Well, are we not going to be better managed money-wise, since most of the players that we are adding to the talent pool are going to be on ELCs or bridge contracts within 2-3 years?
I don't think anyone knows. Making that assumption presumes that the team will remain static from now until then. The only thing we really know for sure is that the "dead money" we're carrying comes off the books at the end of the season so IN THEORY we'll have a ton of budget room, but given IA's spending history it doesn't necessarily mean anything more than that we'll have a ton of cap room to fill to meet the floor.
Still staying in a roster-only context, it's my estimation that, based on previous spending habits by this owner group, we're still going to have one of the lowest real payrolls in the league. And venturing into the new arena context - even if everything goes 100% right with the legislature, IA is going to have to come up with $200M to go with the $200M in subsidies they're looking for to get the new barn built - which to me means that the purse strings on the roster will remain tight.
Even if Tip gets canned at the end of this year or stays on for the remainder of his contract, we should be coming into our own in 1-2 years on the ice.
Again, there's too much coming up - the trade deadline, the expansion draft, the amateur draft, and free agency that are going to complicate matters, as will Shane Doan's decision on retirement. And that's if the team stays past June, which is certainly nowhere near a sure thing at this juncture.
I don't mind optimism at all, but you're making some assumptions that require a lot of things to be frozen in place over a period of years. I think things are way too fluid all around to be that certain.