Gulitti's take on the situation (from a comment he posted on his post), which is basically exactly what I was thinking:
"The more I think about it, I think Clemmensen will be the back up unless he shows he just can't play at this level anymore. DeBoer keeps saying that he wants Schneider to play "a lot" and he mentioned 70 games to me about a week before camp. Although they won't come right out and say it, i think that's the number of games they'll be shooting for with Schneider as long as things go the way they want.
That will leave only 12 starts or so for the backup and long stretches without playing. I don't think they're going to want Kinkaid to sit for that long just so they can say he's the backup. They'll prefer to let him play in the AHL and then if they need to have the backup play more games for some reason, he might get the call.
Kinkaid doesn't have to clear waivers, so they can send him down and bring him back up whenever they want.
I could be wrong about that, but it's just the sense I get."
Crud. That makes sense. If that's the plan, I hope Clemmensen gets a lot of the remaining preseason starts so that everyone can be damn sure that he's still capable. I'm not sold on him yet, at all.