Higher sv% next year, Campbell or 1 of Murray / Samsonov

[Sidney the Kidney]

It's not the regular season I am worried about.

Murray's playoff numbers are good. And it's not like the Penguins teams he played behind were good defensively other than the 2016 team.

 

[Tad Mikowsky]

I just saw a tweet where Murray would've been .920 behind the Leafs D.

Campbell was still 26th...they did well in spite of him.

I remember last year you were declaring Mrazek being better than Andersen before the season started. That aged great.

 

[Kamus]

I just saw a tweet where Murray would've been .920 behind the Leafs D.

Campbell was still 26th...they did well in spite of him.

I just saw a tweet where Murray would’ve been .890 behind the leafs D.

 

[Namikaze Minato]

I just saw a tweet where Murray would’ve been .890 behind the leafs D.

I just tweeted saw a tweet that said I would be a .950 behind the Leafs defence but I'm a free agent now so, Edmonton can call me anytime.

 

[tucker3434]

Gonna go with Murray. I’m just not sold on Campbell being a true starter and Edmonton probably isn’t the place to test that out. I don’t like Murray either at that price, but whatever.

 

[Kamus]

I just tweeted saw a

 

[Michel Beauchamp]

Poll is kind of dumb, I'll take the option with 2 players one of which is likely only going to play 20-30 against theoretically weaker competition as most backups do. Not really apples to apples. Always seems to be some hedging going on in these threads, which is funny since the team that has two goalies to choose always claims their D is an upgrade over ours. No idea why they also need to hedge their bets with two choices to one...


Better Sv% - your guy or two of ours?
Matthews vs Drai (Ignore contracts)
And on and on.

Yep. The poll should be Campbell vs Murray/Samsonov combined.

I just saw a tweet where Murray would've been .920 behind the Leafs D.

If you saw it in a tweet, it must be true...

 

[beowulf]

Baring a miracle return to form by Murray it will be Campbell.

 

[ijuka]

It's not that Campbell is necessarily going to be great. But both Murray and Samsonov are disastrous. It's quite possible that both will be sub .900.

 

[CatchyTune]

Campbell. He is still the better goalie than Torontos additions. I do think they improved as an overall tandem though.

 

[Kerberos]

I'd take Skinner over that disastrous bargain bin discount (without the discount) Leafs tandem.

 

[AlexBrovechkin8]

Samsonov gonna break out in Toronto.

Would be simultaneously the least likely of scenarios but also one I wouldn’t be surprised at. Unless he makes big strides on the mental aspect of his game he’s going to get eaten alive in Toronto but he’s also freakishly athletic and talented so he’s got the potential to do it.

 

[Midnight Judges]

Samsonov gonna break out in Toronto.

Perhaps if they give him a brain transplant. Dude is out to lunch.

The Capitals gave him plenty of opportunities.

 

[lwvs84]

If Murray can stay healthy and start 60 games, I take Samsonov. He'll get starts against teams like Hawks, Coyotes, and other bottom teams mostly which should boost his stats.

 

[Sting]

If Murray can stay healthy and start 60 games, I take Samsonov. He'll get starts against teams like Hawks, Coyotes, and other bottom teams mostly which should boost his stats.

Matt Murray has played a max of 50 games in a season, 4 years ago. The probability of him playing 60 is next to zero. I'd say its more likely he plays 25-30.

 

[LEAFANFORLIFE23]

Murray/Samsonov

Campbell had 1 great month last year it got him 5X5 but from December-April he was 893, in the playoffs he was 897.

That's what Campbell is when he's the guy.

The Bar isn't high.

 

[NeverForget06]

Third option should be both are sub .900 and it's a hollow victory for whichever side happens to be better

 

[JasonRoseEh]

I'll just tell ya that Samsonov is awful and if he couldn't' get it together in Washington he has zero chance in Toronto.

 

[abo9]

Campbell
Samsonov - Kuemper


Lindgren
Murray

 

[Zonk]

Given it's seen as a risk what the Leafs did, who do you take? Campbell higher than both or 1 outperforming him. We'll say sample size of 20 games. Campbell should be seen as the safe bet, but you get 2 chances with what the Leafs did.

I am bumping this for two reasons. I had inferred from the OP that we would check back after a sample size of 20 games and we are slightly past that now. Second, it is interesting that three of the goalies on the Oilers and the Leafs have identical save percentages as of today.

I also thought it interesting to include Skinner and Kallgren in the data for no particular reason.

	SV%	GAA
Samsonov	0.921	2.23
Murray	0.921	2.51
Skinner	0.921	2.78
Kallgren	0.891	2.87
Campbell	0.876	4.15

 

[centipede2233]

I had one defiant oilers poster tell me how campbell was a great signing before the start of the season. My exact rebuttal was this “your team may or may not do well, but I assure you, if by some define intervention your oilers go to the finals or win the Stanley cup, I guarantee you, it won’t be jack campbell as the starter. So you better hope skinner isn’t the next binnington, that’s your only hope”. He scoffed and said we’ll see. I guess we are seeing….that I was right

 

[Martin Skoula]

The good news is if Edmonton starts Campbell enough their first round pick should be high enough that they might be able to bundle it with Campbell for future considerations.

 

[ricky0034]

looks like Campbell will win this poll since 1 of Samsonov or Murray won't finish higher since they both will

 

[abo9]

Campbell
Samsonov - Kuemper


Lindgren
Murray

My revised ranking after being de-biased from the playoffs:

Kuemper
Samsonov
Lindgren
Campbell
Murray

 

[Play]

The good news is if Edmonton starts Campbell enough their first round pick should be high enough that they might be able to bundle it with Campbell for future considerations.

If they win #1 overall they would be stuck. You can’t trade away Bedard