I just want to say,
@StevenToddIves, you should have the job at The Athletic over Scott Wheeler. His rankings are absolutely abysmal and have no rhyme or reason to it. Personally, I feel his rankings are different just for the sake of being different and to get clicks because there's really no other reasoning for them. They are brutally bad, in my humble opinion.
I also have many disagreements with Wheeler, but I respect him a ton. I will say he's not click-bait, he just has a philosophy which I do not believe leads to winning hockey at the NHL level. The idea that compete level can be "instilled" is simply not true. The idea that offensive-minded defensemen will inevitably improve defensively while defensive-minded defensemen can never improve offensively is simply not true. So you just cannot escape scrutiny if you're ranking Nybeck 30+ slots higher than Ridly Greig, or William Wallinder and Lucas Corimer over Braden Schneider and Kaiden Guhle.
But as I am an ex-athlete who is competitive in my own right, let's weigh Wheeler's 2019 rankings vs. my own.
# WHEELER IVES
1 | Hughes | Hughes |
2 | Kakko | Kakko |
3 | Turcotte | Byram |
4 | Cozens | Turcotte |
5 | Byram | Zegras |
6 | Krebs | Krebs |
7 | Boldy | Cozens |
8 | Dach | Dach |
9 | York | Boldy |
10 | Caufield | Caufield |
11 | Newhook | Podkolzin |
12 | Zegras | Seider |
13 | Kaliyev | Newhook |
14 | Brink | Kaliyev |
15 | Dorofeyev | Tomasino |
16 | Suzuki | Lavoie |
17 | Podkolzin | M. Robertson |
18 | Hoglander | Brink |
19 | Broberg | Rees |
20 | Honka | York |
21 | Heinola | Soderstrom |
22 | Puistola | Beecher |
23 | Kokkonen | Harley |
24 | Lavoie | Poulin |
25 | Pelletier | Suzuki |
26 | Cajkovic | Dorofeyev |
27 | Legare | N. Robertson |
28 | Soderstrom | Hoglander |
29 | Harley | Kolyachonok |
30 | N. Robertson | Thomson |
31 | Poulin | Korczak |
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Our top 10s are actually quite similar. Things really break down around #15. I ranked all defensive-minded D ahead of Wheeler -- Soderstrom 7 spots higher and Harley 6 slots higher, while I have high rankings for Seider, Matt Robertson, Kolyachonok, Thomson and Korczak who did not crack his first round. In retrospect, I over-ranked Robertson, though not so badly as Wheeler under-ranked Seider.
Strangely, the one "defensive defenseman" Wheeler graded as a first-round pick while I did not was Kokkonen, who I saw as a solid 3rd-round pick but a likely NHL third-pairing guy. The idea that Kokkonen will be a better defenseman than a guy like Soderstrom or Harley is simply baffling to me, but you can counter that I had Robertson over Soderstrom which makes me look pretty clueless now, too.
Wheeler ranked all offensive defensemen, regardless of questions about their defense, ahead of me -- York 11 slots higher, while Broberg and Honka were not considerations for my first round. The jury is still out on Broberg, but York is certainly not #9 in a re-draft and Honka is still not making the NHL until he learns to play passably in his own zone (he went #83 overall to Carolina).
With "high-compete forwards", I ranked as first-rounders Tomasino (#15), Rees (#19) and Beecher (#22), whom Wheeler left out of the first-round. With offensive forwards for whom this was a question, he had Cajkovic at #26 while I ranked Cajkovic #58. In reality, Tomasino and Beecher went in the first round, Rees went a dozen picks into the second round and Cajkovic went #89 overall.
In the "miscellaneous category", we both over-ranked Krebs, who is going to be a very good NHL-er, but not the 6th best player in the 2019 draft. Wheeler certainly has bragging rights on Hoglander, who we both ranked higher than the consensus but he had the young blue-chipper at #18 while I had him 10 slots lower. Though I routinely kill Wheeler rankings-wise with defensemen, he made a nice call with Heinola at #21 while I had him just out of the first round at #37. We both nailed it with abnormally high rankings of Bobby Brink and Nick Robertson. We both blew it leaving some 2019 re-draft first-round slam dunks out of our first rounds: Nolan Foote (Wheeler #49, Ives #58), Connor McMichael (Wheeler #46, Ives #36), Tobias Bjornfot (Wheeler #66, Ives #35) and Shane Pinto (Wheeler #50, Ives #61). For players we now regret including in our first round, Wheeler has Honka, Kokkonen and Cajkovic, I have Matthew Robertson and Slava Kolyachonok.
Overall, I'd give myself a B and Wheeler a C. So I don't think I beat him by that much, but I'd still give myself the edge. I'd love to hear some other opinions. Here are the links to our top 100s:
Wheeler:
Wheeler: Final ranking for the 2019 NHL Draft's top 100 prospects
Ives:
Prospect Info: - 2019 NHL Draft; STI Final Rankings