The vast majority of us expected the Wings to be in the hunt this year. And they are. There was a minority that expected complete failure or the team to be a legitimate contender. The truth, unsurprisingly, remains in the middle for the Wings.
Which was really easy to predict, since the Wings structure remains mostly intact from previous years and the results have been fairly consistent. The team will look great. And bad. They'll make the playoffs and be a threat, but a tier below the elite teams due to lack of star players on the blueline.
I believe the issue is even simpler than that. None of our defensemen are on pace to get more than 35 points. Can anyone tell me if anyone has made it to the conference finals with no defensemen getting more than 35 points? I have to imagine it's never happened.
I don't think people appreciate how anemic the Wings defense is offensively.
The best, and most cited example, would be the 2006 Carolina Hurricanes. They had one defenseman with over 35 points, and that was Frantisek Kaberle. I think I just heard everybody go "who?" No, it's not the Kaberle you were thinking of. It's a guy who only eclipsed 30 points once in his entire career and that was in 2006 with 44 points. He played less than 2 full seasons for the Hurricanes after that.
Next closest on that roster was Bret Hedican with 27 points.
Of course the Carolina recipe for success hinged upon other things. Such as having a 45-goal, 100 point center in Eric Staal. And then a defensive beast of a center in Brind'Amour with 70 points. That was an incredible 1-2 punch up the middle. Combine that with a career launching display of elite goaltending from Cam Ward and you got yourself a stew.
So even with the anemic defense, Carolina has multiple elite pieces to help push them through 4 rounds.