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Favin's Top 100 Prospects

By Favin · Jun 28, 2019 · Updated Jun 28, 2019
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  1. Favin Registered User

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    Here are the top-100 NHL prospects today. Top-25 by position below

    Criteria: Each player had to be under-25, selected in an NHL draft (or signed by NHL club) and played less than 1/2 season at NHL level.

    Positions: Keep in mind that some of the positions change (ie, C to wing, RW to LW). I had to pick one for the positional lists, so don't kill me on that.

    Methodology: I use a 0-100 scale to rate players. It is largely based on combination of factors, mostly on (a) highest peak potential and (b) probability of player reaching that potential. The probability score is based on age, current league, injury history, current team depth chart. This can impact goalie ratings significantly, so keep in mind when looking at goalie lists. Here is a loose run-down of ratings and how many players are in each category:

    95+ (generational) 1 player
    90-94 (NHL stars) 11 players
    85-89 (1st line, top-pair D) 16 players
    80-84 (top-6 F, top-4 D) 31 players
    75-79 (mid-6, bot-4) 36 players
    70-74 (NHL roster) 55 players

    In total, I have 505 players ranked between 51-100 that fall under 'prospect' criteria (I will spare you the whole list).

    Feedback: Always appreciated. If you say 'player x over player y', please tell me why. If you have questions, ask below. If you have pithy insults, post below (but be sure to include your full name, address, phone number).

    Notes: Here are a couple of notes on the lists...
    (1) If we knew that Kaprizov were to play in NHL next season, he would be #2 on this list between Hughes and Kakko.
    (2) Sorokin is the top-rated goalie, but benefits from few ahead of him on depth chart. If NYI re-signs Lehner for more than 1-year, he will slide down slightly.
    (3) There are a few older prospects (if you consider 23-24 to be old). They are mostly goalies and/or college players. Being 23 years old and stuck in AHL for a few years is not the same as being 23 and coming out of college. Example: Taro Hirose (#75) is ranked a lot higher than Jeremy Bracco (#181). Bracco's probability ceiling has shrunk with opportunity while Hirose's is more unknown. I like Bracco and wouldn't be shocked if he turned out to be the better player. But since his projected peak is much more range-bound, Hirose ends up higher here.

    Ok, to the list....

    OVERALL TOP 100
    1. Jack Hughes, C, NJD
    2. Kaapo Kakko, RW, NYR
    3. Quinn Hughes, LHD, VAN
    4. Martin Necas, C, CAR
    5. Cale Makar, RHD, COL
    6. Cody Glass, C, VGK
    7. Kirill Kaprizov, RW, MIN
    8. Bowen Byram, LHD, COL
    9. Alex Turcotte, C, LAK
    10. Filip Zadina, RW, DET
    11. Trevor Zegras, C, ANA
    12. Erik Brannstrom, LHD, OTT
    13. Troy Terry, RW, ANA
    14. Noah Dobson, RHD, NYI
    15. Matthew Boldy, LW, MIN
    16. Vitali Kravtsov, RW, NYR
    17. Grigori Denisenko, LW, FLA
    18. Evan Bouchard, RHD, EDM
    19. Drake Batherson, RW, OTT
    20. Vasili Podkolzin, RW, VAN
    21. Jordan Kyrou, C, STL
    22. Barrett Hayton, C, ARI
    23. Eeli Tolvanen, RW, NSH
    24. Adam Boqvist, RHD, CHI
    25. Nick Suzuki, C, MTL
    26. Ty Smith, LHD, NJD
    27. Adam Fox, RHD, NYR
    28. Ilya Sorokin, G, NYI
    29. Owen Tippett, RW, FLA
    30. Kristian Vesalainen, LW, WPG
    31. Morgan Frost, C, PHI
    32. Joel Farabee, LW, PHI
    33. Cole Caufield, LW, MTL
    34. Sam Steel, C, ANA
    35. Spencer Knight, G, FLA
    36. Victor Soderstrom, RHD, ARI
    37. Peyton Krebs, LW, VGK
    38. Oliver Wahlstrom, RW, NYI
    39. Ilya Samsonov, G, WAS
    40. Dylan Cozens, C, BUF
    41. Ryan Poehling, C, MTL
    42. Dante Fabbro, RHD, NSH
    43. Igor Shestyorkin, G, NYR
    44. Rasmus Kupari, RW, LAK
    45. Carter Hart, G, PHI
    46. Cam York, LHD, PHI
    47. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen, G, BUF
    48. Kirby Dach, C, CHI
    49. Juuso Valimaki, LHD, CGY
    50. Moritz Seider, RHD, DET
    51. Philip Broberg, LHD, EDM
    52. Ville Heinola, LHD, WPG
    53. Aleksi Heponiemi, C, FLA
    54. Alexandre Texier, LW, CBJ
    55. Alex Newhook, C, COL
    56. Arthur Kaliyev, RW, LAK
    57. Lassi Thomson, RHD, OTT
    58. Pavel Dorofeyev, LW, VGK
    59. Joe Veleno, C, DET
    60. Bobby Brink, RW, PHI
    61. Ryan Suzuki, C, CAR
    62. Connor McMichael, C, WAS
    63. Ruslan Iskhakov, LW, NYI
    64. Dominik Bokk, RW, STL
    65. Philip Tomasino, C, NSH
    66. Bode Wilde, RHD, NYI
    67. Thatcher Demko, G, VAN
    68. Alexander Nylander, RW, BUF
    69. Philippe Myers, RHD, PHI
    70. Raphael Lavoie, C, EDM
    71. Jesper Boqvist, LW, NJD
    72. Jason Robertson, RW, DAL
    73. Gabe Vilardi, C, LAK
    74. Maxime Comtois, LW, ANA
    75. Taro Hirose, LW, DET
    76. Rasmus Sandin, LHD, TOR
    77. K’andre Miller, LHD, NYR
    78. Ville Husso, G, STL
    79. Alexander Romanov, LHD, MTL
    80. Alex Formenton, LW, OTT
    81. Josh Norris, C, OTT
    82. Matthew Robertson, LHD, NYR
    83. Josh Brook, RHD, MTL
    84. Nils Hoglander, LW, VAN
    85. Alex Vlasic, LHD, CHI
    86. Isac Lundestrom, C, ANA
    87. Urho Vaakanainen, LHD, BOS
    88. Thomas Harley, LHD, DAL
    89. Klim Kostin, RW, STL
    90. Jesse Ylonen, RW, MTL
    91. Max Jones, LW, ANA
    92. MacKenzie Blackwood, G, NJD
    93. Isaac Ratcliffe, LW, PHI
    94. Filip Gustavsson, G, OTT
    95. Cal Petersen, G, LAK
    96. Jake Bean, LHD, CAR
    97. Tobias Bjornfot, LHD, LAK
    98. Shane Bowers, C, COL
    99. Lucas Elvenes, RW, VGK
    100. Ian Mitchell, RHD, CHI

    ****

    Top Centers
    1. Jack Hughes, C, NJD
    2. Martin Necas, C, CAR
    3. Cody Glass, C, VGK
    4. Alex Turcotte, C, LAK
    5. Trevor Zegras, C, ANA
    6. Jordan Kyrou, C, STL
    7. Barrett Hayton, C, ARI
    8. Nick Suzuki, C, MTL
    9. Morgan Frost, C, PHI
    10. Sam Steel, C, ANA
    11. Dylan Cozens, C, BUF
    12. Ryan Poehling, C, MTL
    13. Kirby Dach, C, CHI
    14. Aleksi Heponiemi, C, FLA
    15. Alex Newhook, C, COL
    16. Joe Veleno, C, DET
    17. Ryan Suzuki, C, CAR
    18. Connor McMichael, C, WAS
    19. Philip Tomasino, C, NSH
    20. Raphael Lavoie, C, EDM
    21. Gabe Vilardi, C, LAK
    22. Josh Norris, C, OTT
    23. Isac Lundestrom, C, ANA
    24. Shane Bowers, C, COL
    25. Ty Dellandrea, C, DAL


    Top Left Wings
    1. Matthew Boldy, LW, MIN
    2. Grigori Denisenko, LW, FLA
    3. Kristian Vesalainen, LW, WPG
    4. Joel Farabee, LW, PHI
    5. Cole Caufield, LW, MTL
    6. Peyton Krebs, LW, VGK
    7. Alexandre Texier, LW, CBJ
    8. Pavel Dorofeyev, LW, VGK
    9. Ruslan Iskhakov, LW, NYI
    10. Jesper Boqvist, LW, NJD
    11. Maxime Comtois, LW, ANA
    12. Taro Hirose, LW, DET
    13. Alex Formenton, LW, OTT
    14. Nils Hoglander, LW, VAN
    15. Max Jones, LW, ANA
    16. Isaac Ratcliffe, LW, PHI
    17. Liam Foudy, LW, CBJ
    18. Dillon Dube, LW, CGY
    19. Alexandre Fortin, LW, CHI
    20. John Beecher, LW, BOS
    21. Jakob Pelletier, LW, CGY
    22. Martin Kaut, LW, COL
    23. Mathias-Emilio Pettersen, LW, CGY
    24. Brayden Tracey, LW, ANA
    25. Adam Mascherin, LW, DAL


    Top Right Wings
    1. Kaapo Kakko, RW, NYR
    2. Kirill Kaprizov, RW, MIN
    3. Filip Zadina, RW, DET
    4. Troy Terry, RW, ANA
    5. Vitali Kravtsov, RW, NYR
    6. Drake Batherson, RW, OTT
    7. Vasili Podkolzin, RW, VAN
    8. Eeli Tolvanen, RW, NSH
    9. Owen Tippett, RW, FLA
    10. Oliver Wahlstrom, RW, NYI
    11. Rasmus Kupari, RW, LAK
    12. Arthur Kaliyev, RW, LAK
    13. Bobby Brink, RW, PHI
    14. Dominik Bokk, RW, STL
    15. Alexander Nylander, RW, BUF
    16. Jason Robertson, RW, DAL
    17. Klim Kostin, RW, STL
    18. Jesse Ylonen, RW, MTL
    19. Lucas Elvenes, RW, VGK
    20. Denis Gurianov, RW, DAL
    21. Kirill Marchenko, RW, CBJ
    22. Alex Barre-Boulet, RW, TB
    23. Stelio Mattheos, RW, CAR
    24. Serron Noel, RW, FLA
    25. Kailer Yamamoto, RW, EDM


    Top LH Defense
    1. Quinn Hughes, LHD, VAN
    2. Bowen Byram, LHD, COL
    3. Erik Brannstrom, LHD, OTT
    4. Ty Smith, LHD, NJD
    5. Cam York, LHD, PHI
    6. Juuso Valimaki, LHD, CGY
    7. Philip Broberg, LHD, EDM
    8. Ville Heinola, LHD, WPG
    9. Rasmus Sandin, LHD, TOR
    10. K’andre Miller, LHD, NYR
    11. Alexander Romanov, LHD, MTL
    12. Matthew Robertson, LHD, NYR
    13. Alex Vlasic, LHD, CHI
    14. Urho Vaakanainen, LHD, BOS
    15. Thomas Harley, LHD, DAL
    16. Jake Bean, LHD, CAR
    17. Tobias Bjornfot, LHD, LAK
    18. Alexander Alexeeyev, LHD, WAS
    19. Ryan Johnson, LHD, BUF
    20. Nicolas Hague, LHD, VGK
    21. Dylan Samberg, LHD, WPG
    22. Nicolas Beaudin, LHD, CHI
    23. Pierre-Olivier Joseph, LHD, ARI
    24. Vladislav Kolyachonok, LHD, FLA
    25. Kale Clague, LHD, LAK


    Top RH Defense
    1. Cale Makar, RHD, COL
    2. Noah Dobson, RHD, NYI
    3. Evan Bouchard, RHD, EDM
    4. Adam Boqvist, RHD, CHI
    5. Adam Fox, RHD, NYR
    6. Victor Soderstrom, RHD, ARI
    7. Dante Fabbro, RHD, NSH
    8. Moritz Seider, RHD, DET
    9. Lassi Thomson, RHD, OTT
    10. Bode Wilde, RHD, NYI
    11. Philippe Myers, RHD, PHI
    12. Josh Brook, RHD, MTL
    13. Ian Mitchell, RHD, CHI
    14. Anttoni Honka, RHD, CAR
    15. Ryan Merkley, RHD, SJS
    16. Conor Timmins, RHD, COL
    17. Reilly Walsh, RHD, NJD
    18. Kaedan Korczak, RHD, VGK
    19. Cale Fleury, RHD, MTL
    20. Jacob Bernard-Docker, RHD, OTT
    21. Callan Foote, RHD, TB
    22. Timothy Liljegren, RHD, TOR
    23. Axel Andersson, RHD, BOS
    24. Nils Lundkvist, RHD, NYR
    25. Filip Johansson, RHD, MIN


    Top Goalies
    1. Ilya Sorokin, G, NYI
    2. Spencer Knight, G, FLA
    3. Ilya Samsonov, G, WAS
    4. Igor Shestyorkin, G, NYR
    5. Carter Hart, G, PHI
    6. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen, G, BUF
    7. Thatcher Demko, G, VAN
    8. Ville Husso, G, STL
    9. MacKenzie Blackwood, G, NJD
    10. Filip Gustavsson, G, OTT
    11. Cal Petersen, G, LAK
    12. Alexandar Georgiev, G, NYR
    13. Jake Oettinger, G, DAL
    14. Michael DiPietro, G, VAN
    15. Tyler Parsons, G, CGY
    16. Mads Sogaard, G, OTT
    17. Cayden Primeau, G, MTL
    18. Pyotr Kochetkov, G, CAR
    19. Linus Soderstrom, G, NYI
    20. Michael McNiven, G, MTL
    21. Ian Scott, G, TOR
    22. Hunter Jones, G, MIN
    23. Joseph Woll, G, TOR
    24. Stuart Skinner, G, EDM
    25. Samuel Montembeault, G, FLA
     
    Last edited: Aug 10, 2019
  2. snipes How cold? I’m ice cold.

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    What is your reason for not having Tyler Benson as one of the best 25 LWers?

    He had 66 points in 68 games in his rookie AHL season.

    He should be in the top 5 for LW prospects, that’s a glaring omission.
     
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  3. TatteredTornNFrayed ocelot spleens, ...

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    So is Cam York 46 or 52?

    Similar question with Veleno, Tomassino...
     
  4. Tripod Registered User

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    6 Flyers in your top 70...7 in your 100.

    A Flyers in the top 12 at every position. That's a nice balance

    I do think you missed Goalie Samuel Ersson:
    .922 SV%, 2.23 GAA in WJC
    .933 SV%, 1.95 GAA in Allsvenskan

    He received the Rookie of the Year, Goaltender of the Year, and Most Valuable Player of the Year this year in Allsvenskan. He absolutely is a top 25 goalie prospect.
     
  5. Walkenthewalk Registered User

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    Nice list, thanks.
     
  6. Favin Registered User

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    Fixed. Numbers were right, just sorted oddly. Thx.
     
  7. Kevin Musto Ian Mitchell's #1 Fan

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    You've got a weird hate for Kirby Dach
     
  8. tony d Registered User

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    Thanks for posting this, a good list IMO.
     
  9. Kotkaniemi15 Registered User

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    Habs prospects are so slept on
     
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  10. Favin Registered User

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    Thanks - will have to keep an eye on this kid.
    Ersson is currently #37 on my list, and projects to be a #3.
    Goalies are tough and are often so dependent on opportunity.
     
  11. HockeyDBspecialist Habs 2019 cup champ

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    Primeau at 17th...............

    okay, the 2 times best Goalie in the NCAA and best u20 US goalie is 17th. LOL
     
    Last edited by moderator : Jun 29, 2019
  12. HockeyDBspecialist Habs 2019 cup champ

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    Pretty much always like that..

    Caufield was top 8 for most people, but now since the Habs drafted him he is worth nothing.
     
  13. Favin Registered User

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    (or others have weird love for Kirby Dach)

    But honestly, I probably overrate skating ability and am often too size-agnostic. Compared to others I generally am more bullish on faster, skilled small players and more bearish on slower big bodies.
     
  14. Tripod Registered User

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    Goalies are tough for sure. But being named goalie of the year....AND player of the year of a Men`s league at age 19, is pretty impressive.

    I expect next year in the SHL he will take a few months to get adjusted, then post better numbers as the season goes on.
     
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  15. Favin Registered User

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    Goalies are tough - the 8-22 goalies are close if you gave them each the same opportunity.
     
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  16. CROCODILE SEATS Collin

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    Thanks for posting, as a Wild fan I enjoyed reading this a lot. What makes you slightly higher on Kaprizov than most though? Where do you think Boldy should’ve been drafted?
     
  17. Favin Registered User

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    I am a believer in Caulfield. But he is tricky, because if he doesn't fulfill his potential as top-line scorer, the default wouldn't be 3rd/4th line grinder, it would be AHL.
     
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  18. Bulis hit Registered User

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    Don't give attention to someone answering like that. It is quite disrespectful to react this way to a list containing 120 names+

    A lot of work goes into your lists and I think they are all reasonable.

    Habs fans like Primeau and have good reasons for that, but he doesn't have the draft status of the top goalies (which may not mean much in the long run, but in the short term mean that professional scouts see a lot of potential in the player or not) or the professional experience of some goalies above him.

    I think the goalies around him are quality prospects as well. I hope he turns out better than many above him, but who knows what the future holds.

    Good work.
     
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  19. Kotkaniemi15 Registered User

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    I have absolutely no respect for this list. I know that you put in time and effort to make it but it’s utterly ridiculous.
     
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  20. Rob Brown Way She Goes

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    Carter Hart as the 5th best goalie is a bit confusing given that he's a starter in the NHL.
     
  21. Favin Registered User

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    Kaprizov has had 3 of the 7 best under-22 seasons in KHL, keeps getting better. Sky is limit for him.

    I had expected Boldy at #10 to VAN, so #12 was about right where I expected him. (Speaking of MIN, Guskov was one of my favorite picks at #149...I am much higher on him than most).
     
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  22. Kotkaniemi15 Registered User

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    (mod)
    This list has so many bad rankings. Carter Hart as the 5th best goalie prospects, Dach at 48, Necas at 4. It’s no good.
     
    Last edited by moderator Minnesota: Jun 29, 2019
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  23. Favin Registered User

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    Other than MTL prospects, which do you find utterly ridiculous?

    And FWIW, I am quite high on MTL prospect pool as a group. It is quite deep. I just don't see that top, elite prospect in their system at any position.
     
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  24. Butch26 Registered User

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    Hart 5 seem like a pretty bad ranking ...

    Some ranking i don't agree , but we have some ranking comparable , we had pretty much same 15/20 of top 20 player
     
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  25. AmericanDream Adopted Canadian

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    guy puts out a list like this for people to look at and debate, and this is your post?? because Primeau is ranked too low for you, you need to put hahahahahahahahahahahahaha out there??

    here is an idea hot shot, list your top 15 goalie prospects so we can all judge your list...we all will be anxiously awaiting it..
     

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