, it’s something of a disappointment.