IF the Rangers continue with their form from the last 2 games and start to win more than they lose, I think there is a chance the Rangers might do nothing at the deadline. They could say why sell the 19 year olds? It is difficult for a 19 year old goalie to make the AHL, let alone the NHL and Damiani may not make the AHL either. If both of those come back, the Rangers would lose the 3 OAs, Bergkvist and Pfeil. Could Rangers brass think they could have a chance this year and next? Not convinced it is a good idea, but with OAs generally not getting as much as 19 year olds and it being so close this season I think there is a chance management might stand pat. There is not enough in the cupboard to buy.
About the highest end 19 year old D moved at last year’s deadline would have to be Markus Phillips. The return was 2nd, 2nd, 2nd, 3rd, 3rd, 4th*.
Another pretty good 19 year old D moved at last year’s deadline was Fedor Gordeev. That return was 2nd, 2nd, 3rd*, 5th*.
Should we move Vukojovic at the deadline next year, though prices could vary, I think we can expect the return to be somewhere between the returns for Phillips/Gordeev.
In the off season before last year, we moved former Ranger first rounder Giovanni Vallati to Oshawa, with two years remaining in the league plus a possible OA season, for a return of 2nd, 2nd, 3rd, 3rd.
Based on these three trades, I think we can assume that the return that we can hope for in any deadline deal next year for Vukojovic would be the Vallati return but if his development soars in the next 12 months, maybe the Phillips return above.
Currently, we have three 2nds and nine 3rds available to be traded this year, should we choose to, as per the new rules regarding the trading of distant draft picks. That won’t change going into next year. As per the rules, 2025 drafts picks (where we have two 2nds) can’t be moved until after next year’s deadline.
So, if MM either decides to stand pat this year, or comes away from the deadline unable to sell off because he “didn’t like the prices” etc etc, we’ll go into next year with those same three 2nds and nine 3rds.
Those assets won’t be enough to make the moves needed to turn next year’s team into a contender AND still have adequate assets needed to make moves to go all in in 21-22 when our 02’s and 03’s are at their peak.
Therefore, standing pat this year, then not going all in next year, means selling off our only high end graduating player, Vukojovic. If trading him means a minimum return of 2nd, 2nd, 3rd, 3rd as I suggested above, that would put us at five 2nds and eleven 3rds in the cupboard. Add to those assets the picks we have in 2025 that would then be available to be traded. We’d then stand at seven 2nds and twelve 3rds.
These would be the assets we would have with which to go all in with for the 21-22 season.
That’s not a bad bank of picks to go all in with. But keep in mind, it would have taken three years of being an also ran to get there. (Stand pat last year. Stand pat this year. Sell Vukojovic next year).
Call me crazy, but I don’t want to go through three down years between contending years. It’s not necessary when we can sell off this year and try to contend the next two years.