The Sabres are 10-14-2 for 22 points in their 26 games. A .423 points percentage (6th worst in the league)
They have 56 games remaining. Assume a minimum of 95 points needed to make the playoffs.
That means they would need 73 points out of a possible 112 remaining points, or a .652 points percentage.
Only 7 teams in the league have a points percentage higher than .652.
What are the chances this team can maintain a .652 pace for 56 games? Not very likely.
That's the position we're in.
Well put. Another way: Essentially 1/3 of the season passed. On pace for ~70 points. Instead need >70 points in remaining 2/3 of season to make playoffs.
Can I has all the maths? Maths don't lie.
Them is the facts...
below excerpted from Talking Heads
Crosseyed and Painless
The island of doubt
Is like the taste of medicine
Working by hindsight
Got the message from the oxygen
Making a list
Find the cost of opportunity
Doing it right
Facts are useless in emergencies
The feeling returns
Whenever we close our eyes
Lifting my head
Looking around inside
Facts are simple and facts are straight
Facts are lazy and facts are late
Facts all come with points of view
Facts don't do what I want them to
Facts just twist the truth around
Facts are living turned inside out
Facts are getting the best of them
Facts are nothing on the face of things
Still waiting, still waiting, still waiting, still waiting
Still waiting, still waiting, still waiting, still waiting
Still waiting, still waiting, still waiting, still waiting (for the playoffs, of course)