Pittsburgh passes. There is no reason to give up a first as well as Cole for another rental in Bozak; a garbage depth Dman in Marincin and a mid second.
Dont disagree that it wont happen, but wish people would start looking at the picks going both ways in there likely end spot. I do a fair bit of probability in my day job, and we try to use assumed and presumed value as much as possible.
In this scenario Leafs get a 1st, and Pit gets a second, saying you're giving up a 1st should probably more be thought as downgrading to a second from a first OR downgrading 25 or so spots.
Pick value here is likely pick#25-31 (Pit finishes top 5) for pick number #50-55 (Leafs finish around 5-10 overall standings-wise, this is where the assumption is neede)
So I wonder if people view it differently if the deal read:
TORONTO
Bozak @ 50% retained + Marincin + 53rd pick in 2018 for
PITTSBUGH
Cole + 27th pick in 2018
(Not saying the value makes this deal worthwhile, just that writing it out like this I think is the better way to gauge value)
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In a more extreme example, Pit trading their 1st and a player for Buffalos 2nd and a player, should probably be seen as downgrading 1-10 spots.