The cap for next year will be close to $80M. Average salary for a 23 man roster will be around $3.5M. In three years it will be close to $4M. Is Gudy above average value on the roster? Based on his current play, no. But he could be in three years....waiting for the stones to be thrown...
No stones. If he's not now, what makes you think he will be later? Note: Development is not the right answer.
When did near everyone think there would not be?
You thought they would attempt to re-sign him? After they all but traded him for Demers? I didn't see this argument made in any great frequency.
So not that I'm trying to defend Benning, but with a lot of cap space and likely not that many opportunities to spend it efficiently ( We're a bad team with an aging core. No decent UFA will want to sign with us), wouldn't it make some sense to take a chance on Gudbranson perhaps finding something in his game to take him to the next level? He's young enough where some improvement isn't out of the question.
Worst comes to worst, he contributes to our tanking agenda and his contract doesn't disrupt the timeline for this team to get back to contention. This team is still pretty far away unless we get a >50% success rate on our current top prospects.
The opportunities to spend cap wisely are directly tied to the wisdom of the individual spending cap space. In other words, it doesn't matter at all that FAs will not want to sign here. Don't chase big money FAs. Make Vanek type deals instead. Meaning, there is no pressure on Benning to spend cap space unwisely.
Development at 26 years of age = highly, highly improbable. When you see players excel beyond this stage it's more a function of utility than development. Like the Sedins finding art ross form later in their careers. They were that good already, it's just that their utility (max Ozone starts, Kesler on the PP, Ehrhoff etc...) wasn't maximized.
Tanking isn't Benning's agenda. So if the team is worse off by re-signing Gudbranson, it means that Benning is that much worse at executing his retool plan. Great for team tank, as this will inadvertently make the team worse, but it does not reflect well on the direction of the team outside Gudbranson. What you are talking about is the best of a bad situation. -- I'd prefer the situation not to be bad/as bad as it is.