What do you guys think of the Saad-Panarin trade in retrospect? Should we have just kept Panarin? I doubt he'd sign for an $11.6 AAV if he stayed here. Easily would've cost $9-$10m AAV though
My thoughts at the time:
Panarin seemed to be hypnotized by Kane and wasn’t as much the game breaker he was in year 2 as year 1. That said, the Kane/Panarin duo was still highly effective at scoring goals.
I perceived that team as a non playoff roster being carried primarily by the dynamic duo’s timely scoring and Crawford’s goaltending. Then down the stretch, Kane helped Panarin get his bonuses with a strong finish. I was very skeptical their formula would translate in the playoffs and it didn’t. Panarin was invisible, and with the bonus tacked on, he was set to make 9-10M the following season. Having Panarin on the team seemed like it was going to keep the Hawks in purgatory, effective in the regular season but ineffective in the playoffs.
I was curious to see if the team would fall apart without him and was shocked that Bowman actually traded Panarin. I thought he was seeing the same things and getting a rugged playoff type player signed long term like Saad made a lot of sense. If Saad took a leap forward, they could potentially be a better team in the playoffs. If not, they could begin rebuilding, which seemed needed at the time.
My thoughts now:
I was wrong to put so much stock into Panarin’s second year. He showed the year before and has ever since that he is an elite player and a game breaker. It did seem like Kane and Panarin went out of their way setting up one timers to try to get Panarin’s bonuses and that was ok. That’s one of the primary reasons they take the ice, to make money. I overreacted to that aspect of Panarin’s season. Saad didn’t progress, Panarin did, and the Hawks got robbed in that trade.
On the plus side, it did usher in the rebuild. For that, it was worth losing him because it helped the team get Boqvist and Dach.
If they end up cashing in their chips this TD and fully commit to finishing the rebuild, there are no regrets. If they don’t do that, then yeah, I do wish we still had Panarin because he is an elite player and they may have been able to eventually build a Cup winning team around him. It may have required separating him from Kane at even strength, but clearly the guy can carry his own line.