Board Bard
Dane-O-Mite
- Jun 7, 2014
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Who stated they should be absolved? How about just properly assessed?
Okay, check back in two and a half years.
Who stated they should be absolved? How about just properly assessed?
They you're not reading it properly. A GM who hasn't managed to assess his team after two and a half years, and needs to bring someone else in to help him finish the job, is a real dummy.
I think there is a happy middle ground being reached here -everyone acknowledging that nobodies perfect & that Chevy makes mistakes too. The challenge I see is for Chevy to acknowledge that he makes mistakes as well & be ready to reverse the ship should we be approaching an iceberg. In the past, I find he has been quite reluctant to change course once a mistake has been made (the best example I can cite is his unwillingness to bring in a suitable challenger to Pavs once it was apparent he was not performing up to his big contract -- yes he finally brought in Hutch but that was 3 years later & Hutch was just a rookie so that was hardly a serious challenge).
One other comment for clarity re: not signing Stemp & Tlusty. The mistake was not so much that he didn't sign one of those guys, its who he signed instead (Hali & Peluso). Its been pointed out by others, but imagine this team with Stemp & Tlusty as our depth players rather then Hali & Peluso -- night & day difference right.
The beauty of having Stemp & Tlusty would be that it would be that much tougher for our good prospects to crack the line-up until the injuries started -- as they always do.
So we'd start the season with a dang good line-up that included 1-2 rooks, and when injuries or poor play of some vets happened, other rooks would be called up. That to me is the ultimate win-win
Who stated they should be absolved? How about just properly assessed?
It was a mistake 2 and 3 seasons ago. Last season, it was not a mistake, and actual ended the seasons as a value contract.
No difference between the multitude of long term deal signed over the past 20 years. Poor value in the first half, solid value in the second half, happens all the time.
When it is clearly a mistake, it is bad value for the entire duration of that contract.
If Pavs has another season at or above average, followed by another, the contract cannot be classified as a mistake anymore. to be determined.
But labeling it as a clear mistake is illogical, as it is clearly not over.
Your read of the situation is as opinion based as mine. Your assertion that the return was excellent is also an opinion and not fact. You know you can't make an opinion a fact just by declaring it so? That's a fact, not an opinion, btw.
Sure, this is true. In time, we will be able to properly assess this deal and come to a definitive conclusion. Opinion of media seems to favor it as being a solid deal for us, but time will tell.
What decision specifically did he take 5 years to make?
How do you know that the entire 5 past years, Chevy has scrutinized on what to do with Kane? You don't of course.
The past 4 seasons Chevy's decision was to keep Kane, work with him, and try to get the most out of a young talented player. So, ya, Chevy decided to keep Kane, which is a DECISION.
Just because that decision changed, does not mean he waited on it for 5 seasons.
If you honestly believe that Chevy is a indecisive GM, twiddling his thumbs in hopes that a sign of some sort will come flashing in the sky, well, have fun with that.
Chevy is a smart GM, one that does not make moves for the sake of. You can try and make this out as a negative, but it actually is positive, unless you believe knee jerk reactions make for the best moves.
I can agree with both statements above. If Pavs can back up last season with 2 more solid seasons, his contract is not a mistake. If not, it can be classified as a bad contract.
Kane Bogo deal is to be determined as well, albeit, I believe at worst this will be a scratch deal that worked well for both teams, our just a bit better.
still not sold on chevy. i think he's had some very smart people advising him how to draft and that's his only real claim to success so far. that being said, we made playoffs last year so im willing to see how things shake out this upcoming season.
Don't forget how he was forced into including Bogo in the Kane trade to get Myers, and how he fluked into hiring Maurice, and signed Perreault. Blame Chevy for his mistakes, but at least give him a bit of credit for the positives. Very few posters here gave the Jets any shot at the playoffs last year, let alone 99 points. You'd think that might give some reason for pause...
Very few hockey experts & media gave the Jets a chance of making the playoffs. Nothing to do with just posters here, it was most of the hockey world picking us to fail.
Let's see if it was a one year overachieving or can they repeat. I'm well aware of their top 5 possession numbers as a positive sign, but proof is in the pudding, let's see if it was a fluke/one season wonder or the real deal that they maintain. Key piece of that is can we get above average goaltending again, if we can't I don't see us repeating. IMO
still not sold on chevy. i think he's had some very smart people advising him how to draft and that's his only real claim to success so far. that being said, we made playoffs last year so im willing to see how things shake out this upcoming season.
Chevy's job as GM is to give is to build a strong organization that is full of very smart people and to provide those people with clear direction on what the critical objectives are to achieve success. It is interesting that the people you refer to as being very smart have had a lot of success drafting here in Winnipeg but in Atlanta the same people had a very poor draft record. With drafting being identified as a critical success factor for the Jets what Chevy has done is given the scouting department clear direction on the types of players they are looking for and provided them with the resources they need to be very thorough in their evaluation of players. The results speak for themselves.
One thing I know for sure is that Chevy very definitely has a plan and he is very disciplined and methodical in the way he executes that plan. I think this disciplined approach is a major source of frustration for some people because it is human nature to want to speed the process up but Chevy rarely goes down that path. We are now entering the phase of his plan where he is looking for his draft and develop strategy to really start bearing fruit. Over the next year or two we should expect to see a major transition to the new wave of younger players that are now knocking on the door. We should all be excited to see this because this is what Chevy has been building toward all along. The success of this transition will go a long way in determining how Chevy is ultimately viewed as a GM.
Chevy is absolutely right when he says that playoff success is not a given this year. We continue to be in a very strong division and with the young players likely to be injected into our lineup this year I firmly believe that Chevy views this year as a transitional year. Clearly he wants to have success this year but what he is really building toward is next year and beyond.
I don't think it is the discipline or methodical approach that frustrate people so much as the annual multi-year extensions to some of the least effective players on the team. Specifically... Slater, Pavelec, Thorburn, Stuart and Peluso. Adding better goaltending could gave been achieved years ago. Signing somebody better than Thor - so he doesn't have to spend day most of the year on the third line should be easy too. It also hasn't been done in previous years.
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Say I get a speeding ticket for going 62 km/h in a 50 km/h zone. Is it a valid excuse to say "other people speed too!"? Or is saying that other people speed just a way to 'properly assess' the legality of my speeding?
Say the Pavelec deal is a mistake - can we to point to another GM making a mistake - say the Dave Bolland deal - and use that to mitigate any criticism of Chevy, because see? Toronto did it too! Does that make it any less of a mistake? As a bonus, you get 100s of other GMs over the entire history of the NHL to cherry pick the mistake you want to compare Chevy's to! Remember when Fergie traded Babych for Neufeld? So, we're lucky it's only 5 years of Pavelec!
So we need to assign grades on contracts year-to-year? Why not game-to-game? Shot-to-shot?
How do you feel about Olli Jokinen's deal with the Jets? 'Bad' in year 1 then 'Ok' in year 2 for a total rank of 'Meh'?
Do you think you could cite, say, 10 examples of contracts that were poor in the first half and solid in the second half over the last 20 years?
Wow, I've painted myself into a corner, whatever should I do..... minus the fact we have games played last season, watching Myers and Staff help get us into the playoffs, and basically helped save the season, we have now seen Armia, Lemieux and we can put a name to the 1st round pick in Roslovic.Ah, we run into a bit of prior cognitive dissonance here: a couple of posts earlier you're arguing that it's a 'fact' that the Kane deal was a huge win for Chevy, and in this post you've spent 100 words saying we can't assess the value of a contract until it's end...
February 6, 2015 - Evander Kane's agent Craig Oster on Kane asking for a trade: "It’s something that Kevin (Cheveldayoff) and Evander have addressed multiple times in the past several years, and I’ll leave it at that".
October 26, 2011: It didn’t take long for rumours to start that Kane wanted out of Winnipeg. In the first month of the season word started to spread that Kane was asking for a trade away from the Jets. Both the agent and the player unequivocally denied these allegations.
“No, I have not (asked for a trade). I guess people on social media come up with rumours,” Kane said to the Winnipeg Free Press at the time.
"I can't speak for anybody but myself. The story started on some blog. I haven't even read it. I don't know what to think. I haven't asked for a trade and I'm happy where I am and I expect to be here for a long time,"
only said "years" to make a decision not specifically 5 years - the 5 you saw was in relation to the number of paragraphs you'd written about decisiveness or something.
Ok, so we know that Chevy refused to trade an unhappy player for "several years". You're right - that is a decision. Not a particularly good one, but the early consensus on the Kane deal is that it ended up not hurting the team (aside from, you know, any bad blood caused by keeping an unhappy player on the team or maybe maximizing Kane's trade value).
, that's what I'm saying: knee jerk reactions make for the best moves. And by 'knee jerk' I mean 'less than 4.5 years'.
This is your analogy?
If I received 2 speeding tickets a year, while everyone in Manitoba averages 5 speeding tickets a year, you can state I speed, but not to the extent of the average Manitoban.
My wife can say I am an incompetent driver, but compared to the average driver, its just not true.
Its not a mistake because as of today, there are 2 years left on said contract, and at the midway point, it performed better than average.
You are calling it a mistake is based off of samples from 2 and 3 seasons ago, mine is based off the most recent season, last year. If he performs average or better this season and next, you lose one of the very few examples you have at your disposal to show Chevy's mistakes.
And as stated already, if Pavs performs just average, his salary when compared to other average starters in the league, will be a value contract. Not only will Pavs deal not be seen as a mistake, it will be seen as a solid deal.
Basing your opinion on the most recent facts? When you sign someone to a 5 year deal, do you wait for the first season, base your opinion on only that, then discard the next 4 seasons.
OF COURSE YOU GRADE CONTRACTS YEAR TO YEAR. If Pavs puts up better than average numbers this season, not only is the contract decent, its a value deal with 2 years on it, at a lower wage than the average goalie's contract. You grade it,because if you want to move it, you understand what value it has.
Since I do not want to waste a beautiful day looking up contracts, I will refrain. Ladd has improved the value of his deal, posting better numbers the last half of it, same with Buff. You must be aware of players posting their best numbers in a contract season? Working for the best "next" deal?
Wow, I've painted myself into a corner, whatever should I do..... minus the fact we have games played last season, watching Myers and Staff help get us into the playoffs, and basically helped save the season, we have now seen Armia, Lemieux and we can put a name to the 1st round pick in Roslovic.
I am predicting it is going to be a win deal for us, and that when all three players develop, we will easily win this deal.
Please tell us why this deal will be a mistake for us?
Yes, agents do not lie, ever, stand up people that will give you the coat off their backs.
For an agent wanting to have his player go elsewhere, this is soooooo confusing to me:
Evander Kane signed a 6 year / $31,500,000 contract with the Winnipeg Jets, including an annual average salary of $5,250,000. In 2015-16, Kane will earn a base salary of $6,000,000. Kane has a cap hit of $5,250,000.
I want out, but lets ink a contract that has me here for SIX MORE SEASONS
or this:
<a quote from October of 2011, just days after the debut of Jets 2.0>
For someone wanting out, he sure was acting differently while he was here.
The only comment you have is from his agent at a point where everything blew up and both parties knew it was over. The examples I showed happened prior to that.
Consensus is it hurt the team?
Listenting to your really weak, transparent examples, and since you have only a total of 3 things in your arsenal, you can have this 4.5 mystical timeline, as your big smear on chevy.
The Pavs contract is Chevy's worse move and it was a mistake given what Pavs had proven at the time of him signing his deal. Chevy looked inexperienced when dealing with savoy agent in Walsh holding the KHL card over his head. He made a mistake with that signing as Pavs played well below the value of his deal the first few years, bu greatly exceeded it last year.
Having said all that the market for starting goalies has changed over that time, Pavs is now the 26th highest goalie with regards to cap hit and as such now likely has some value on the market. That doesn't absolve Chevy of the deal in the first place, but it might make the decision not to waste resources using a compliance buyout on him last year seem smart if we can move Pavs for a draft choice post this year.
With regards to not trying to address the issue prior to Hutch, well I disagree.
-He has loaded up on NHL prospects via the draft/FA.
-He was in heavily on Raanta two summers ago. If I remember correctly he was one of the final 3 teams.
-He tried to get Bobwroski when he was on the market.
Those are the ones we know about, he could have been in on other goalies as well.
So if you want to criticize Chevy for not being able to seal the deal and get a better option until Hutch that is fair. But I believe it is not accurate to state that he sat on his hands and ignored or was bind to the issue. I am sure that he and the org knows exactly what they have in Pavs, I am sure that they are not happy with how that deal for the most part has turned out. But if Chipman doesn't want to utilize buyouts than Chevy was left with very few options to be rid of Pavs.
With regards to the depth player signings: I view the Peluso signing as a mistake and unnecessary. I would rather have just Thorborn in the 12-13 spot and would have brought back Stemp for one of the 4th line spots.
I am not as concerned about the Frolik loss as some as I don't believe non core assets should be given anymore than 3 year deals in a cap system. Would have been nice to get something for him, but I think Burmie will be a close enough replacement that losing Fro wont hurt us much.
So the biggest critiques I have of Chevy are pretty small in the grand scheme of things.
The Pavs contract and not being able to land a suitable replacement until this year.
Signing a goon to sit in the PB.
Letting a decent asset walk for nothing.
Most of those issues are on the verge of being corrected: We have excellent young goalies who will push Pavs to be better or push him out as soon as this year.
If our prospects are as ready as the team hopes the Peluso signing will be moot as he wont see the ice much. It will also make losing Frolik more palatable.
I reserve comment on Ladd and Buff until such a time that both players have been resolved one way or the other.
Simply put Chevy has made poor moves just like any other GM, but his poor moves other than Pavs have been relatively small nature. I.e not finding decent 4th line players. He has of yet not crippled the team with a garbage contract nor has he made a horrible knee jerk reaction trade ala Boston (Seguin and Hamilton). So while I think he can do better in some areas I think he has our ship steered pretty clearly in the right direction.
I could argue some of your points. I'm not aware of Chevy being in on Raanta or Bobrovsky but I forget stuff. So I don't think he has tried hard enough to fix our goaltending but the end of that issue is in sight. I am PO'd about Frolik. It was a mistake, IMO but not one that we can't put behind us easily enough. I think we should have signed one of Stemp, Tlusty and it doesn't particularly matter which one. That contract went to Peluso for some reason, sigh (but why 2 years!).
Bottom line is that Chevy has made mistakes, maybe a lot of mistakes but everybody makes mistakes. The important thing is that the team continues to improve. A decent outcome with Ladd/Buff is really important. Right now it outweighs all those other things but assuming that is resolved satisfactorily I will say that I agree with the gist of your post. We are headed in the right direction.
Okay we all know why Peluso was signed. Unless Stemp and Tlusty spent the summer in a boxing ring they were not competing for the same role as Big Anthony. I've long ago made peace with the fact Maurice wants a league top face puncher at his disposal.
still not sold on chevy. i think he's had some very smart people advising him how to draft and that's his only real claim to success so far. that being said, we made playoffs last year so im willing to see how things shake out this upcoming season.
I know but the boss should have told him to make do with Thor. If they had to sign Peluso it should at least have been only 1 year. It should have been 2 way also but that is another story. It is what it is. Oh well.
Pavs played well below the value of his deal the first few years, bu greatly exceeded it last year.
I don't think Pav's play greatly exceeded the value of his contracted deal last year. I think he finally earned one year of his salary, due to exceptionally strong play down the stretch.
No argument that he played well below the value of his deal in the first years. He was statistically the worst or second worse starting goaltender in the league. Regardless of contract, he really shouldn't even have been starting. In all sports, when you are the worst at something for so long, you get replaced.
The difference is that Thor is a face "punchee" rather than "puncher". There is a difference.
No arguments that he should be replaced. But a .920 sp is well above League average for the year, whereas his cap hit is below league average for starters so by that metric he provided more value for the deal.