Draft Lotto Tracking Final 9 Games

[Chabot84]

DRAFT LOTTO TRACKING FINAL 9 GAMES:

Current Records:

Edmonton 2-2-1

Vancouver 3-3-0
Anaheim 3-3-1
LA Kings 4-1-1
Buffalo 0-6-1
Rangers 2-2-1
New Jersey 2-2-1
Detroit 5-1-0
Ottawa 3-3-0

If Oilers go 5-4-0 to finish the season we would need the following teams records to be at least this to finish behind them:

Vancouver 5-4-0
Anaheim 6-3-0
LA Kings 10-0-0 (Can't pass us)
Buffalo 5-4-1
Rangers 6-2-1
New Jersey 8-0-0 (Can't pass us)
Detroit 9-0-0 (Can't pass us)
Ottawa 10-0-0 (Can't pass us)​

If Oilers go 4-5-0 to finish the season we would need the following teams records to be at least this to finish behind them:​

Vancouver 4-5-0

Anaheim 5-4-0
LA Kings 10-0-0 (Can't pass us)
Buffalo 4-5-1
Rangers 5-3-1
New Jersey 8-0-0
Detroit 8-0-1
Ottawa 10-0-0 (Can't pass us)

If Oilers go 3-6-0 to finish the season we would need the following teams records to be at least this to finish behind them:​

Vancouver 3-6-0

Anaheim 4-5-0
LA Kings 10-0-0
Buffalo 3-6-1
Rangers 4-5-1
New Jersey 7-1-0
Detroit 7-1-1
Ottawa 10-0-0 (Can't pass us)​

If Oilers go 2-7-0 to finish the season we would need the following teams records to be at least this or better to finish behind them:

Vancouver 2-7-0
Anaheim 3-6-0
LA Kings 9-1-0
Buffalo 2-7-1
Rangers 3-6-1
New Jersey 6-2-0
Detroit 6-2-1
Ottawa 10-0-0

If Oilers go 1-8-0 to finish the season we would need the following teams records to be at least this or better to finish behind them POSSIBILITY ELIMINATED​

Vancouver 1-8-0

Anaheim 2-7-0
LA Kings 8-2-0
Buffalo 1-8-1
Rangers 2-7-1
New Jersey 5-3-0
Detroit 5-3-1
Ottawa 9-1-0

If Oilers go 0-9-0 to finish the season we would need the following teams records to be at least this or better to finish behind them: POSSIBILITY ELIMINATED

Vancouver 0-9-0
Anaheim 1-8-0
LA Kings 7-3-0
Buffalo 0-9-1
Rangers 1-8-1
New Jersey 4-4-0
Detroit 4-4-1
Ottawa 8-2-0
​

------- OLD THREAD BELOW -------

Here is a VISUAL of our playoff chances: (We need 4 of the 5 teams (including whomever is in wild card position and not above) to have equivalent or worse records to end the year to make playoffs... This isn't including row this simply puts the teams 1 point behind us

I will update this post daily until the Oilers are reasonably eliminated from the playoffs.

PLAYOFF TRACKING FINAL 12 GAMES:

CURRENT RECORDS: (teams we should care about highlighted red)

Edmonton 3-3-2

Vancouver 4-1-0 (added with only 8 games left for them)
St. Louis 6-1-1 (Can't catch them)
Dallas 4-3-2
Arizona 2-3-3
Minnesota 3-4-1
Colorado 6-1-1
Chicago 3-3-2

If the Oilers go 8-2-2 to finish the season;

Vancouver 7-1-0
Arizona 6-6-0
Minnesota 6-5-1
Colorado 6-5-1
Chicago 8-5-0


If the Oilers go 8-1-3 or 9-2-1 to finish the season; POSSIBILITY ELIMINATED

We would need the teams ahead of us to have the following records at maximum for points:

Vancouver 6-1-1 (added with only 8 games left)
St.louis 4-8-0
Dallas 5-8-0
Arizona 6-5-1
Minnesota 7-5-0
Colorado 8-4-0
Chicago 8-4-1

If the Oilers go 9-1-2 or 10-2-0 to finish the season; POSSIBILITY ELIMINATED

We would need the teams ahead of us to have the following records at maximum for points:

Vancouver 7-1-0 (added with only 8 games left)
St.louis 4-7-1
Dallas 6-7-0
Arizona 7-5-0
Minnesota 7-5-1
Colorado 8-4-1
Chicago 9-4-0

If the Oilers go 9-0-3 or 10-1-1 to finish the season; POSSIBILITY ELIMINATED


We would need the teams ahead of us to have the following records at maximum for points:

St.louis 5-7-0
Dallas 6-6-1
Arizona 7-4-1
Minnesota 8-4-0
Colorado 9-3-0
Chicago 9-3-1

If the Oilers go 11-1-0 to finish the season; POSSIBILITY ELIMINATED

We would need the teams ahead of us to have the following records at maximum for points:

St.louis 5-7-0
Dallas 6-5-1
Arizona 8-4-0
Minnesota 8-3-1
Colorado 9-2-1
Chicago 10-3-0

If the Oilers go 11-0-1 to finish the season; POSSIBILITY ELIMINATED

We would need the teams ahead of us to have the following records at maximum for points:

St.louis 5-6-1
Dallas 7-5-0
Arizona 8-3-1
Minnesota 9-3-0
Colorado 10-2-0
Chicago 10-2-1

If the Oilers go 12-0-0 to finish the season; POSSIBILITY ELIMINATED

We would need the teams ahead of us to have the following records at maximum for points:

St.louis 6-6-0
Dallas 8-5-0
Arizona 9-3-0
Minnesota 9-2-1
Colorado 10-1-1
Chicago 11-2-0

** If I made any errors please let me know below so I can correct them.
** This should be a fun way to track Edmonton until reasonably eliminated from the playoffs.​

Click to read more...

 

[Worraps]

Interesting thread. Thanks for posting it.

 

[Took a pill in Sbisa]

Not sure if this thread is a joke

 

[Joey Moss]

In other words, we have no shot.

 

[DingerMcSlapshot]

In other words, we have no shot.

1.9% playoff probability lol

 

[oobga]

Oilers going 7 games over .500 in last 12...

Oilers going 8 or 9 games over .500

Oilers going 10, 11 or 12 games over .500 in last 12

Do appreciate you doing all the math though

 

[Del Preston]

1.9% playoff probability lol

But you gotta like their chances.

 

[Bryanbryoil]

1.9% playoff probability lol

What's our lottery probability? After the Devils game that's the only number I'll be keeping tabs on.

 

[sepHF]

has there ever been a team in NHL history that has had two 100 point players and still missed the playoffs?

 

[yukoner88]

I bet they go 4-6-2

 

[Senor Catface]

The last chance ended with that Jersey game.

 

[The Panther]

I could have saved the OP a lot of time. The Oilers' chances died about 6 weeks ago.

 

[BlackDogg]

Would if we go 1-9-2.

OK nevermind.

 

[Drivesaitl]

The Jersey game doesn't even represent a last gasp. It was done already, and long before that, realistically. For a club that can barely go over .500 for short lengths of time requiring a hot streat was really out of the question. This was never a lineup that was making ground. Instead this is a completely healthy Oilers lineup, with no injuries, not one single injury, and they lost to a Devils team had their MVP out and 8 other starters. Chew on that. How bad would this Oilers team look if it was missing Connor McDavid for several months as well as 7 other starters AND their starting goalie being out most of the season?

But hilariously, and perhaps fittingly the Devils club that schooled us and made us look like pretenders in the first game of the year has now schooled us even worse at the end of the year. Perfect bookends of being schooled. But this one even more impressive from a Devils stand point due to their limited lineup. This Devils club last night with half a lineup ran us out of our own rink.

One gets the sense the Devils would beat Edmonton 4 straight in a playoff series finding a different way to make the Oilers idiots each time. Every match we play they seem to be on the smart side of hockey.

 

[5 Mins 4 Ftg]

The death march.

 

[Del Preston]

The last chance ended with that Jersey game.

The Oilers are getting in, pal.

 

[MikeGrier99]

So just go 9-2-1, hope four other teams all collapse at the same time, and we're in! Then we just need to go 16-12. That's barely over .500. And the cup's ours! We have been shit haven't been on track for 150 games, but we got this!

 

[BlackDogg]

The death march.

The kids of March.

 

[Del Preston]

They will most likely be eight points out going into Saturday's game.

At minimum they would need to win 10 of the last 12 just to have a chance.

 

[Evgeny Oliker]

With games on Saturday and Sunday, do you guys expect Koskinen and Stolarz to each start one game?

Or with playoff hopes still alive would Koskinen start both games?


Thanks

 

[Tyrolean]

The last chance ended with that Jersey game.

It really ended in December.

 

[Senor Catface]

It really ended in December.

No.

If they had won, they would have been 4 points back. I don't think they had a real chance at making it, but 4 points is 4 points. It was fun, and that's what counts. God forbid we have any fun with this team.

Be pessimistic all you want, and yes, we suck, but you're wrong.

 

[Chabot84]

Not sure if this thread is a joke

No.. I assure you it is not... this is happening

This is just to track and give everyone a visual of our playoff picture (hopes) I think it will also show just how steep of a hill we will need to climb.

I would say the 10-1-1 and better gives us the best shot based on the records the other teams would have to achieve in that scenario.

Updated.

 

[Chabot84]

Added St. Louis as they are now tied with Dallas

 

[space321]

No.

If they had won, they would have been 4 points back. I don't think they had a real chance at making it, but 4 points is 4 points. It was fun, and that's what counts. God forbid we have any fun with this team.

Be pessimistic all you want, and yes, we suck, but you're wrong.

I mean he's not wrong though.