In my opinion, there's no short leash. We're about to do a mini-rebuild, you either decide on whether Claude is going to be this team's coach for the next ~5 years or not.
If you're going to put him on a "short leash", get rid of him. Because if it doesn't work out, that's a wasted year. Obviously, if it doesn't work out, he's gone either way... But Claude is a very good coach. If they want him to be the coach for the foreseeable future, he definitely can be. But if they think Claude's style no longer fits this team, which is an actual concern, then get rid of him now.
I think Claude will be back. I'm partial to either side. Getting rid of a proven, Stanley Cup winning coach and replacing him with someone who is likely young and inexperienced is so insanely hit or miss. He could become the best coach this franchise has ever seen, or he could be Dallas Eakins. But I also question how Claude's mindset fits this team... and how long he's going to try to milk it out of this group.