To be fair, 2021 Kotkaniemi looks like a better player that his point totals would indicate, unlike guys like Toffoli or Petry. While he can still look kinda lost at times, he manages to show glimpses of great things in every aspect of the game but maybe shooting. He's been playing solid hockey under Ducharme so far.
The guy is 20 and I still think he was rushed in the NHL. Nevertheless, I project him as a responsible two-way player able to put 55-65 points in the good environment. The way he's playing right now certainly makes it look like a realistic bet.