Menzinger
Kessel4LadyByng
statically players start a quick decline at around 32-33 years old. between 24 and 32 atypically they have around 90% of their performance. that would be 4-5 years into the contract.
looking at lucic's history he's been pretty healthy.
no one thought that Jager would play to the age he has either. hard to categorize players like that.
Its true that there's a chance he stays an effective player.
But Jagr is the player he is first and foremost due to his puck skills - Lucic seems to rely on his physical game as much as his skill.
If he loses half a step in his skating ability I see a Mike Richards or Dustin Brown type decline in his future.
Never really liked him as a player anyway so I hope this turns out to be a massive blunder for the Oilers.