hate to say it but krug is a small puckmover who doesnt have blazing speed... he is successful because he is quick and able to make the smart play
hes also turning 29. history shows us a horrible decline in other players who got their success being small undersized puck movers who were quick and made the smart play as they turn 29-30-31
Christian erhoff was 29 when he signed with bufflo… not exactly as small as krug, but overall a similar style of play... dropped from 50 points... managed 3 seasons with buffalo where he never got more than 33 points and became a notorious buyout soon after
toby Enstrom was almost 29 when he signed his final deal with Winnipeg in 2013... he went from a 50 point guy to a 20 point guy pretty much immediately. in his last 5 expensive seasons he played 317 games with 89 points.
brian campbell was 29 when he signed his 7 million dollar contract with Chicago in 2008. he managed 1 decent season with Chicago... then became a huge burden to them for a couple years before they passed him off to florida. he stayed serviceable but 7 mill for a guy like this always turns out a disaster
krug has never been an average defender... he must be protected. when forced to play against top opposition he gets burnt. as a pp weapon, hes elite but after losing a step hes going to drop a bit. all 30 year olds drop a bit. some can do it and were so great to begin with they remain effective. but smaller guys always had to work extra hard to begin with... they always had to overcome their handicap. it just gets harder as time continues.
krug was never a take the puck and rush it end to end type of guy. he never had a shot that overpowers the goalie. but he is quick... he has a great first step... he can get the puck through. he has the reflexes that let him be a split second ahead of the opposition as he is finding the open man for a pass.
I dont see this ending well
if krug were willing to resign with a team on a 4 year deal... sure... gamble... there are some examples of little puck movers who have success to 32-33 years of age. he could be value on a 4 year deal
but this talk of 6-7 years is doomed to a buyout...
as a bruin fan I want him back on the shorter deal. he is now a team leader. he would be missed in the locker room. plus he really evatated his game in last year's playoffs. he was actually playing well enough to be a second pair defender for that short period of time.
7 mill? other than brian campbell how many similar dmen to krug have ever got 7 mill? krug is a 20 min a night second pair specialist. ALL THE OTHER 7 MILL DMEN ARE 23 MIN A NIGHT FIRST PAIR DMEN.
I look for comparables… I see kevin Shattenkirk. he got 6.6 mill with the rangers on a 4 year deal. lets remember they had to buy him out after 2 seasons.
in his last 143 games since turning 29, Shattenkirk has just 62 points... its serviceable and tampa gave him nearly 2 million to join them... he can still play, but paying him 6.6 million was totally nutso
whoever gets the honor of paying krug more than 6 mill and more than 4 years is going to have a blackhole on their cap. they may get 1-2 very good years if they are lucky but he is ONLY a pp qb. expecting him to play a regular role defensively in your top 4 will frustrate the hell out of you. better hope to hell you have an elite partner for him to cover up. despite his great offense... bruin fans are split on whether they want to get rid of krug every year because he frustrates the hell out of us defensively.
anyhow... I do like him... Winnipeg? I dont see the fit
Detroit... I can see the fit...
Detroit was willing to overpay mike green for the last several years. krug will be an upgrade on green. and he will be a hometown boy that should be good for the city. even as he suffers as a player 4-5 years from now hes a character guy that could be a locker room leader for that group of kids.
I see 2 paths for krug
either get overpaid on a short term deal to stay with boston and try to win a cup
or
get overpaid on a max term deal to go home to Detroit and be a bottom pair pp specialist on a team that is likely going to finish at the bottom of the standings the next couple years anyhow.
got nothing against him... he seems like a quality human. I love his twitter stuff... I hope he gets paid, but I hope to hell my team doesnt give him more than 4 years at the absolute most