i think you can look at how well Kane, Crosby and Ovechkin held up as they got old. Their numbers either held or even improved in their 30s EXACTLY when the goalie pads were reduced. They should have faded away faster. If the guys back then were worse than now, then Crosby and Ovechkin werent that good because they didnt have huge gaps on those guys. THEN, Crosby shouldnt have been challenging for the Ross, nor Ovechkin for the Rocket, into their mid thirties against this new crop.
Agreed. The idea that scoring is higher because there's so much more talent in the league is plainly false.
First, if talent is so much better today, we'd see a slow and gradual increase in the number of goals per game. (That's because it would take time for the "next generation" of players to enter the league, and displace the previous generation). Instead, we saw a full decade with a very steady level of offense (from 2008 to 2017, eight of ten seasons featured between 2.70 and 2.79 goals per game). Then, once goalie equipment shrunk, scoring immediately soared. I think someone would have to be willfully blind to ignore this explanation.
Second, if talent is so much better today, then players from 10-15 years ago shouldn't be having such great results, this late into their career. Crosby is 36 (a full decade past a player's typical goal-scoring peak) and he already has the 3rd highest goals total of his entire career. Joe Pavelski just had his 1st and 4th highest scoring seasons, at ages 37 and 38. Ovechkin reached 90 points for the first time in 12(!) years, at age 36, while Backstrom missed half the season. Stamkos set a career high in points at age 31 (granted he's a on a stronger, deeper team now - but just from watching him, it's immediately obviously he lacks the acceleration that he had a decade ago). I can keep going with examples. But the point is - if the new generation is clearly better than the last one, it wouldn't be possible for so many star players to have huge seasons since late into their careers.
(Just so nobody misconstrues my point - I'm
not saying that the previous generation was better. But I think the higher totals from today's top stars are at least partly due to the fact that they're playing in a higher scoring league, thanks in part to smaller goalie equipment).