Future of Leafs D

saltming

Fan Addict
Oct 6, 2015
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To answer your questions:

1. I don't worry about toughness. I care about quality more.

2. I think Lilly is even stronger defensively than he is offensively. I think he has e every chance to be a brodie level defensive player but with more size and offense.

3. I've liked Rubins a few years now and I'm not surprised that he looks good in his debut here. He's got size mobility hands and good instincts. He actually is fairly physical but again it's not something I worry about too much.
I would add that your lineup has underrated toughness and defensive smarts
 

Duke16

Registered User
Apr 14, 2015
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Rielly here long-term. Sandin and Liljegren poised to be fixtures. A lot would have to go wrong for Niemela not to make it at this point.

From there, Dermott could maybe still have a decent future here, especially if Holl were to be moved and he had a strong finish to the season.

Anyone on the Marlies' D right now, aside from maybe Kral, projects as more of a callup or less at this point.

Kokkonen is interesting, but his offensive game has tailed off over the years (although he was productive in his Marlies' stint). From what I recall, his defensive play wasn't up to it's usual level early in the season either. It will be interesting to see if he can reach a level defensively where he is a must-play option.

I still quite like Koster's transition play and think he's ELC-worthy. He will likely play out all for years of college and a decision will be made from there.

Villeneuve is making strides away from the puck and in his skating, so we could progress into a very real two-way option over the next few seasons. I wasn't high on him initially, but I think he may have what it takes to become better than a lot of what is in the system right now.

1. Sandin
2. Liljegren
3. Niemela (might be on track to take #1, and I think you could argue that off of pure upside at this point)
4. Kokkonen
5. Villeneuve
6. Kral
7. Rubins (higher floor than others)
8. Koster
9. Rindell
10. Duszak (may be making his case for a team to try him out, but I doubt it's the Leafs)
11. Menell (riser potential, but hard to get a read from his early TOR stint)
12. Hollowell (I think the Leafs almost envisioned him being the first D from the current Marlies' D core to make it, but he's fallen down the depth chart)
13. Kivihalme (oldest, not really a prospect)
 
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darrylsittler27

Registered User
Oct 21, 2002
6,654
1,125
Rielly here long-term. Sandin and Liljegren poised to be fixtures. A lot would have to go wrong for Niemela not to make it at this point.

From there, Dermott could maybe still have a decent future here, especially if Holl were to be moved and he had a strong finish to the season.

Anyone on the Marlies' D right now, aside from maybe Kral, projects as more of a callup or less at this point.

Kokkonen is interesting, but his offensive game has tailed off over the years (although he was productive in his Marlies' stint). From what I recall, his defensive play wasn't up to it's usual level early in the season either. It will be interesting to see if he can reach a level defensively where he is a must-play option.

I still quite like Koster's transition play and think he's ELC-worthy. He will likely play out all for years of college and a decision will be made from there.

Villeneuve is making strides away from the puck and in his skating, so we could progress into a very real two-way option over the next few seasons. I wasn't high on him initially, but I think he may have what it takes to become better than a lot of what is in the system right now.

1. Sandin
2. Liljegren
3. Niemela (might be on track to take #1, and I think you could argue that off of pure upside at this point)
4. Kokkonen
5. Villeneuve
6. Kral
7. Rubins (higher floor than others)
8. Koster
9. Rindell
10. Duszak (may be making his case for a team to try him out, but I doubt it's the Leafs)
11. Menell (riser potential, but hard to get a read from his early TOR stint)
12. Hollowell (I think the Leafs almost envisioned him being the first D from the current Marlies' D core to make it, but he's fallen down the depth chart)
13. Kivihalme (oldest, not really a prospect)
Great points. Niemela may be the next Kaberle but Sandin will be the more complete dman.
 

Sweet Leaf

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Jun 24, 2013
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Toronto
We're going to choke on Muzzin's cap hit for years. He'll be considered our 3rd best LD in short order behind Sandin and Reilly and that cap hit is atrocious for a bottom pairing defencemen. He plays a physical brand of hockey and has already lost a step.

There's no question we're a better team with Muzzin right now. There's also no question IMO that we will be regretting his cap hit through 2024 (5.7M). He has a full NMC clause...the only chance to move him was to leave him unprotected at the expansion draft. That would have hurt us in the short term here but in the long run would have been the move to make. If the Leafs win the cup, it will be a risk that was well taken.
 

zeke

The Dube Abides
Mar 14, 2005
66,937
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We're going to choke on Muzzin's cap hit for years. He'll be considered our 3rd best LD in short order behind Sandin and Reilly and that cap hit is atrocious for a bottom pairing defencemen. He plays a physical brand of hockey and has already lost a step.

There's no question we're a better team with Muzzin right now. There's also no question IMO that we will be regretting his cap hit for years to come. He has a full NMC clause...the only chance to move him was to leave him unprotected at the expansion draft. That would have hurt us in the short term here but in the long run would have been the move to make. If the Leafs win the cup, it will be a risk that was well taken.

Muzzin is a fantastic all around top pair quality defenseman on a short-term bargain contract that ends at age 34.
 
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Fogelhund

Registered User
Sep 15, 2007
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He'll be our 3rd best LD as soon as the beginning of next year and he's signed through 2024. We're all going to hate his contract.

If Muzzin is your 3rd best LD, it's because you have a fantastic group of LD. Only complainers and whiners would hate Muzzin's contract. As he ages, we may need a more mobile partner for him, that guy is probably Lilly.

The D core is pretty good, and the depth is very good. Niemala has been very good as a prospect, Rindell might be under rated, Rubins looked very good in his short stint.... If we have a need, it's a third pairing mobile physical D man. Really we are in pretty good shape.
 
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JT AM da real deal

Registered User
Oct 4, 2018
12,140
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He'll be our 3rd best LD as soon as the beginning of next year and he's signed through 2024. We're all going to hate his contract.
But everyone on hockey side knew da last 2 years of Muzzy's contract would be rough when it was signed .. but guess what father time started kickin this season .. now we have to get a better 2nd pair dman to give Muzzy more support for playoffs .. and it showed all these non hockey fans that Holl was not very good but they all got fooled which isn't hard to do .. i think more likely Brodie and Muzzy have to be shutdown pair of we make playoffs and Dermy can play with Rielly
 
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Sweet Leaf

Registered User
Jun 24, 2013
1,176
847
Toronto
If Muzzin is your 3rd best LD, it's because you have a fantastic group of LD. Only complainers and whiners would hate Muzzin's contract. As he ages, we may need a more mobile partner for him, that guy is probably Lilly.

.

From a roster construction standpoint, we're the last team in the league that can afford to carry a contract like that for your 3rd best LD.

Only time will tell. There's no use in arguing about it too much. As I said, if the leafs win in the interim it will be worth it and look smart. We're obviously much better with him than without him.
 

Buds17

Registered User
Nov 29, 2015
8,248
3,369
We're going to choke on Muzzin's cap hit for years. He'll be considered our 3rd best LD in short order behind Sandin and Reilly and that cap hit is atrocious for a bottom pairing defencemen. He plays a physical brand of hockey and has already lost a step.

There's no question we're a better team with Muzzin right now. There's also no question IMO that we will be regretting his cap hit through 2024 (5.7M). He has a full NMC clause...the only chance to move him was to leave him unprotected at the expansion draft. That would have hurt us in the short term here but in the long run would have been the move to make. If the Leafs win the cup, it will be a risk that was well taken.

The NMC has actually since become a NTC (essentially the same thing, minus the unlikely/nearly impossible elements of waivers and another expansion draft respectively). However, that NTC becomes a 10 team veto for the final season of the contract. Term expiring on the deal might theoretically make any trade more palatable. The return might not be very much if his skills were to decline though. We'd have to see what the rest of the contracts on the team look like too as ELCs and contracts at or near the veteran's minimum help to create balance. It's a bridge to be crossed if and when.
 
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Voodoo Child

Registered User
Jun 16, 2009
6,330
2,427
Muzzin has been bad this year and wasn’t exactly great last year.

But his NTC hasn’t kicked in yet and it’s a ten-team no trade list. His deal isn’t good, but it’s not even close to Zaitsev bad.

There’s always a market for veteran, Cup winning top-4 D with size in this league, throw in some retention and someone will bite.

I think the time to start discreetly shopping him is around the start of 2022-23, but you listen to offers in the meantime.
 
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TML1967

Registered User
Jul 20, 2010
2,983
625
I dont know if it will happen, but if the NHL get delayed because of this covid stuff, it could be a blessing in disguise for our D core.
Muzzin and Holl look off, and getting them a few weeks off to heal up and relax could do wonders for their games.

I am a fan of break up the bottom 2 pairings to more balance our back end.
Muzzin - Liljgren has looked markedly better than Muzzin - Holl.
Sandin could use a defensive first partner with some size and snarl, and Holl is sadly not that.

Lybushkin makes sense as he can play the role I described, and is 700k cheaper.

Ive been a fan of Pysyk, he is cheap, on a team looking for pics. But dont think he compliments Sandin all that well.

Ton of people talk about Mayfield, but I cant see NYI giving him up for a price we will want to pay. Could be perfect add though...

De Haan is someone I used to covet, but he seems to be a pure 3rd pair guy no. No points on the season, and you would need a double retention to make me interested.

**Dark Horse Pick** Luke MF'ing Shenn. He is cheap, has size, knows the city, plays a physical game and 3rd pairing RHD. Wouldn't be a guy who you would want moving up the lineup in case of injury. But if he works out, he has another year at below 900k.

If you want a younger guy, Haydn Fleury is someone I have enjoyed watching from afar. He seems to have the toolbox and tools to be a good sized #5/6 RHD right now with room to grow. He just hasn't seemed to find a good partner he clicks with.
 

SeaOfBlue

The Passion That Unites Us All
Aug 1, 2013
35,591
16,773
I dont know if it will happen, but if the NHL get delayed because of this covid stuff, it could be a blessing in disguise for our D core.
Muzzin and Holl look off, and getting them a few weeks off to heal up and relax could do wonders for their games.

I am a fan of break up the bottom 2 pairings to more balance our back end.
Muzzin - Liljgren has looked markedly better than Muzzin - Holl.
Sandin could use a defensive first partner with some size and snarl, and Holl is sadly not that.

Lybushkin makes sense as he can play the role I described, and is 700k cheaper.

Ive been a fan of Pysyk, he is cheap, on a team looking for pics. But dont think he compliments Sandin all that well.

Ton of people talk about Mayfield, but I cant see NYI giving him up for a price we will want to pay. Could be perfect add though...

De Haan is someone I used to covet, but he seems to be a pure 3rd pair guy no. No points on the season, and you would need a double retention to make me interested.

**Dark Horse Pick** Luke MF'ing Shenn. He is cheap, has size, knows the city, plays a physical game and 3rd pairing RHD. Wouldn't be a guy who you would want moving up the lineup in case of injury. But if he works out, he has another year at below 900k.

If you want a younger guy, Haydn Fleury is someone I have enjoyed watching from afar. He seems to have the toolbox and tools to be a good sized #5/6 RHD right now with room to grow. He just hasn't seemed to find a good partner he clicks with.

The problem is most, if not all, of these guys are not better than Holl. Mayfield is the only one who looks like he would be more than a #7 on our team, and I wouldn't want him in our top 4. Hardly even sold on him being an upgrade on Holl, even if Holl can only be a decent bottom pairing defenseman going forward.
 

Papi 4 Hart

Registered User
Nov 9, 2018
827
688
Muzzin is the type of guy who will struggle over the long regular season at times because he of his age and the wear and tear on his body. But if we traded him we would be looking for another Muzzin to replace him for playoffs. He's like a Brooks Orpik who is super valuable come playoff time.
 
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