If you equalize for ownership, you'd be hard pressed to find a GM who is worse than Lou at maximizing the allotted cap space. His best moves are actually resigning guys that were already on the team: Pelech, Pulock, Brock. Since taking over, he has done a very poor job of addressing very obvious needs.
Are you kidding?
You're talking about a man who came in at a point of hopelessness while the face of the franchise walked away for nothing and, with but a few under the rader moves and the signing of a great coach, immediately had the team in the second round of the playoffs.
And despite constant contract juggling of players that were enthroned or up for new deals in the contract structure when he arrived, got them to the conference finals for two straight seasons thereafter. All the while, he went after big fish worth going for and managed to keep just about all his key pieces here in the process, even if a few had the leverage and got a pretty penny along the way.
In general, his doing all of this despite the unforeseen cap impacts of the pandemic and his management of the cap in a time of repeated non-existence of cap space has been downright masterful.
Furthermore, this GM thought it be prudent to not only trade away puck moving defensemen Toews (Great)
I just do not understand why people are so shortsighted as to see the moving of Toews in a vaccum.
He, Barzal, and Pulock were all RFAs in line for a considerable raise at a time where we hardly had cap space for even two of them. No-one wanted to see Toews moved. At the time, everyone knew he was gonna have to be the guy moved because he simply wasn't nearly as important as the other two while also having great value on the market. Getting two seconds was a very solid return, especially in light of him A) not yet being signed and B) not being able to add more contract to the cap.
Naturally a strong-skating, offensively oriented Dman is going to go bonkers on the fastest and most talented offensive team in the league. Do you or anyone else think he'd have been putting up 55+ points here the past few seasons?
Very likely not, but he sure as hell will on a pairing with Cale Makar and a PP featuring all sorts of lights out offensive players.
Heck, put our Sebastian Aho on that Aves team for 70 games and he's collecting 35+ points as well.
In short, the trading of Toews simply CANNOT be counted against Lamoriello when arguing how well he allots cap space. It cannot.
The move was actually VERY prudent when taking the full context into account.
But obviously, moving both Toews and Leddy were unavoidable cap casualties.
and Leddy (not so great), and replace them with a 45 year old Zdeno Chara. That shows a catastrophic misunderstanding of player value and need.
Naturally, if you're going to hate on a guy, you're going to interpret such a situation like that. And you'll even have our finish in the standings - of which Chara's inefficiencies only played a small, small role - as a backing of such belief.
For anyone who has been around the block a few times and has been following this league for 35+ years, it's pretty clear that Lou likely had a pretty good idea of who he wanted to bring in to add to that left side and either struck out or couldn't get a deal done in a manner that made sense.
He then added Chara banking on the team being solid and war-tested enough to have itself in the playoff picture for bulk of the season, buying himself time to find another answer in time for the playoff run.
This team then being out of the playoff picture by Christmas then made that plan entirely null and void. Proof? There's none. That just comes from understanding how this guy, and many other GMs, work.
And in a lost season, we saw Dobson turn into a 50-point Dman and he did that primarily with Chara on his side. So, that's one heck of a silver lining in that "catastrophic misunderstanding of player value".
This is also a GM that has acknowledged need for more scoring and has spent significant cap space on guys like Palmieri, JGP, and the entire 4th line. I know he's loyal, and that has something to do with it. However, player evaluation and filling needs are poor at this point in his career.
Hmmm... Sure, neither Pageau nor (especially) Palmieri have been guys that put us over the top, but both can be part of a winning recipe and Palmieri's level of failure (when he first came and then for a good 31 games last season) was absolutely unforeseen, even for those of us who weren't too fond of him as a scoring answer in the first place, myself included.
And you didn't mention Wahlstrom, who aside from Nelson has actually shown the greatest capacity for sniping, yet seemed to regress as the season went on, hitting a low point when finally packed together with Barzal. He was so bad those last 4 or 5 games with Matty that under other circumstances, you'd have to think long and hard about sending him back down to the AHL. At times, he was a disaster out there.
Based on his pure shooting abilities, he should have had 20 goals last season. He's clearly got some issues elsewhere and I suspect they're heavy in the confidence department.
As for the 4th line, it's not here for scoring. You know that. That line's value serves in an entirely different capacity.
Sure, everyone is bitching and moaning about having invested too much dough and years there, but if it is finally no longer able to do its job (Johnston included), all these contracts can easily be burried or moved aside.
Heck, who here would be surprised if i.e. Martin just outright retires and gets a spot in the organization if he finds himself slodging around out there like he did for much of last season?
As far as Romanov goes. You don't think that it's a massive risk to take for a team with so few desirable assets? He has not shown yet that he can be a good top 4 defenseman on a good team. He is young and still developing, sure. But there is no reason to believe he has much offense to his game.
The 13th overall pick is a heavy price to pay to take a gamble like this. I'd feel a lot differently if we had a better farm system, but we don't. Taking wild swings on players like Romanov is not what we should be doing. I hope I'm wrong.
Well, I'm a bit of a prospects guy, so as long as he's in North America (as opposed to Russia), I'm not worried about this move in the least now. My book on Romanov is that he'll add a considerable physical dynamic while being a very active player who is going to play important shorhanded minutes. I'm not worried about the offense. If you have a chief component of your defensive game only getting 20 points a season (which is what he'll round into in the coming years), that's fine. There are going to be other Dmen here to produce points.
And honestly, Dobson is the key in that department, but we've gotta be expecting a lot more out of Pulock. He can't be a player going 5-20-25 in a season. He needs to be much more than that. Pelech BTW quietly put up his best offensive season to date.
And if the established guys aren't rounding things out offensively, we're gonna need more out of a Salo incrementally in the coming years or someone else will need to be brought in.
Was our 13th in a solid, but average draft, worth sending out in order to bring in a defensively-oriented young NHLer who can potentially be a long-term ying to Dobson's yang plus a 4th?
In Romanov's case, I'm certainly gonna say yes. I see this deal paying off for us in spades over time.
Isles would be best to move on. However, ownership will realize this too late. Our next GM will be rebuilding. Hopefully, our next GM has less emotional attachment to familiar players who don't move the needle much.
It's just hard to take such an opinion all that seriously. You're entitled to it, but after this team saw the second round of the playoffs just once in like 15+ years, it's amazing that any fan can come to this kind of conclusion about a hall of famer mult-time Stanley Cup winner who stepped right in and had this team in the second round of the playoffs (and then beyond) for three straight years.
On top of it, this opinion is issued by a good chunk of the fanbase after one shoddy season with all sorts of extracurricular activities that stood as stones - or in several cases, bolders - in the road.
Feels a lot more like a "what have you done for me lately" cheap shot than any educated assessment.
This all said, the shoddy season led to a surprising firing of the very beloved coach, who was replaced by an assistant who has long been rumored as a very desired commodity on the "up-n-coming" head coaches list.
So, yes, the onus is now on Lamoriello to have examined everything correctly and get this team back on track for a cup run. That can be helped significantly with a big UFA dip, but is not dependent upon that.
This upcoming season will be decisive in Lou's chapter as Isles GM and as I mentioned in another recent post, if this team is out of the playoffs or just makes it in and gets knocked out rather easily right away, Lou will likely be losing his job. A new direction will likely be sought after.
And if it goes down like that, I'll be rooting for the next guy wholeheartedly, yet very, very, very thankful that Lou Lamoriello was part of this franchise and brought it back to respectability, doing so in one of the toughest markets in the league and while putting a whole lot of faith and respect in the people he worked with.
PROSPECTS/DEPTH:
- Salo will be a regular, bottom 4 Dman over the long run. It shouldn't be this upcoming season.
- Aho and Hutton are fine for spots 8-10.
- Raty is a blue-chipper, even if not really a top line talent.
- The Isles will get tangible value out of both Holmstrom and Dufour.
- Expect Isiah George to explode on the scene next season in London.
- Expect Tristan Lennox to be traded next season and go on a big run with the team he's added to.
- Odelius should be seen as a future top 5 Dman, likely a very solid #4 or #5. He's going to be an NHLer.
- Durandeau and Liukas are better prospects than people here know or think.
- Be it 5 picks or 7, the NYI selection process must become better.
- The signing of Paliafito should definitely indicate that this team will look to add more bodies via the free agent route, particularly out of Europe. His signing could have no other purpose. However, that may indicate that more future picks are on the line as trade assets. Going the European UFA route is most generally practiced by teams that traditionally don't draft a whole lot.