missingmika
Registered User
- Dec 9, 2006
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Buffalo Bills It's the Off-Season. Go.
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Paxon
202* Stanley Cup Champions
That's not really good context because it is comparing US viewership totals of one event with world viewership totals of another.
- Mar 10, 2012
- 4,838
- 2,598
missingmika
Registered User
- Dec 9, 2006
- 4,523
- 1,833
I haven’t seen the world wide numbers released yet but probably safe to say they didn’t make up the 1.25 billion person delta in The world wide market.
Jim Bob
RIP RJ
He was a boundary receiver his first two years at LSU and was moved to the slot in Joe Brady's 5 wide offense.As I recall, wasn't Justin Jefferson primarily a slot WR at LSU?
He's been decent.
Jim Bob
RIP RJ
What does moving on from Stefon Diggs look like for Buffalo Bills’ salary cap?
Since the talk remains out there, let’s look at Stefon Diggs’ contract.
www.buffalorumblings.com
truthbluth
Registered User
- Feb 2, 2011
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$18.5 fully guaranteed isn't much. A post June 1 trade is more doable from a dead cap perspective.What does moving on from Stefon Diggs look like for Buffalo Bills’ salary cap?
Since the talk remains out there, let’s look at Stefon Diggs’ contract.
Jim Bob
RIP RJ
1) A post-6/1 trade does not help them get under the cap by the first day of the new league year and it does not help them through the bulk of the offseason.
2) I do not see Beane wanting to push $22M in dead cap into 2025.
3) A post-6/1 trade means you do not get a 2024 draft pick back which reduces your ability to replace Diggs with a quality WR in the draft.
I think the far and away two most likely options with Diggs this off season is he is back without touching his contract or he's back after a base salary restructure to create $13M in 2024 cap space and commit to Diggs on the Bills in '24 & '25.
Der Jaeger
Generational EBUG
If you watch Wilson, he's got big play potential from both the slot and outside. He looks more like a Diggs/Shakir type receiver than a slot only guy.As I recall, wasn't Justin Jefferson primarily a slot WR at LSU?
He's been decent.
Part of the reason I kicked around a hard reset idea was because of what you're mentioning. I eventually came to the conclusion that Beane is best served by holding onto Diggs and Miller one more season and then moving on from both contracts.
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truthbluth
Registered User
- Feb 2, 2011
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That's true, but of you can trade money in money out, it can be for a position that you don't otherwise address.
I don't see Beane wanting Diggs' $27mil cap hit in '25 either. Something has got to give.
Same answer as 1. You don't need a draft pick for Diggs.
Now, I'm not predicting what will happen, I'm posing an viable alternative where the common narrative is that restructuring is the only option. I believe it's the best option, I just don't think it is the only viable option, especially given that for the type of restructuring Diggs' contract requires, it takes two to tango.
Paxon
202* Stanley Cup Champions
Jim Bob
RIP RJ
There is no real NFL trade where you "trade money in money out" given the dead cap for previously paid bonuses that have not hit the salary cap yet.
And the Bills can do a base salary restructure of Diggs's contract without any sort of communication or agreement from Diggs. The Bills write into every contract a clause that the player is pre-approving any standard base salary restructure turning base salary into a signing bonus.
The Bills would need to work with Diggs to renegotiate the contract. But, I do not believe that anyone thinks that is a real possibility at this point in time.
Jim Bob
RIP RJ
I doubt Beane is planning on moving on from Diggs after 2024.
I have no doubt that moving on from Miller after 2024 is on the table.
I bet the plan is to stagger the dead cap from moving on from the two of them. And Diggs is the guy that they will keep around longer.
Der Jaeger
Generational EBUG
I've been thinking through how you beat the Chiefs and Mahomes. Some thoughts and concepts which I've been playing around with:
The 1990 Giants took on the Bills juggernaut offense and used possession offense and a defense which limited big plays to win.
The 2001 Patriots used the Giants blueprint to do much of the same to the Rams which was done to the Bills.
The 2007 and 2011 Giants had a similar script to the 1990 Giants and 2001 Patriots, but added a wrinkle. Spagnuolo used multiple defensive ends in his front to get a rush on Brady, with the goal of moving him from his spot and throwing timing off. In 2007, Strahan and Umenyiora played at end with Kiwanuka mixed in. Tuck was shifted from DE to DT on many downs. On some downs, they had all four defensive linemen as DTs. 2011 was similar, with JPP and Umenyiora at end and Tuck at DT a lot.
The Bills and 49ers tried a lot of these concepts, and they both almost won. Some trends:
- Possess the ball to limit the opponent's offensive chances. Bills did a really good job of this in the divisional round, holding the ball for 37 minutes and rushing the ball 39 times. The Bills forced only one punt in the game and had the fluke fumble in the end zone. So the defense didn't really stop the Chiefs as much as the Bills limited chances. And it almost worked.
- Get the QB off the spot and disrupt timing. The 49ers did a great job in the Super Bowl. They sacked Mahomes 3 times and pressured him a total of 9 times. They also forced 5 punts and 2 turnovers. The 49ers were undone defensively because their offense could not take advantage early on and the muffed punt gave KC new life.
- Both the Bills and 49ers were using ends at the DT position.
A year earlier the Eagles tried a lot of the same concepts. They held the ball for almost 36 minutes of the game and ran 32 times. They sacked Mahomes twice and pressured him a total of 7 times, a 23% pressure rate, using a lot of depth on their front to get that done. They didn't really limit the Chief offensively, only forcing 2 punts.
What I saw in all games was an inability to get up on the Chiefs early and force a one-dimensional game, and take away options from Andy Reid. In all of these games, the Chiefs combined excellent play calling and Mahomes to score on almost all their second half drives.
So I went back to Super Bowl 55 for the outlier. What happened in that game?
- Tampa ran a 3-4 defense which they shifted into a 2-4 a lot. They went 2-4 most of the game with JPP and Barrett outside, and two ILBs with a nickel back. Gholston and Vea rotated in on the front. Not a lot of difference from what McDermott runs.
- Todd Bowles' defense got 21 pressures on Mahomes. 3 sacks, 6 blitzes, 11 hurries, and 7 hits. Most of that was from the front 4. Barrett accounted for 6, Suh 4, JPP 2, Vea 2, Gholston 2.
- Tampa started slowly and so did KC. Tampa scored a TD, punted twice and loss of downs once. During that time, KC also started slow, punting 3 times and kicking a FG.
- Here's where the Bucs put the game away. Their next 4 drives, they scored 3 TDs and a FG, while the next 4 KC drives were 2 FGs, end of half, and an interception. That included KC getting the 2nd half kickoff. At the end of that stretch, the score was 31-9. Tampa had a 3 touchdown lead, assuming KC would convert at least one 2 point conversion.
Strategy:
- Possess the ball. Run and throw to open players short. Brady threw the ball 29 times for 21 completions. 13 of 29 passes were for over 10 yards, completing 8. 3 of those throws were short passes to Fournette, who ran the pass for a completion of over 10 yards. So really, 5 of Brady's completions traveled over 10 yards in the air. He tried five other passes over 10 yards and they were incomplete or drew penalties. Tampa ran the ball 33 times. They committed no turnovers.
- Get up on KC early with your defensive strategy, because you know that Reid is going to figure it out, and Mahomes is great late. Don't waste possessions. Take your best shots at their defense early. Get a lead which takes Reid away from what he wants to do.
- Pressure Mahomes and force him to move, but keep a spy on him. TB only allowed him to run for 33 yards because they rushed while keeping lane integrity (which SF did really well) but TB also spied him. Take away the deep game and force the Chiefs to run plays under pressure. SF did this really well early, and so did Tampa.
The 1990 Giants took on the Bills juggernaut offense and used possession offense and a defense which limited big plays to win.
The 2001 Patriots used the Giants blueprint to do much of the same to the Rams which was done to the Bills.
The 2007 and 2011 Giants had a similar script to the 1990 Giants and 2001 Patriots, but added a wrinkle. Spagnuolo used multiple defensive ends in his front to get a rush on Brady, with the goal of moving him from his spot and throwing timing off. In 2007, Strahan and Umenyiora played at end with Kiwanuka mixed in. Tuck was shifted from DE to DT on many downs. On some downs, they had all four defensive linemen as DTs. 2011 was similar, with JPP and Umenyiora at end and Tuck at DT a lot.
The Bills and 49ers tried a lot of these concepts, and they both almost won. Some trends:
- Possess the ball to limit the opponent's offensive chances. Bills did a really good job of this in the divisional round, holding the ball for 37 minutes and rushing the ball 39 times. The Bills forced only one punt in the game and had the fluke fumble in the end zone. So the defense didn't really stop the Chiefs as much as the Bills limited chances. And it almost worked.
- Get the QB off the spot and disrupt timing. The 49ers did a great job in the Super Bowl. They sacked Mahomes 3 times and pressured him a total of 9 times. They also forced 5 punts and 2 turnovers. The 49ers were undone defensively because their offense could not take advantage early on and the muffed punt gave KC new life.
- Both the Bills and 49ers were using ends at the DT position.
A year earlier the Eagles tried a lot of the same concepts. They held the ball for almost 36 minutes of the game and ran 32 times. They sacked Mahomes twice and pressured him a total of 7 times, a 23% pressure rate, using a lot of depth on their front to get that done. They didn't really limit the Chief offensively, only forcing 2 punts.
What I saw in all games was an inability to get up on the Chiefs early and force a one-dimensional game, and take away options from Andy Reid. In all of these games, the Chiefs combined excellent play calling and Mahomes to score on almost all their second half drives.
So I went back to Super Bowl 55 for the outlier. What happened in that game?
- Tampa ran a 3-4 defense which they shifted into a 2-4 a lot. They went 2-4 most of the game with JPP and Barrett outside, and two ILBs with a nickel back. Gholston and Vea rotated in on the front. Not a lot of difference from what McDermott runs.
- Todd Bowles' defense got 21 pressures on Mahomes. 3 sacks, 6 blitzes, 11 hurries, and 7 hits. Most of that was from the front 4. Barrett accounted for 6, Suh 4, JPP 2, Vea 2, Gholston 2.
- Tampa started slowly and so did KC. Tampa scored a TD, punted twice and loss of downs once. During that time, KC also started slow, punting 3 times and kicking a FG.
- Here's where the Bucs put the game away. Their next 4 drives, they scored 3 TDs and a FG, while the next 4 KC drives were 2 FGs, end of half, and an interception. That included KC getting the 2nd half kickoff. At the end of that stretch, the score was 31-9. Tampa had a 3 touchdown lead, assuming KC would convert at least one 2 point conversion.
Strategy:
- Possess the ball. Run and throw to open players short. Brady threw the ball 29 times for 21 completions. 13 of 29 passes were for over 10 yards, completing 8. 3 of those throws were short passes to Fournette, who ran the pass for a completion of over 10 yards. So really, 5 of Brady's completions traveled over 10 yards in the air. He tried five other passes over 10 yards and they were incomplete or drew penalties. Tampa ran the ball 33 times. They committed no turnovers.
- Get up on KC early with your defensive strategy, because you know that Reid is going to figure it out, and Mahomes is great late. Don't waste possessions. Take your best shots at their defense early. Get a lead which takes Reid away from what he wants to do.
- Pressure Mahomes and force him to move, but keep a spy on him. TB only allowed him to run for 33 yards because they rushed while keeping lane integrity (which SF did really well) but TB also spied him. Take away the deep game and force the Chiefs to run plays under pressure. SF did this really well early, and so did Tampa.
Zman5778
Moderator
There's really no such thing as a "money in, money out" trade in the NFL. The vast majority of NFL players' contracts have dead money involved. And there's no way to transfer dead money between teams.
Jim Bob
RIP RJ
Husko
Registered User
Bring him in as whatever role he wants. He'd be an outstanding advisory addition to the staff. Shocking move by Shanahan.
Der Jaeger
Generational EBUG
Agree. He did a better job against Mahomes than McDermott did.
Wilks has Carolina connections, so they definitively know each other well.
Husko
Registered User
Yup. And maybe this late in the process there’s no good DC openings for him. If so, he’d be a perfect senior defensive advisor and assistant head coach. He’d offer so much of what we both want:
-McDermott adjacent scheme but with a different flavor, bringing new ideas into the room
-Legitimate DC experience in case Babich needs help or is in over his head
-HC experience if McDermott needs help in the game management arena when he wants to take over D playcaling for himself.
If I knew he was available I’d be beating the drum for him as DC. But maybe a more senior advisor role would be an even better fit.
Zman5778
Moderator
Yeah, bringing him in as an assistant head coach seems and senior defensive assistant seems like a no-brainer. Plus, we'd get 2 3rd round comp picks if anyone hires him as HC after next year.
SundherDome
Y'all have to much power
Could always go Gregg Williams route and just pay someone to go for his knees.
For real, this was really well done. Since we have to watch KC a lot, you can tell if it's a two possession game you have to know KC is coming back. The biggest thing with Mahomes is he gets three tries and rarely comes up empty. KC also has this aura about them in which teams get the yips at the worst possible time.
Jim Bob
RIP RJ
Perfect fit for the Bills.
Keon Coleman is NOT the separator at WR that I would want the Bills to draft.
Jim Bob
RIP RJ
Bruce does a great job breaking down the MVP voting.
MVP voters believe that wins are a QB stat. It has now been 7 years in a row where the MVP has been the starting QB for a team with the 1 seed in the AFC or NFC.
And since the Ravens beat the 49ers late in the year, that is why it was a landslide for Lamar.
So, if Josh Allen is to win an MVP in 2024, the Bills need to get the 1 seed and they need to beat the 49ers & Lions as the two potential NFC 1 seeds on their 2024 schedule.
Jim Bob
RIP RJ
Former Bills OL Wyatt Teller says he sees Buffalo fans everywhere (video)
Teller was talking to Dion:
billswire.usatoday.com
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